Coherent Corp. (NASDAQ:COHR) Navigates Near-Term Volatility Despite Premium Valuation

Coherent presents operational momentum alongside stretched multiples, creating a technical backdrop prone to short-lived pullbacks while fundamentals show profitable expansion and cash pressure. The immediate outlook centers on momentum signals and valuation sensitivity rather than trend continuation.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 15.98 signals no established trend; directional movement remains muted. DI+ registered 23.73 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, which signals bearish directional pressure. DI- sits at 17.83 and is decreasing, which supports reduced downside pressure but does not offset the DI+ peak reversal.

MACD: MACD reads 9.83 with a signal line at 11.31 and a peak-and-reversal MACD_trend; MACD below its signal line indicates bearish momentum in the near term and suggests recent bullish momentum has rolled over.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 27.31 (dip & reversal) shows price sits above the model target and presents mean-reversion pressure; the positive MRO points to a greater likelihood of downward adjustment from current levels.

RSI: RSI at 56.86 with a decreasing trend shows fading short-term momentum while still sitting below overbought territory; RSI decline aligns with MACD weakness and increases the chance of a consolidation or pullback.

Price vs Moving Averages and Other Structure: Price closed at $392.50, above the 200-day average ($228.49) and above the 50-day average ($363.23), indicating long-term strength. Price sits slightly above the 20-day average ($387.46) while the 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal, reinforcing short-term rollover risk. Bollinger bands place price between the 1x upper ($412.39) and lower ($362.52) bands, permitting room for mean reversion. High short-term betas (42-day 3.51; 52-week 3.0) imply amplified moves relative to the market, heightening sensitivity to the technical signals above.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT at $228,905,000 yields an EBIT margin of 12.68%. That margin sits below the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 16.07% but above the industry low; EBIT margin declined modestly QoQ by roughly 0.11 percentage point and expanded YoY by approximately 182.65% on the provided measure, reflecting strong year-over-year operational leverage.

Top-Line And Cash Flow: Total revenue reached $1,805,641,000 with revenue growth of 7.12% (current measure) and revenue growth YoY of 61.60%; QoQ revenue growth registers 8.01%. Operating cash flow registers negative at -$93,797,000, while free cash flow equals -$383,481,000 and free cash flow yield stands at -0.71%, indicating negative free cash conversion in the most recent period despite positive cash flow to earnings ratio (71.57%).

Balance Sheet And Liquidity: Cash and short-term investments total $2,417,730,000 and cash equals $1,592,730,000; current ratio measures 3.05 and quick ratio 2.04, both reflecting ample near-term liquidity. Net debt equals $1,601,051,000, producing debt-to-equity of 0.32 and debt-to-EBITDA of 9.47; interest coverage near 5.14 supports servicing costs but the debt-to-EBITDA level signals leverage that merits monitoring.

Margins And Returns: Gross margin measures 37.66% and operating margin 12.53%, with operating margin up QoQ and strongly positive YoY growth by the provided metric. Return on equity at 1.79% and return on assets at 1.18% remain modest relative to capital deployed, while return on invested capital reads 1.63%.

