John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (NASDAQ:JBSS) Announces CEO Change, Signals Repositioning

Leadership turnover accelerates a strategic reset while operational margins and cash generation pressure the company’s current valuation. Near-term price action should reflect the interplay of managerial change, momentum erosion, and modestly bullish breadth signals.

Recent News

On July 16, 2026 the company announced a CEO transition and additional leadership changes; management named successors and outlined immediate executive responsibilities. The company also presented at the East Coast IDEAS investor conference on June 11, 2026, and issued investor communications related to these events in mid-June and July.

Technical Analysis

ADX reads 16.52, indicating no established trend strength; the lack of trend limits conviction behind directional signals and increases the likelihood of range-bound price action in the coming weeks.

Directional indicators show opposing pressure: DI+ at 23.67 (peak & reversal) signals bearish directional shift, while DI- at 21.31 (peak & reversal) signals bullish pressure. Given ADX below 20, those directional reversals lack strong follow-through and should be treated as early directional tests rather than commitments to a sustained move.

MACD sits at 0.40 below its signal line at 0.42 with a peak-and-reversal pattern; momentum reads bearish and implies shrinking upward conviction absent a re-acceleration above the signal line.

MRO at 26.18 and labeled peak & reversal indicates the market price sits meaningfully above the model target, increasing the probability of mean reversion toward implied fair value over a short horizon.

RSI at 53.7 with a dip-and-reversal profile supplies a modestly bullish short-term impulse; the indicator suggests the stock recently found buying interest but lacks strong momentum expansion.

Price relationships favor a constructive structural backdrop: last close $83.47 exceeds the 20-day ($82.62), 50-day ($81.70), and 200-day ($75.62) averages, and price sits above the ichimoku cloud (Senkou A ~ $80.69 / Senkou B ~ $80.41). Short-term EMAs show a peak-and-reversal footprint, introducing near-term vulnerability despite the higher-longer averages.

Bollinger bands compress (upper 1σ $84.86 / lower 1σ $80.39) and implied volatility remains low, pointing to a tighter range until a momentum catalyst arrives. Volume at 148,493 exceeded the 10-day and 50-day averages, indicating episodic trader interest around recent news.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $281,779,000 for the period ended 2026-03-31, with year-over-year revenue decline of 21.41% and sequential performance showing sharper contraction (revenue growth quarter-over-quarter: -294.56% in the supplied scale). The YoY revenue drop materially compresses operating leverage and underlies the margin trends below.

Gross margin stands at 19.08%, down 10.92% YoY. Operating margin registers 8.24% and EBIT margin 8.10%; EBIT margin improved modestly QoQ by 1.93% but declined YoY by 22.30%. EBIT of $22,820,000 and EBITDA of $31,161,000 reflect profitability on a smaller revenue base, while operating leverage remains positive but insufficient to offset topline contraction.

EPS came in at $1.43 versus an estimate of $1.16, producing an EPS surprise of +23.28%. Forward EPS $1.19 and forward PE ~64.18 show stretched consensus forward valuation relative to current earnings momentum; trailing PE reads 54.93. WMDST notes the current valuation status as over-valued.

Cash generation weakened: free cash flow registered negative $21,468,000, producing a free cash flow yield of -2.34% and free cash growth deeply negative on both QoQ and YoY bases. Operating cash flow essentially flat at $197,000, and the cash balance sits at $1,291,000, limiting liquidity flexibility despite a current ratio of 2.30. The cash conversion cycle measures 86.5 days, above the industry peer mean of ~15.37 days and closer to the industry peer high, reflecting capital tied in inventory and receivables.

Balance-sheet and coverage metrics present offsets: total debt $98,310,000 with net debt ~$75,086,000 and interest coverage ~43.63x, indicating low borrowing strain. Debt-to-EBITDA of 3.15 shows moderate leverage against current earnings. Dividend yield equals 1.28% with a payout ratio ~69.47% and dividend coverage ratio ~1.44, which leaves limited flexibility if cash flow remains negative.

