Grindr Inc. (NYSE:GRND) Signals Near-Term Pullback Following Momentum Peak

Near-term price pressure may rise while operating cash generation and margins provide a foundation for a revaluation gap; indicators show momentum peaked even as free cash flow and gross margin remain supportive.

Recent News

On June 2, 2026, Grindr held its 2026 annual meeting where stockholders approved amendments and restatements to company governance and equity plan documents. On June 19, 2026, the Compensation Committee approved changes to the CFO’s compensation including contingent, performance-tied restricted stock unit grants that activate on defined change-in-control or performance thresholds.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators: ADX at 26.72 shows a strong trend environment; DI+ at 31.05 has peak-and-reversed, a bearish signal, while DI− at 22.74 completed a dip-and-reversal, reinforcing directional pressure to the downside. These readings point toward a near-term loss of upside conviction and greater downside bias against the current valuation.

MACD: MACD sits at 0.60 with the MACD line below the signal (0.68) and a peak-and-reversal profile, which signals waning bullish momentum and increases the probability of a corrective phase relative to the WMDST valuation context.

MRO: MRO reads 33.0 and stands positive, indicating price sits above WMDST’s target and that mean-reverting pressure may drive the price lower toward value-support levels established by fundamentals.

RSI and Momentum: RSI at 60.96 with a peak-and-reversal pattern shows recent overbought fatigue; the indicator no longer confirms strong buying pressure and aligns with other momentum signals that favor a pullback.

Price vs Moving Averages and Bands: Current close at $16.23 trades below the 12-day EMA ($16.66) and 20-day average ($16.65) but remains above the 50-day ($14.60) and 200-day ($13.23), so longer-term trend remains constructive while short-term momentum has faltered. Bollinger boundaries place immediate resistance near $17.82 and support near $15.47; the supertrend upper band at $17.81 provides an observable upside cap for the near term.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT of $29,421,000 delivers an EBIT margin of 21.30%, below the industry peer mean of 29.17% and the peer median of 30.13%, but still positive and contributory to operating cash flow. Operating margin stands at 23.53% and gross margin at 74.98%, both indicating strong core economics that support the WMDST valuation case.

Revenue and Earnings Trends: Total revenue of $138,138,000 reflects revenue growth of 6.31% year-over-year, but revenue growth on a YoY basis shows a decline of 42.37% compared to the prior period; sequentially revenue rose sharply QoQ by 100.32%. EPS came in at $0.13 versus an estimate of $0.15 (an EPS surprise of −13.33%), with forward EPS of $0.1925 implying a forward P/E of 66.45 versus the trailing P/E of 112.80.

Cash Flow and Liquidity: Operating cash flow of $40,806,000 and free cash flow of $37,961,000 yield a free cash flow yield of 1.49%, above the industry peer mean. Cash conversion and cash flow to earnings (1.02x) show real cash generation that bolsters the under-valued determination by WMDST despite working capital swings. Current ratio at 1.10 sits below the industry peer mean of 2.63, indicating tighter near-term liquidity buffers.

Leverage and Capital Structure: Total debt of $389,595,000 produces debt-to-assets of 84.18% and debt-to-EBITDA near 12.85x; interest coverage of 4.51 sits well below the industry peer mean. Negative total equity (−$11,738,000) and a negative P/B ratio reflect a capital structure tilted toward debt, increasing sensitivity to cash-flow variability despite adequate interest coverage today.

