Carriage Services, Inc (NYSE:CSV) Projects Near-Term Downward Pressure Despite Valuation Edge

Carriage Services operates an acquisition-driven deathcare platform that shows resilient margins but recent momentum indicators signal short-term downside risk. Fundamentals present an undervalued profile while technicals point to weakening price momentum.

Recent News

May 27, 2026 — Carriage Services completed the acquisition of substantially all assets of McCammon Ammons Click Funeral Home, expanding into the Greater Knoxville, Tennessee market.

July 16, 2026 — The Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1125 per share payable September 1, 2026, to holders of record on August 3, 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show an emerging trend: ADX at 21.79 denotes trend development rather than strength, while DI+ at 27.20 shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, which signals bearish bias through a falling DI+; simultaneous DI- dip-and-reversal toward 19.11 reinforces that the negative directional component has turned higher, compounding near-term downward pressure.

MACD sits mildly positive at 0.15, but the MACD trend reads peak-and-reversal with the signal line at -0.01; that peak-and-reversal classification represents fading bullish momentum and supports a short-term bearish momentum interpretation despite the modest absolute MACD value.

MRO at 17.21 registers above zero with an increasing trajectory, indicating price sits above the model target and carries pressure toward price consolidation or decline as momentum normalizes.

RSI at 47.17 recently showed a peak-and-reversal; the level remains near neutral but the reversal pattern signals momentum loss rather than oversold recovery, aligning with other bearish momentum signals.

Price sits below the 200-day average ($42.62) and below short-term EMAs (12-day EMA $39.45; 26-day EMA $39.22), with the 12-day EMA showing a peak-and-reversal pattern — a setup that places the longer-term average near-term as resistance while short-term averages roll over.

Ichimoku components keep price under Senkou A ($40.01) and Senkou B ($44.42), reinforcing resistance around the $40–$44 band. Bollinger upper and lower bands near $41.10 and $37.19 imply current price volatility compresses inside the recent range, while current volume (434,726) runs well above short- and medium-term averages, indicating active participation during recent moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operating performance retains strength: EBIT equals $25,283,000 with an EBIT margin of 23.825%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 22.387% and above the industry peer median of 22.364%, supporting higher operating efficiency relative to typical peers. QoQ change in EBIT margin rose +2.45%, while YoY EBIT margin contracted -23.97%, reflecting margin compression versus the prior-year period.

Revenue totaled $106,120,000 with YoY revenue growth at -93.691% and QoQ revenue decline at -77.315% — those wide negative growth figures reflect either significant seasonality or comparatives; operating margin (24.081%) tracks near the industry peer mean of 22.09% and shows QoQ improvement (+5.088%) but sharp YoY erosion (-23.155%).

Earnings per share arrived at $0.78 versus an estimate of $0.82, producing an EPS surprise of -4.88% (difference -$0.04). Forward EPS runs $0.9405 with forward PE ~46.22; trailing PE stands at 53.67. Earnings growth YoY shows a -73.254% change while the point-in-time earningsGrowth figure reads +14.667% — these contrasting entries indicate recent period volatility in reported earnings versus prior reporting cycles and warrant attention to upcoming reports (next report date listed as 2026-11-04).

Liquidity and cash metrics remain functional but modest: cash and short-term investments $2,908,000, current ratio 1.15 (above the industry peer mean of 0.77833), quick ratio near 0.995, and operating cash flow $14,898,000 with free cash flow $11,002,000 and free cash flow yield ~1.50%, below the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 8.162%.

Leverage stays elevated: total debt $546,047,000, net debt $523,935,000, debt-to-assets ~40.50%, debt-to-equity ~204.56%, and debt-to-EBITDA ~17.30; interest coverage measures 3.67 which sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 3.68421 and materially below the peer mean on other samples, indicating sensitivity to earnings volatility.

Dividend context: the company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.1125 per share (Board action July 16, 2026); the provided dividend payout ratio reads 13.134% with a dividend yield ~0.242% — payout metrics remain modest relative to total capital return considerations.