Key QoQ/YoY deltas: EBIT margin QoQ +1.93%, EBIT margin YoY -22.30%; operating margin QoQ +2.07%, operating margin YoY -20.98%; return on equity 4.35% with a YoY decline of 25.25%. Asset growth registered +5.33% year-over-year, while asset turnover slipped slightly YoY. These dynamics point toward margin restoration as the primary route to re-rationalize valuation.

Valuation summary: trailing PE ~54.93, forward PE ~64.18, enterprise multiple ~32.57, and WMDST’s current valuation designation: over-valued. Profitability sits below the industry peer mean and median on key margins, cash conversion weakens free-cash-driven valuation, and leverage remains moderate but serviceable given strong interest coverage.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 197.0 K
 Capital Expenditures -21.66 M
 Change In Working Capital -25.42 M
 Dividends Paid -11.70 M
 Cash Flow Delta -1.11 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 281.8 M
 Forward Revenue 58.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 228.0 M
 Depreciation 8.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 8.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 258.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 53.8 M
 EBITDA 31.2 M
 EBIT 22.8 M
 Operating Income 23.2 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 523.0 K
 Net Interest Income -523.00 K
 Income Before Tax 22.3 M
 Tax Provision 5.4 M
 Tax Rate 24.4 %
 Net Income 16.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 16.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.16
 EPS Actual 1.43
 EPS Difference 0.27
 EPS Surprise 23.276 %
 Forward EPS 1.19
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 650.7 M
 Intangible Assets 15.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 372.3 M
 Total Current Assets 352.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 M
 Cash 1.3 M
 Net Receivables 85.2 M
 Inventory 252.6 M
 Long-Term Investments 9.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 73.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 35.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 153.2 M
 Net Debt 75.1 M
 Total Debt 98.3 M
 Total Liabilities 263.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 387.6 M
 Retained Earnings 245.8 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 33.17
 Shares Outstanding 11.690 M
 Revenue Per-Share 24.11
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 918.0 M
 Enterprise Value 1.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 32.573
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 21.214 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 19.337 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 118.803
median: 54.618
mean: 54.617
JBSS: 32.573
low: -13.556
 EV/R 3.602
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.679
 Asset To Liability 2.474
 Debt To Capital 0.202
 Debt To Assets 0.151
Debt To Assets QoQ 37.505 %
Debt To Assets YoY -27.175 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.512
mean: 0.307
median: 0.304
JBSS: 0.151
low: 0.011
 Debt To Equity 0.254
Debt To Equity QoQ 38.298 %
Debt To Equity YoY -28.184 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.764
median: 0.84
mean: 0.833
JBSS: 0.254
low: -1.781
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.368
Price To Book QoQ 5.687 %
Price To Book YoY -1.928 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.113
JBSS: 2.368
median: 2.152
mean: 1.956
low: -2.284
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 54.929
Price To Earnings QoQ 18.432 %
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 97.779
median: 85.657
mean: 75.076
JBSS: 54.929
low: -5.797
 PE/G Ratio -8.404
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.258
Price To Sales QoQ 23.654 %
Price To Sales YoY 1.558 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 13.292
mean: 5.978
median: 5.391
JBSS: 3.258
low: 0.222
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 64.178
Forward PE/G -9.819
Forward P/S 15.787
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.836
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.444
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -14.151 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.339 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.557
JBSS: 0.444
mean: 0.219
median: 0.144
low: 0.005
 Receivables Turnover 3.414
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -10.955 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.899 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.656
JBSS: 3.414
mean: 3.354
median: 2.652
low: 0.863
 Inventory Turnover 0.934
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -14.07 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 5.654 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.314
median: 1.713
mean: 1.636
low: 1.028
JBSS: 0.934
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 26.726
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 86.533
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.498 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -4.782 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 94.582
JBSS: 86.533
median: 18.668
mean: 15.366
low: -31.323
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.416
 CapEx To Revenue -0.077
 CapEx To Depreciation -2.597
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 428.3 M
 Net Invested Capital 464.0 M
 Invested Capital 464.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 372.3 M
 Net Working Capital 199.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.008
 Current Ratio 2.299
Current Ratio QoQ 1.177 %
Current Ratio YoY 14.55 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.76
JBSS: 2.299