Valuation Metrics: P/E stands at 194.72, forward P/E at 112.64, PEG near 20.93, price-to-book 5.03 (below the industry peer mean book multiple of 8.37), price-to-sales 29.73, and enterprise value to revenue and multiples are elevated (enterprise multiple 151.18, EVR 30.29). WMDST values the stock as over-valued. Several multiples (trailing and forward P/E, PEG, PS, EV multiples) sit above the industry peer mean or median where comparable figures exist, indicating premium pricing versus peers in multiple metrics while P/B trades below the peer mean.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.5 B
 Operating Cash Flow -93.80 M
 Capital Expenditures -289.68 M
 Change In Working Capital -392.29 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 697.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 2.2 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.8 B
 Forward Revenue 942.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.1 B
 Depreciation 62.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 132.9 M
 Research and Development 186.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 679.9 M
 EBITDA 361.8 M
 EBIT 228.9 M
 Operating Income 226.3 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 44.6 M
 Net Interest Income -44.56 M
 Income Before Tax 184.3 M
 Tax Provision 2.7 M
 Tax Rate 1.451 %
 Net Income 191.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 181.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.39
 EPS Actual 1.41
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 1.439 %
 Forward EPS 2.04
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 17.3 B
 Intangible Assets 7.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Total Current Assets 6.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.4 B
 Cash 1.6 B
 Net Receivables 1.2 B
 Inventory 2.1 B
 Long-Term Investments 988.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.3 B
 Short-Term Debt 9.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 2.1 B
 Net Debt 1.6 B
 Total Debt 3.4 B
 Total Liabilities 6.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 10.7 B
 Retained Earnings 1.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 54.60
 Shares Outstanding 195.546 M
 Revenue Per-Share 9.23
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 53.7 B
 Enterprise Value 54.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 151.181
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 42.22 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 133.192 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 364.265
COHR: 151.181
mean: 83.781
median: 79.445
low: -215.509
 EV/R 30.291
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.619
 Asset To Liability 2.757
 Debt To Capital 0.243
 Debt To Assets 0.198
Debt To Assets QoQ -15.707 %
Debt To Assets YoY -27.443 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.75
mean: 0.271
median: 0.241
COHR: 0.198
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.321
Debt To Equity QoQ -22.761 %
Debt To Equity YoY -56.469 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.293
mean: 0.712
median: 0.447
COHR: 0.321
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.028
Price To Book QoQ 28.352 %
Price To Book YoY 149.141 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.465
mean: 8.367
median: 8.189
COHR: 5.028
low: -2.416
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 194.716
Price To Earnings QoQ 40.725 %
Price To Earnings YoY 154.179 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 398.734
COHR: 194.716
median: 131.744
mean: 114.649
low: -220.021
 PE/G Ratio 20.933
 Price To Sales (P/S) 29.733
Price To Sales QoQ 49.816 %
Price To Sales YoY 312.261 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 99.122
COHR: 29.733
mean: 19.567
median: 19.416
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 112.639
Forward PE/G 12.109
Forward P/S 57.518
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.984
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.112
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.44 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 6.655 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.534
mean: 0.201
median: 0.194
COHR: 0.112
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.61
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.553 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 2.234 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.612
COHR: 1.61
median: 1.439
mean: 1.421
low: 0.528
 Inventory Turnover 0.566
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.252 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -20.129 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.507
median: 1.278
mean: 1.126
COHR: 0.566
low: 0.128
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 56.663
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 121.607
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 0.957 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 0.924 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 308.893
COHR: 121.607
mean: 98.559
median: 82.542
low: -44.852
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.417
 CapEx To Revenue -0.16
 CapEx To Depreciation -4.642
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 13.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 13.9 B
 Invested Capital 13.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets 3.3 B
 Net Working Capital 4.3 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.144
 Current Ratio 3.05
Current Ratio QoQ 35.433 %
Current Ratio YoY 23.391 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 14.867
COHR: 3.05
mean: 2.578
median: 1.714
low: 0.634
 Quick Ratio 2.043
Quick Ratio QoQ 56.616 %
Quick Ratio YoY 32.512 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 13.913
mean: 2.06
COHR: 2.043
median: 1.259
low: 0.449
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.467
 Cost Of Debt 1.26 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.137
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 10.314 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 338.088 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 69.571
mean: 11.353
median: 8.916
COHR: 5.137
low: -197.838
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.065
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 105.685
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 14.575 %
 Revenue Growth 7.12 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 8.01 %
Revenue Growth YoY 61.598 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 20.926 %
median: 10.728 %
mean: 8.53 %
COHR: 7.12 %
low: -56.837 %
 Earnings Growth 9.302 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -16.998 %
Earnings Growth YoY -320.898 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 207.143 %
COHR: 9.302 %
median: 9.278 %
mean: 3.729 %
low: -186.111 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 37.657 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.916 %
Gross Margin YoY 6.892 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 99.349 %
mean: 38.622 %
COHR: 37.657 %
median: 36.748 %
low: -36.179 %
 EBIT Margin 12.677 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -0.11 %
EBIT Margin YoY 182.653 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 212.511 %
median: 20.531 %
mean: 16.071 %
COHR: 12.677 %
low: -371.12 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.534 %
Return On Sales QoQ 6.374 %
Return On Sales YoY 179.465 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 40.821 %
median: 20.489 %
mean: 16.7 %
COHR: 12.534 %
low: -176.472 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -383.48 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.714 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 149.65 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -250.951 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.592 %
median: 0.483 %
mean: 0.331 %
COHR: -0.714 %
low: -18.584 %
 Free Cash Growth 300.72 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 362.49 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -903.957 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA COHR: 300.72 %
high: 246.091 %
mean: -27.776 %
median: -43.487 %
low: -399.154 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -2.004
 Cash Flow Margin 7.586 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.716
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.182 %
Return On Assets QoQ 20.0 %
Return On Assets YoY 974.545 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.143 %
median: 2.381 %
mean: 2.294 %
COHR: 1.182 %
low: -20.105 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.509 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.018
Return On Equity QoQ 4.366 %
Return On Equity YoY 509.864 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.162
median: 0.065
mean: 0.054
COHR: 0.018
low: -0.303
 DuPont ROE 1.992 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.626 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 5.584 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 266.216 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 7.857 %
median: 3.398 %
mean: 2.987 %
COHR: 1.626 %
low: -10.75 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias tilts toward heightened volatility and a consolidation window. Technicals present mixed signals: long-term averages remain supportive, but short-term momentum indicators (MACD peak reversal, DI+ peak reversal, RSI decline, MRO positive) favor pullback or sideways trade rather than trend extension. Elevated valuation metrics and high short-term beta increase downside sensitivity to any negative catalysts. Expect price to test short-term support near the 20–50 day average band while momentum indicators resolve; a clear re-acceleration in MACD and DI+ would materially change the bias. Monitor liquidity measures and free-cash dynamics, as negative free cash flow coupled with high leverage metrics could amplify reaction to macro or sector flows.

About Coherent Corp.

Coherent Corp. (NASDAQ:COHR) develops and manufactures advanced materials and optoelectronic components, catering to a broad spectrum of industries globally. Headquartered in Saxonburg, Pennsylvania, the company segments its operations into Networking, Materials, and Lasers. In the Networking segment, Coherent delivers telecommunication products and datacom transceivers that enhance high-speed data transmission and connectivity. Their precision optics and components significantly contribute to the performance of projection displays and optical communication systems. The Materials segment showcases Coherent’s expertise in laser optics, infrared imaging, and semiconductor technology. The company provides thermoelectric components, polycrystalline materials, and sophisticated laser systems, particularly for the processing of superhard materials. Coherent’s Lasers segment centers on UV and IR laser technologies, offering solutions ranging from UV gas and solid-state lasers to continuous-wave systems and amplifiers. These technologies support a variety of applications, including industrial manufacturing and scientific research. Coherent Corp. consistently delivers high-quality solutions, driving technological advancement across multiple sectors and reinforcing its role as a significant player in the global market.



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