Viavi Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:VIAV) Signals Near-Term Recovery But Remains Overvalued

Viavi shows mixed near-term technical support while fundamentals and WMDST valuation classify the stock as over-valued; recent corporate actions and product launches add execution clarity but do not alter the stated valuation.

Recent News

Jun 23, 2026 — VIAVI announced an industry-first validation solution for Ultra Ethernet Transport aimed at AI data-center deployments. May 19, 2026 — the company priced a public offering of 11,111,111 shares at $45.00 per share. May 12, 2026 — the board approved a rotation of Audit Committee chairpersons. Apr 27, 2026 — VIAVI disclosed an investment in a PCIe 7.0 protocol analysis testing platform.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 22.55 indicates an emerging trend; DI+ exhibits a dip-and-reverse (increasing), and DI- shows a peak-and-reverse (decreasing), both of which support short-term bullish directional pressure into the immediate horizon.

MACD: MACD sits at -1.89 with the signal at -1.90, producing a recent cross above the signal line (a bullish signal), yet the MACD_trend registers a peak-and-reversal consistent with weakening momentum; this combination points to a short-lived bullish technical trigger amid fading momentum.

MRO: MRO reads 0.26 (positive), indicating current price sits above the model target and therefore carries downside pressure toward that target; the MRO_trend shows a peak-and-reversal, reinforcing the bias toward mean reversion.

RSI and momentum breadth: RSI at 44.29 with a peak-and-reversal denotes falling relative strength beneath neutral, consistent with the MACD weakening; momentum breadth does not support a durable breakout at present.

Price vs. averages and volatility: Last close $39.52 lies below the 20-day average $40.78 and well below the 50-day average $47.09, but above the 200-day average $31.34; price near the lower Bollinger band ($38.70) suggests limited upside room to re-test near-term resistance bands. Beta (42-day) of 2.52 and elevated short-term volatility imply rapid intraday moves, while average volumes sit below multi-horizon norms, reducing conviction in swift trend changes.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & margins: Operating income $42,100,000 and EBIT $27,000,000 translate to an operating margin of 10.35% and an EBIT margin of 6.64%. EBIT margin improved YoY by 87.17% but contracted QoQ by 1.996 percentage points. The EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 15.376% and below the industry peer median of 14.986%, placing Viavi on the lower side of peer profitability ranges.

Revenue, growth, and R&D: Total revenue $406,800,000 with YoY revenue growth of 96.40% but a QoQ decline of 56.74%—the YoY gain likely reflects acquisition-related revenue recognition while the QoQ drop signals near-term timing variability. R&D expense $71,000,000 supports product development cited in recent launches.

Cash flow and liquidity: Cash and short-term investments $500,800,000; operating cash flow negative at -$26,300,000 and free cash flow -$32,200,000 produce a free cash flow yield of -0.41%, with a cash conversion ratio of 1.01. Current ratio 1.61 and quick ratio 1.39 provide moderate coverage of near-term obligations; net debt $581,800,000 and debt-to-equity 1.34 indicate material leverage.

Returns and efficiency: Return on equity 0.76% and return on invested capital 0.84% remain low relative to typical capital intensity benchmarks; asset turnover 0.153 is below the industry peer mean of 0.18499 and near the industry peer median, indicating lower revenue generation per dollar of assets.