median: 1.195
mean: 1.076
low: 0.522
 Quick Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio QoQ -5.272 %
Quick Ratio YoY 23.686 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.834
median: 0.701
JBSS: 0.65
mean: 0.635
low: 0.295
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 3.155
 Cost Of Debt 0.476 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 43.633
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -12.253 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 69.257 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA JBSS: 43.633
high: 22.556
mean: 6.631
median: 5.28
low: -8.784
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.028
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 27.308
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.44
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.695
 Dividend Rate 1.00
 Dividend Yield 0.013
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.332 %
 Revenue Growth -10.483 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -294.562 %
Revenue Growth YoY -21.411 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 27.474 %
mean: -1.549 %
median: -3.963 %
JBSS: -10.483 %
low: -13.326 %
 Earnings Growth -6.536 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 73.185 %
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 87.5 %
mean: -6.297 %
JBSS: -6.536 %
median: -6.944 %
low: -108.571 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 19.083 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.522 %
Gross Margin YoY -10.923 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 49.389 %
median: 27.808 %
mean: 25.076 %
JBSS: 19.083 %
low: 5.964 %
 EBIT Margin 8.099 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 1.925 %
EBIT Margin YoY -22.304 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 20.857 %
mean: 10.926 %
median: 9.157 %
JBSS: 8.099 %
low: -0.892 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.237 %
Return On Sales QoQ 2.069 %
Return On Sales YoY -20.98 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 20.833 %
mean: 10.39 %
median: 8.532 %
JBSS: 8.237 %
low: -1.246 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -21.47 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.339 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -148.437 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -47.906 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.647 %
mean: 0.636 %
median: 0.21 %
JBSS: -2.339 %
low: -7.949 %
 Free Cash Growth -153.608 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -133.991 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -111.729 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 237.752 %
mean: -68.548 %
median: -92.246 %
JBSS: -153.608 %
low: -272.674 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.274
 Cash Flow Margin -1.499 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.251
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.657 %
Return On Assets QoQ -9.993 %
Return On Assets YoY -25.155 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.134 %
JBSS: 2.657 %
mean: 1.22 %
median: 0.785 %
low: -0.301 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.587 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.043
Return On Equity QoQ -10.429 %
Return On Equity YoY -25.249 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.052
JBSS: 0.043
median: 0.022
mean: 0.021
low: -0.005
 DuPont ROE 4.447 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.716 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -15.871 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -21.354 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.858 %
JBSS: 3.716 %
mean: 2.019 %
median: 1.393 %
low: -0.413 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a constrained trading range with short-term downside bias unless momentum indicators stabilize. Technicals present a mixed set: structural support from 50/200-day averages and the ichimoku cloud contrasts with a bearish MACD and a positive MRO that favors mean reversion. Management change and investor presentations add event-driven volatility; watch whether price sustains above the 20-day average and the ichimoku span—failure to hold those levels increases the likelihood of a pullback toward the lower Bollinger band. Conversely, renewed momentum above recent highs and a MACD cross above its signal line would clear the path for re-testing the analyst price-target mean near $100.76, while current fundamentals and negative free cash flow maintain valuation pressure.

About John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (NASDAQ:JBSS) produces and distributes a wide array of nut products, targeting both retail and commercial markets. Established in 1922 and headquartered in Elgin, Illinois, the company offers a comprehensive range of tree nuts and peanuts, such as almonds, pecans, and cashews, available in raw and processed varieties. Additionally, their product line includes peanut butter, snack mixes, and chocolate-coated items, emphasizing quality and taste. The company markets its products under recognized brands like Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, and Squirrel Brand, and also meets private label demands. John B. Sanfilippo & Son caters to a diverse clientele, including wholesalers, commercial ingredient users, and contract packaging customers, supported by an extensive network of brokers and distributors. By prioritizing innovation and customer satisfaction, John B. Sanfilippo & Son maintains a strong presence in the snack food industry, skillfully combining traditional flavors with contemporary culinary trends.



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