KE Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BEKE) Signals Modest Near-Term Rebound Amid Undervalued Valuation

KE Holdings shows mixed momentum: valuation metrics and a strong cash position support an under-valued assessment, while directional technicals warn of short-term selling pressure. The balance of signals points to limited upside with elevated volatility risk over the coming weeks.

Recent News

On May 19, 2026 the company published its first-quarter 2026 unaudited financial results; on June 12, 2026 shareholders approved proposed resolutions at the annual general meeting, including expanded board mandates and authority related to share issuance and repurchases; in July 2026 the company disclosed late‑June/early‑July repurchases and W‑share class buybacks totaling roughly $5 million.

Technical Analysis

ADX stands at 18.01, indicating no strong trend; that lack of trend strength keeps near-term directional conviction limited and supports a range-bound bias around current prices relative to the valuation gap noted below.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 36.45 with a peak-and-reversal, which signals bearish directional pressure; DI- at 25.08 with a dip-and-reversal also signals increased downside pressure. These opposing but both-bearish DI moves suggest sellers recently reasserted control, tempering the case for a sustained breakout despite undervaluation.

MACD sits at 0.29 above its signal (0.24), representing a bullish cross event; the MACD trend registers a peak-and-reversal, however, which signals waning bullish momentum. The net read: a short-lived bullish signal faces an early deterioration of momentum, increasing the odds of a pullback before any durable advance.

MRO equals 16.96 and trends increasing; the positive MRO indicates price sits above the oscillator’s target and therefore carries a tendency to correct downward, which implies room for consolidation against the current valuation gap.

RSI reads 53.91 with a peak-and-reversal trend; the near‑neutral RSI combined with its reversal points to reduced upside conviction and a higher probability of sideways-to-lower movement unless momentum re-accelerates.

Price sits marginally above short- and long-term averages: 12‑day EMA at $16.95 (increasing) and 200‑day average at $16.57. Price closed at $16.96 with the supertrend lower support at $16.57 and a mean analyst price target near $17.15, so moving averages place current price close to stated support and consensus targets, reinforcing a tight trading range absent fresh catalysts.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $18,891,977,000. Reported net income from continuing operations reached $1,255,491,000 and operating income (EBIT) $1,272,720,000, producing an operating margin of 6.737%. Operating margin improved year-over-year by 166.074% while contracting quarter-over-quarter by 35.395%, indicating recent margin volatility despite stronger annual comparatives.

EPS came in at $1.42 versus an estimate of $0.91, an EPS surprise of 56.04% ($0.51); forward EPS sits at $0.282, implying elevated near-term earnings variability and a forward P/E of 60.21. Trailing P/E measures 11.91 and price-to-book stands at 0.884, placing the stock on the cheaper side of traditional valuation multiples even as forward multiples reflect lower expected earnings.

Cash and short‑term investments total $44,985,887,000 and the cash ratio equals 109.60%, while total debt totals $16,270,971,000 and debt-to-equity equals 25.277%. Strong liquidity and modest leverage increase flexibility for capital allocation, consistent with the company’s recent buyback activity and the WMDST view that the current valuation reads as under‑valued.

Free cash flow registers negative $1,471,302,000 and free cash flow yield stands at -2.584%, reflecting cash conversion pressure; operating cash flow also appears negative for the period, so earnings strength did not fully translate to positive free cash flow this quarter. Receivables and inventory metrics (receivables turnover 4.738x, inventory turnover 5.069x) maintain operating cycles consistent with the business model; the cash conversion cycle at 5.13 days supports operational liquidity.

Where industry peer comparisons exist: operating margin at 6.737% sits above the industry peer mean operating margin of 3.111% and above the industry peer median of 1.995%, placing KE Holdings favorably within the industry peer range on margin metrics. Earnings growth year-over-year shows a 3,239.136% improvement (per the reported figure), but quarter-over-quarter earnings growth contracted by 454.148%, which underscores intra-year volatility in reported growth rates.