Earnings and valuation multiples: Reported EPS $0.27 exceeded the estimate $0.23 by $0.04, a surprise ratio of 17.39%. Trailing PE 126.4 and forward PE ~102.1 both sit below the industry peer mean PE of 136.40 and near the industry peer median of 131.74, while P/B at 9.33 exceeds the industry peer mean of 8.39 and is close to the industry peer median of 9.10. PS ratio 19.42 compares to an industry peer mean of 21.95. WMDST values the stock as over-valued; price targets from external consensus show a mean near $54.64 versus the last close $39.52, implying analyst upside but not altering WMDST’s stated valuation assessment.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 776.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow -26.30 M
 Capital Expenditures -5.90 M
 Change In Working Capital -114.80 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -264.80 M
 End Period Cash Flow 511.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 406.8 M
 Forward Revenue 1.2 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 172.7 M
 Depreciation 10.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 30.7 M
 Research and Development 71.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 364.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 234.1 M
 EBITDA 57.7 M
 EBIT 27.0 M
 Operating Income 42.1 M
 Interest Income 7.0 M
 Interest Expense 13.2 M
 Net Interest Income -7.30 M
 Income Before Tax 13.8 M
 Tax Provision 7.4 M
 Tax Rate 40.0 %
 Net Income 6.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 6.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.23
 EPS Actual 0.27
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 17.391 %
 Forward EPS 0.32
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.5 B
 Intangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets -253.30 M
 Total Current Assets 1.1 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 500.8 M
 Cash 499.0 M
 Net Receivables 320.3 M
 Inventory 147.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 21.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 81.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 244.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 652.5 M
 Net Debt 581.8 M
 Total Debt 1.1 B
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 846.5 M
 Retained Earnings -69.72 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 3.66
 Shares Outstanding 233.900 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.76
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 7.9 B
 Enterprise Value 8.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 147.908
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -86.413 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 48.69 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 364.265
VIAV: 147.908
mean: 94.759
median: 79.445
low: -215.509
 EV/R 20.979
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.986
 Asset To Liability 1.503
 Debt To Capital 0.573
 Debt To Assets 0.45
Debt To Assets QoQ -6.083 %
Debt To Assets YoY 25.731 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.98
VIAV: 0.45
mean: 0.272
median: 0.263
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 1.343
Debt To Equity QoQ -15.768 %
Debt To Equity YoY 41.541 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.293
VIAV: 1.343
mean: 0.7
median: 0.571
low: -0.773
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 9.331
Price To Book QoQ 94.153 %
Price To Book YoY 187.971 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.798
VIAV: 9.331
median: 9.099
mean: 8.387
low: -2.416
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 126.422
Price To Earnings QoQ 60.512 %
Price To Earnings YoY 78.353 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 474.071
mean: 136.396
median: 131.744
VIAV: 126.422
low: -220.021
 PE/G Ratio 5.563
 Price To Sales (P/S) 19.416
Price To Sales QoQ 78.833 %
Price To Sales YoY 134.168 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 99.122
median: 22.531
mean: 21.953
VIAV: 19.416
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 102.092
Forward PE/G 4.492
Forward P/S 6.949
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -20.657
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.153
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.901 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.509 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.534
median: 0.185
mean: 0.185
VIAV: 0.153
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.345
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.104 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.873 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.612
mean: 1.453
median: 1.439
VIAV: 1.345
low: 0.528
 Inventory Turnover 1.196
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.0 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 0.674 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.973
VIAV: 1.196
mean: 1.023
median: 1.009
low: 0.128
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 67.843
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 101.135
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -1.58 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -8.27 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 308.893
VIAV: 101.135
mean: 100.465
median: 91.076
low: -44.852
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.014
 CapEx To Revenue -0.015
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.573
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -253.30 M
 Net Working Capital 401.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.768
 Current Ratio 1.615
Current Ratio QoQ -38.164 %
Current Ratio YoY 5.293 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 14.867
mean: 2.492
median: 1.714
VIAV: 1.615
low: 0.37
 Quick Ratio 1.388
Quick Ratio QoQ -40.255 %
Quick Ratio YoY 5.138 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 13.913
mean: 1.911
VIAV: 1.388
median: 1.259
low: 0.247
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 19.697
 Cost Of Debt 1.024 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.045
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -217.239 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 39.738 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 69.571
mean: 9.217
median: 7.828
VIAV: 2.045
low: -197.838
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.023
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 49.765
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -9.0 %
 Revenue Growth 10.154 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -56.736 %
Revenue Growth YoY 96.402 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.82 %
VIAV: 10.154 %
median: 7.12 %
mean: 6.541 %
low: -56.837 %
 Earnings Growth 22.727 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -51.3 %
Earnings Growth YoY 47.722 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 58.333 %
VIAV: 22.727 %
median: 9.278 %
mean: 1.727 %
low: -186.111 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 57.547 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.912 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.987 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 99.349 %
VIAV: 57.547 %
mean: 37.743 %
median: 36.783 %
low: -36.179 %
 EBIT Margin 6.637 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -199.64 %
EBIT Margin YoY 87.169 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 48.781 %
mean: 15.376 %
median: 14.986 %
VIAV: 6.637 %
low: -233.527 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.349 %
Return On Sales QoQ 238.203 %
Return On Sales YoY 191.85 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 40.821 %
mean: 15.725 %
median: 15.42 %
VIAV: 10.349 %
low: -176.472 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -32.20 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.408 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -144.348 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -1071.429 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.592 %
median: 0.346 %
mean: 0.26 %
VIAV: -0.408 %
low: -18.584 %
 Free Cash Growth -187.263 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -392.598 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 92.539 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 300.72 %
mean: -8.264 %
median: -43.487 %
VIAV: -187.263 %
low: -399.154 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -5.031
 Cash Flow Margin -3.736 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -2.375
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.241 %
Return On Assets QoQ -112.178 %
Return On Assets YoY -77.392 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.143 %
median: 2.381 %
mean: 1.976 %
VIAV: 0.241 %
low: -20.105 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.44 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.008
Return On Equity QoQ -113.114 %
Return On Equity YoY -71.749 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.162
mean: 0.047
median: 0.045
VIAV: 0.008
low: -0.303
 DuPont ROE 0.761 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.841 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -191.314 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 90.271 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.857 %
mean: 2.733 %
median: 2.694 %
VIAV: 0.841 %
low: -10.75 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term technicals favor a cautiously bullish directional bias supported by rising DI+ and a DI- peak reversal amid an emerging ADX. Momentum indicators (MACD, RSI, MRO) suggest limited stamina for a sustained advance, and price remains beneath intermediate moving averages with the ichimoku cloud above price—conditions that favor range-bound action and mean reversion. Key catalysts to monitor: execution and adoption signals from the recent Ultra Ethernet validation launch, liquidity effects from the recently priced equity offering, and any guidance updates tied to the company’s fiscal calendar. Volatility and elevated beta imply that any directional move could produce swift intraday swings; position sizing and risk controls matter for short-duration strategies given current leverage levels and negative near-term cash flow.

About Viavi Solutions Inc.

Viavi Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:VIAV) develops advanced network test, monitoring, and assurance solutions catering to a diverse clientele, including communications service providers, hyperscalers, network equipment manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, government entities, and avionics customers. Headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, Viavi Solutions operates globally, serving regions across the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company organizes its operations into three primary segments: Network Enablement (NE), Service Enablement (SE), and Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP). The NE segment delivers comprehensive testing solutions that facilitate network build-out and maintenance, utilizing instruments, software, and services to design, activate, certify, troubleshoot, and optimize networks. This segment also provides test and measurement instrumentation for sectors such as aviation, aerospace, government, and defense. The SE segment enhances communication service providers, enterprises, and cloud operators with embedded systems and enterprise performance management solutions, offering visibility into network, service, and application data. Meanwhile, the OSP segment produces optical products for anti-counterfeiting, consumer electronics, industrial, government, automotive, and industrial markets. Founded in 1923, Viavi Solutions continues to innovate in the field of network and optical solutions, maintaining a strong presence across multiple industries.



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