Valuation summary: market capitalization $732,635,709 and enterprise value $1,275,774,709 produce an enterprise multiple near 40.43 and an EVR of 12.022. Price targets show a mean of $40.07 versus a current close of $37.00. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: under-valued, supported by margin strength relative to the industry peer mean and a price below the peer-adjusted target mean.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 14.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -3.90 M
 Change In Working Capital -9.73 M
 Dividends Paid -1.77 M
 Cash Flow Delta 1.2 M
 End Period Cash Flow 2.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 106.1 M
 Forward Revenue 29.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 67.5 M
 Depreciation 6.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 6.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 80.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 38.6 M
 EBITDA 31.6 M
 EBIT 25.3 M
 Operating Income 25.6 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 6.9 M
 Net Interest Income -6.88 M
 Income Before Tax 18.4 M
 Tax Provision 4.9 M
 Tax Rate 28.1 %
 Net Income 13.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 13.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.82
 EPS Actual 0.78
 EPS Difference -0.04
 EPS Surprise -4.878 %
 Forward EPS 0.94
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.3 B
 Intangible Assets 471.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets -204.91 M
 Total Current Assets 57.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.9 M
 Cash 2.9 M
 Net Receivables 38.4 M
 Inventory 7.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 325.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 12.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 4.6 M
 Total Current Liabilities 49.6 M
 Net Debt 523.9 M
 Total Debt 546.0 M
 Total Liabilities 1.1 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 266.9 M
 Retained Earnings 308.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 16.82
 Shares Outstanding 15.872 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.69
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 732.6 M
 Enterprise Value 1.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 40.426
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 2.303 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 37.807 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 69.629
median: 49.442
mean: 46.06
CSV: 40.426
low: 4.967
 EV/R 12.022
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.051
 Asset To Liability 1.247
 Debt To Capital 0.672
 Debt To Assets 0.405
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.347 %
Debt To Assets YoY -5.559 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.597
median: 0.494
mean: 0.42
CSV: 0.405
low: 0.278
 Debt To Equity 2.046
Debt To Equity QoQ -5.672 %
Debt To Equity YoY -16.559 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.126
median: 3.259
CSV: 2.046
mean: -11.662
low: -83.118
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.745
Price To Book QoQ 2.285 %
Price To Book YoY 0.308 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 18.15
median: 7.144
CSV: 2.745
mean: -22.371
low: -170.989
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 53.672
Price To Earnings QoQ -7.254 %
Price To Earnings YoY 32.482 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 101.493
median: 84.474
mean: 73.38
CSV: 53.672
low: 5.461
 PE/G Ratio 3.659
 Price To Sales (P/S) 6.904
Price To Sales QoQ 6.523 %
Price To Sales YoY 21.112 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 10.324
median: 9.276
mean: 7.898
CSV: 6.904
low: 1.738
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 46.218
Forward PE/G 3.151
Forward P/S 24.959
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.075
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.079
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.408 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -6.013 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.759
mean: 0.229
median: 0.185
CSV: 0.079
low: 0.059
 Receivables Turnover 2.755
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.568 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -19.417 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 45.2
mean: 16.347
median: 10.928
low: 2.795
CSV: 2.755
 Inventory Turnover 8.706
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.113 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.794 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 67.064
median: 39.913
mean: 35.523
CSV: 8.706
low: 0.424
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 33.123
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 22.446
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 23.019 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 32.871 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 32.652
CSV: 22.446
mean: -30.383
median: -42.346
low: -60.319
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 14.168
 CapEx To Revenue -0.037
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.654
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 789.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 793.8 M
 Invested Capital 793.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -204.91 M
 Net Working Capital 7.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.059
 Current Ratio 1.151
Current Ratio QoQ 17.428 %
Current Ratio YoY 21.107 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.466
CSV: 1.151
mean: 0.778
median: 0.566
low: 0.463
 Quick Ratio 0.995