Valuation conclusion: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued. Trailing multiples and a large cash stockpile support that assessment, but negative free cash flow, elevated forward P/E, and mixed quarterly margin signals justify caution on the durability of fundamentals.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-19
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-18
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 15.9 B
 Operating Cash Flow -1.47 B
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital -2.73 B
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 4.0 B
 End Period Cash Flow 20.0 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 18.9 B
 Forward Revenue 3.6 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 14.3 B
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development 492.6 M
 Total Operating Expenses 17.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 4.6 B
 EBITDA 1.3 B
 EBIT 1.3 B
 Operating Income 1.3 B
 Interest Income 134.9 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 134.9 M
 Income Before Tax 1.8 B
 Tax Provision 576.6 M
 Tax Rate 31.481 %
 Net Income 1.3 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.3 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.91
 EPS Actual 1.42
 EPS Difference 0.51
 EPS Surprise 56.044 %
 Forward EPS 0.28
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 112.3 B
 Intangible Assets 5.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 59.0 B
 Total Current Assets 67.1 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 45.0 B
 Cash 11.1 B
 Net Receivables 4.0 B
 Inventory 2.8 B
 Long-Term Investments 1.9 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 5.0 B
 Short-Term Debt 817.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 41.0 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 16.3 B
 Total Liabilities 47.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 64.4 B
 Retained Earnings 2.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.13
 Shares Outstanding 3.366 B
 Revenue Per-Share 5.61
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 56.9 B
 Enterprise Value 28.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 22.168
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 72.45 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -72.838 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 218.433
median: 88.276
mean: 87.475
BEKE: 22.168
low: -182.291
 EV/R 1.493
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.745
 Asset To Liability 2.345
 Debt To Capital 0.202
 Debt To Assets 0.145
Debt To Assets QoQ -9.979 %
Debt To Assets YoY -15.301 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.342
median: 0.299
mean: 0.291
BEKE: 0.145
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.253
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.552 %
Debt To Equity YoY -22.122 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.543
median: 0.956
mean: 0.94
BEKE: 0.253
low: -2.299
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.884
Price To Book QoQ 0.751 %
Price To Book YoY -13.664 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.558
mean: 2.813
median: 2.463
BEKE: 0.884
low: -1.436
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 11.911
Price To Earnings QoQ -68.308 %
Price To Earnings YoY -29.832 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 353.676
mean: 103.561
median: 90.79
BEKE: 11.911
low: -104.727
 PE/G Ratio 0.057
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.013
Price To Sales QoQ 14.648 %
Price To Sales YoY -0.297 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 62.054
mean: 9.936
median: 4.066
BEKE: 3.013
low: 0.033
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 60.206
Forward PE/G 0.288
Forward P/S 16.059
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.028
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.165
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -12.261 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -6.716 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.56
mean: 0.201
BEKE: 0.165
median: 0.13
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 4.738
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -17.628 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 5.992 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 20.641
BEKE: 4.738
mean: 3.166
median: 1.578
low: 0.281
 Inventory Turnover 5.069
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 44.428
mean: 10.31
BEKE: 5.069
median: 1.057
low: 0.003
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 19.258
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 5.126
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -140.502 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 167.532
mean: 31.443
median: 9.285
BEKE: 5.126
low: -50.366
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.726
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 65.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 66.0 B
 Invested Capital 66.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 59.0 B
 Net Working Capital 26.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.096
 Current Ratio 1.634
Current Ratio QoQ 1.741 %
Current Ratio YoY 22.893 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 10.921
mean: 1.811
BEKE: 1.634
median: 1.384
low: 0.471
 Quick Ratio 1.566
Quick Ratio QoQ 1.757 %
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 11.239
mean: 1.907
BEKE: 1.566
median: 1.492
low: 0.448
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 12.784
 Cost Of Debt 0.106 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 45.207
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -44.995 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 115.509 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA BEKE: 45.207
high: 21.15
median: 3.119
mean: 2.771
low: -38.698
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.004
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 28.932
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -3.73 %
 Revenue Growth -14.858 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 296.531 %
Revenue Growth YoY -40.687 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 79.044 %
mean: -3.085 %
median: -5.215 %
BEKE: -14.858 %
low: -82.107 %
 Earnings Growth 208.696 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -454.148 %
Earnings Growth YoY 3239.136 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA BEKE: 208.696 %
high: 163.636 %
median: -41.026 %
mean: -42.805 %
low: -123.529 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 24.137 %
Gross Margin QoQ 12.6 %
Gross Margin YoY 16.801 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
mean: 41.799 %
median: 38.306 %
BEKE: 24.137 %
low: -50.277 %
 EBIT Margin 6.737 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -35.395 %
EBIT Margin YoY 166.074 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 61.604 %
BEKE: 6.737 %
mean: 3.111 %
median: 1.995 %
low: -58.12 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 6.737 %
Return On Sales QoQ 226.88 %
Return On Sales YoY 166.074 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 41.436 %
BEKE: 6.737 %
mean: 5.985 %
median: 3.287 %
low: -70.996 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -1.47 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.584 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -215.564 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -54.054 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 20.933 %
mean: -1.472 %
median: -2.117 %
BEKE: -2.584 %
low: -11.83 %
 Free Cash Growth -212.827 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -499.961 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 8.235 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 507.935 %
mean: -48.9 %
median: -164.903 %
BEKE: -212.827 %
low: -498.104 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.172
 Cash Flow Margin 0.841 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.126
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.097 %
Return On Assets QoQ 1382.432 %
Return On Assets YoY 69.029 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 2.387 %
BEKE: 1.097 %
median: 0.627 %
mean: 0.456 %
low: -4.297 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.786 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.019
Return On Equity QoQ 1377.273 %
Return On Equity YoY 56.879 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.037
BEKE: 0.019
mean: 0.013
median: 0.01
low: -0.097
 DuPont ROE 1.92 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.322 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -48.52 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 149.905 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 3.815 %
BEKE: 1.322 %
median: 0.96 %
mean: 0.581 %
low: -4.039 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a cautiously neutral-to-modest-upside price bias absent new catalysts. The technical profile shows short-term bearish directional signals (DI+, DI-) and weakening momentum (MACD trend, RSI reversal) that increase the probability of consolidation or pullback toward support near $16.57. Valuation and balance‑sheet strength create a countervailing lift to price, so rebounds may remain capped by the current momentum picture.