Valuation Summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued, supported by robust gross margin and consistent cash generation. That valuation sits alongside stretched earnings multiples—trailing P/E ~112.80 and forward P/E ~66.45—reflecting market expectations for earnings recovery; leverage and negative equity lower the margin for error.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 24.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 40.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -2.85 M
 Change In Working Capital -1.33 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -17.31 M
 End Period Cash Flow 7.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 138.1 M
 Forward Revenue 65.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 34.6 M
 Depreciation 895.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 895.0 K
 Research and Development 20.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 105.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 103.6 M
 EBITDA 30.3 M
 EBIT 29.4 M
 Operating Income 32.5 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 6.5 M
 Net Interest Income -6.53 M
 Income Before Tax 22.9 M
 Tax Provision 5.1 M
 Tax Rate 22.493 %
 Net Income 17.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 17.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.15
 EPS Actual 0.13
 EPS Difference -0.02
 EPS Surprise -13.333 %
 Forward EPS 0.19
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 462.8 M
 Intangible Assets 358.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -370.53 M
 Total Current Assets 93.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 6.5 M
 Cash 6.5 M
 Net Receivables 69.7 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 3.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 3.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 20.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 84.5 M
 Net Debt 379.8 M
 Total Debt 389.6 M
 Total Liabilities 474.6 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity -11.74 M
 Retained Earnings -52.57 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -0.07
 Shares Outstanding 173.825 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.79
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.5 B
 Enterprise Value 2.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 96.715
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 60.855 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -28.177 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 151.041
GRND: 96.715
mean: 34.268
median: 28.715
low: -29.635
 EV/R 21.225
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -39.431
 Asset To Liability 0.975
 Debt To Capital 1.031
 Debt To Assets 0.842
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.36 %
Debt To Assets YoY 60.257 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.032
GRND: 0.842
mean: 0.144
median: 0.122
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity -33.191
Debt To Equity QoQ -107.05 %
Debt To Equity YoY -2265.774 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.435
mean: 0.225
median: 0.181
low: 0.001
GRND: -33.191
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -217.144
Price To Book QoQ -108.108 %
Price To Book YoY -1234.195 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.13
median: 6.956
mean: 6.817
low: -3.536
GRND: -217.144
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 112.798
Price To Earnings QoQ 24.656 %
Price To Earnings YoY -56.122 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA GRND: 112.798
high: 99.926
mean: 48.198
median: 34.631
low: -47.824
 PE/G Ratio -15.791
 Price To Sales (P/S) 18.452
Price To Sales QoQ 6.811 %
Price To Sales YoY -46.482 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 36.351
median: 36.141
mean: 34.374
GRND: 18.452
low: 0.003
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 66.447
Forward PE/G -9.302
Forward P/S 39.137
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -4.885
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.296
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.073 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 74.174 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.426
GRND: 0.296
mean: 0.147
median: 0.144
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 1.976
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.012 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 4.578 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.708
mean: 2.017
GRND: 1.976
median: 1.813
low: 0.137
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 46.181
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 36.009
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -10.203 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 49.326
GRND: 36.009
median: 4.16
mean: -7.66
low: -436.789
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 16.204
 CapEx To Revenue -0.021
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.179
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 354.6 M
 Net Invested Capital 374.6 M
 Invested Capital 374.6 M
 Net Tangible Assets -370.53 M
 Net Working Capital 8.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.077
 Current Ratio 1.101
Current Ratio QoQ -16.308 %
Current Ratio YoY -55.564 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.2
median: 2.719
mean: 2.628
GRND: 1.101
low: 0.476
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 12.851
 Cost Of Debt 1.29 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.506
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -30.009 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -35.387 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 33.898
median: 24.223
mean: 22.415
GRND: 4.506
low: -47.177
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.214
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 10.172
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.717 %
 Revenue Growth 6.308 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 100.318 %
Revenue Growth YoY -42.372 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 17.855 %
mean: 8.726 %
median: 7.974 %
GRND: 6.308 %
low: -18.891 %
 Earnings Growth -7.143 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -117.857 %
Earnings Growth YoY -64.285 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 250.0 %
mean: 59.172 %
median: 54.839 %
GRND: -7.143 %
low: -191.304 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 74.976 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.08 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.729 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 95.295 %
GRND: 74.976 %
mean: 64.635 %
median: 61.649 %
low: 14.256 %
 EBIT Margin 21.298 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -34.92 %
EBIT Margin YoY -10.7 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 32.136 %
median: 30.129 %
mean: 29.167 %
GRND: 21.298 %
low: -69.708 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 23.529 %
Return On Sales QoQ -28.444 %
Return On Sales YoY 0.723 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 34.033 %
mean: 32.998 %
median: 30.879 %
GRND: 23.529 %
low: -24.437 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 38.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.489 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 4.933 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 45.98 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.447 %
GRND: 1.489 %
mean: -0.083 %
median: -0.134 %
low: -13.895 %
 Free Cash Growth 19.164 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -58.115 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -67.05 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 376.923 %
GRND: 19.164 %
mean: -146.004 %
median: -157.879 %
low: -468.573 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.139
 Cash Flow Margin 13.108 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.021
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.8 %
Return On Assets QoQ -28.839 %
Return On Assets YoY 40.118 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 16.895 %
mean: 12.071 %
median: 10.842 %
GRND: 3.8 %
low: -15.635 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 7.776 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -1.512
Return On Equity QoQ -104.741 %
Return On Equity YoY -1805.121 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.472
mean: 0.16
median: 0.136
low: -0.429
GRND: -1.512
 DuPont ROE -325.575 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.088 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -24.653 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 47.695 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 15.712 %
mean: 13.796 %
median: 8.219 %
GRND: 6.088 %
low: -11.818 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a short-term corrective phase as momentum indicators have peaked: MACD below its signal, a positive MRO, and a peak-reversal RSI point to consolidation or pullback toward value-support near the 50-day average. Watch for resolution of the MACD relative to its signal and a re-test of the 20-day average; a sustained move below the 50-day average would increase downside scope, while reclaiming the 12-day EMA and 20-day average would signal renewed upside attempts against WMDST’s under-valued baseline. Volume remains near-average, so moves are likely to follow changes in momentum rather than abrupt liquidity spikes.

About Grindr Inc.

Grindr Inc. (NYSE:GRND) develops a prominent social networking platform specifically designed for the LGBTQ community worldwide. Founded in 2009 and headquartered in West Hollywood, California, Grindr connects individuals through its mobile application, utilizing location-based technology to facilitate meaningful interactions. The platform accommodates a range of user interests, including friendship, dating, and community involvement. Grindr provides a free version supported by advertisements, along with a premium subscription service to meet diverse user preferences. Its user-friendly design and accessible interface attract millions, fostering a dynamic digital community. By emphasizing inclusivity and ongoing innovation, Grindr adapts to the changing needs of its users, maintaining its position as a crucial resource for LGBTQ individuals seeking connection. As a publicly traded company, Grindr actively seeks international growth and enhancement of user experiences. The company’s commitment to creating a safe and inclusive environment for its community supports its potential for continued growth within the digital networking industry.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.