Quick Ratio QoQ 17.836 %
Quick Ratio YoY 24.272 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.296
CSV: 0.995
mean: 0.988
median: 0.931
low: 0.132
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.303
 Cost Of Debt 0.919 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.673
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 6.109 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -20.113 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 42.818
mean: 10.84
median: 3.831
low: 3.684
CSV: 3.673
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.275
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 20.954
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.614
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.131
 Dividend Rate 0.11
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.179 %
 Revenue Growth 0.605 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -77.315 %
Revenue Growth YoY -93.691 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 1105.897 %
mean: 190.983 %
CSV: 0.605 %
median: -1.356 %
low: -2.927 %
 Earnings Growth 14.667 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 0.0 %
Earnings Growth YoY -73.254 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 217.391 %
CSV: 14.667 %
median: -14.912 %
mean: -48.331 %
low: -427.174 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 36.412 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.78 %
Gross Margin YoY 3.022 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 56.968 %
CSV: 36.412 %
mean: 35.888 %
median: 26.125 %
low: 22.955 %
 EBIT Margin 23.825 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 2.451 %
EBIT Margin YoY -23.972 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 43.399 %
CSV: 23.825 %
mean: 22.387 %
median: 22.364 %
low: 9.119 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 24.081 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5.088 %
Return On Sales YoY -23.155 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 43.235 %
CSV: 24.081 %
median: 22.12 %
mean: 22.09 %
low: 9.119 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 11.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.502 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 178.664 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -13.777 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 36.932 %
mean: 8.162 %
median: 1.994 %
low: 1.991 %
CSV: 1.502 %
 Free Cash Growth 198.562 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -281.223 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 69.316 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA CSV: 198.562 %
high: 70.834 %
median: 18.947 %
mean: -26.032 %
low: -336.967 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.815
 Cash Flow Margin 12.846 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.01
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.002 %
Return On Assets QoQ 9.748 %
Return On Assets YoY -38.828 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 26.825 %
mean: 5.479 %
CSV: 1.002 %
median: 0.888 %
low: 0.73 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.947 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.051
Return On Equity QoQ 4.92 %
Return On Equity YoY -46.125 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.177
median: 0.086
CSV: 0.051
mean: -5.944
low: -34.79
 DuPont ROE 5.172 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.336 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 6.085 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -35.039 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 59.26 %
mean: 12.581 %
median: 2.725 %
CSV: 2.336 %
low: 1.878 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators converge on near-term weakness: directional indicators and MACD reversal patterns favor downside or range-bound drift, while MRO signals price above modeled target and likely to correct. Expect price to test the short-term resistance band around the $39–$41 area (12/26 EMA and Senkou A), with the 200-day average near $42.62 posing a stronger hurdle if any mean reversion attempts occur. Trading volumes above recent averages indicate active positioning; however, elevated leverage and thin free cash flow yield create sensitivity to further earnings or cash-flow surprises.

About Carriage Services, Inc.

Carriage Services, Inc. (NYSE:CSV) delivers comprehensive funeral and cemetery services throughout the United States. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Carriage Services divides its operations into two primary segments: Funeral Home Operations and Cemetery Operations. The Funeral Home Operations segment provides a full suite of services, including professional consultation, facilities for visitation and memorial services, transportation, and preparation of remains. It also offers a variety of funeral merchandise, such as caskets, urns, and cremation services, ensuring families can arrange all necessary services in one location. The Cemetery Operations segment offers dignified final resting places by providing interment rights for grave sites, lawn crypts, mausoleum spaces, and niches. This segment also supplies related merchandise like memorial markers and monuments and manages their installation and maintenance. Established in 1991, Carriage Services commits to delivering compassionate and personalized service, blending traditional values with modern practices. The company’s dedicated team supports families with empathy and professionalism, ensuring that each service serves as a meaningful tribute to those who have passed.



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