Key risk drivers for the next six weeks include further momentum deterioration that turns range-bound price action into a deeper correction, any material negative change in cash generation, or the absence of follow‑through from corporate actions such as buybacks. Conversely, renewed positive momentum or a material improvement in cash flow dynamics would be required to widen the gap between current price and the WMDST under‑valued assessment.

About KE Holdings Inc.

KE Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BEKE) develops an integrated platform for real estate transactions and services in China. Headquartered in Beijing, the company operates through its primary brands, Beike and Lianjia. Beike offers a comprehensive digital ecosystem for buying, selling, and renting properties, while Lianjia provides face-to-face real estate brokerage services through its extensive chain of stores. The company organizes its operations into four main segments: Existing Home Transaction Services, New Home Transaction Services, Home Renovation and Furnishing, and Emerging and Other Services. These segments enable KE Holdings to meet diverse customer needs, from property transactions to home improvement solutions. KE Holdings utilizes advanced technology to enhance its service offerings, employing an Agent Cooperation Network and software-as-a-service systems to facilitate collaboration among service providers. The company also ensures transparency and security in real estate transactions by offering services such as contract management, secure payment processing, and escrow services. Through its multifaceted approach, KE Holdings plays a significant role in China’s real estate market, integrating online and offline experiences to streamline housing transactions and services.



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