Li Auto, Inc (NASDAQ:LI) Projects Near-Term Consolidation Ahead After Product Launches

Li Auto shows stretched negative profitability but strong free cash flow and liquidity, setting up a technical environment for near-term consolidation with upside potential tied to delivery momentum.

Recent News

Jun 23, 2026 — Li Auto launched the all-new Li L8 with deliveries scheduled to begin that week. Jun 1, 2026 — the company reported May deliveries of 33,350 vehicles, bringing cumulative deliveries to 1,702,792 as of May 31, 2026. May 29, 2026 — the company reported results of its annual general meeting. Apr 30–May 1, 2026 — Li Auto published April delivery figures of 34,085 vehicles and ongoing retail/service network expansion across Chinese cities.

Technical Analysis

Directional strength: ADX at 33.68 signals a strong trend environment (ADX measures trend strength, not direction). Directional indicators align bearish: DI+ sits at 20.33 and experienced a peak-and-reverse, while DI– at 47.21 showed a dip-and-reverse; both behaviors point toward downside-directional pressure.

Momentum breadth: MACD equals –0.96 and registered a peak-and-reverse; MACD remains below its signal line (MACD signal –0.87), indicating continuing bearish momentum rather than a bullish cross.

MRO and RSI implications: MRO at –33.25 places price below the oscillator’s target and implies upside potential toward the target; the magnitude signals meaningful mean-reversion scope. RSI at 35.32 peaked and reversed, signaling bearish pressure but proximity to oversold territory that could support a counter-move if selling momentum abates.

Price vs moving averages and cloud: Last close $12.63 falls under the 12-day EMA $13.78 (decreasing), 26-day EMA $14.78, 20-day average $13.92, 50-day average $16.53 and 200-day average $18.71. Ichimoku components (Tenkan $13.75, Kijun $16.20, Senkou A $18.30, Senkou B $18.09) place price below the cloud and both key averages, reinforcing a bearish short-to-intermediate technical posture.

Volatility & levels: 20-day Bollinger bands center near $13.92 with upper/lower 1x deviations at $14.68 and $13.16 and 2x deviations at $15.44 and $12.40; the close sits just above the 2x lower band, suggesting support around $12.40 and resistance near the super-trend upper at $13.79. Volume at 5.80M versus 10-day avg 3.71M shows above-average participation on recent sessions.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT equals $-2,560,522,000 and operating income equals $-2,998,790,000, producing an EBIT margin of –11.14% (down 319.31% QoQ and down 4.51% YoY). Gross margin stands at 7.87% (declined QoQ and YoY), and operating margin equals –13.05%. Return on equity equals –3.27% and return on assets equals –1.53%.

Earnings and consensus: Reported EPS registered $-2.26 versus an estimate of $-2.02, an EPS surprise of –11.88%. Forward EPS reads $0.257, producing a forward P/E of 69.47x while trailing P/E remains negative at –7.87x. Forward P/E sits modestly above the industry peer mean value provided.

Liquidity and cash generation: Cash and short-term investments total $93.11 billion; cash alone equals $42.82 billion. Current ratio equals 1.88 and quick ratio 1.75, consistent with adequate near-term liquidity. Free cash flow reached $3.52 billion, with a free cash flow yield of 9.69%—a material positive relative to peers’ averages provided.

Leverage and capital structure: Total debt equals $17.74 billion; debt-to-assets at 12.27% and debt-to-equity at 25.31% sit below the industry peer mean levels reported, indicating a conservative balance of debt on the balance sheet.

Operational metrics: Revenue totaled $22.98 billion with YoY revenue contraction of 51.42% reported in the supplied figure; asset turnover equals 0.1538. Days payable outstanding near 115 days and a negative cash conversion cycle of about –84 days reflect the company’s working-capital profile and supplier payment dynamics.

Peer comparisons where provided: EBIT margin at –11.14% sits above the industry peer low of –52.55% but below the industry peer mean of 2.76% and median of 3.75%. P/B at 0.52x lies below the industry peer mean of 1.07x while exceeding the industry peer median of 0.387x. Gross margin at 7.87% trails the industry peer mean of 20.78%.

Valuation summary: The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, classifies the stock as under-valued. The case rests on robust cash reserves, positive free cash flow yield near 9.7%, and moderate leverage despite negative near-term profitability metrics and a elevated forward P/E.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 51.3 B
 Operating Cash Flow 3.5 B
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital 5.8 B
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 5.6 B
 End Period Cash Flow 56.9 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 23.0 B
 Forward Revenue -1.32 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 21.2 B
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development 2.7 B
 Total Operating Expenses 26.0 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.8 B
 EBITDA -2.56 B
 EBIT -2.56 B
 Operating Income -3.00 B
 Interest Income 394.0 M
 Interest Expense 40.7 M
 Net Interest Income 353.4 M
 Income Before Tax -2.60 B
 Tax Provision -325.15 M
 Tax Rate 12.5 %
 Net Income -2.29 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -2.29 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -2.02
 EPS Actual -2.26
 EPS Difference -0.24
 EPS Surprise -11.881 %
 Forward EPS 0.26
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 144.6 B
 Intangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets 68.9 B
 Total Current Assets 105.6 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 93.1 B
 Cash 42.8 B
 Net Receivables 129.0 M
 Inventory 7.0 B
 Long-Term Investments 1.8 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 36.0 B
 Short-Term Debt 6.2 B
 Total Current Liabilities 56.2 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 17.7 B
 Total Liabilities 74.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 70.1 B
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 34.27
 Shares Outstanding 2.045 B
 Revenue Per-Share 11.24
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 36.4 B
 Enterprise Value -39.01 B
 Enterprise Multiple 15.236
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -100.329 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -130.272 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 87.663
LI: 15.236
mean: 9.012
median: 0.714
low: -138.184
 EV/R -1.697
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.063
 Asset To Liability 1.955
 Debt To Capital 0.202
 Debt To Assets 0.123
Debt To Assets QoQ 6.271 %
Debt To Assets YoY 21.425 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.644
mean: 0.144
LI: 0.123
low: 0.111
median: 0.111
 Debt To Equity 0.253
Debt To Equity QoQ 3.188 %
Debt To Equity YoY 11.163 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 6.121
mean: 0.432
LI: 0.253
median: 0.189
low: 0.185
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.519
Price To Book QoQ 3.12 %
Price To Book YoY -29.583 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.594
mean: 1.065
LI: 0.519
median: 0.387
low: 0.005
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -7.867
Price To Earnings QoQ -100.436 %
Price To Earnings YoY -118.678 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 294.586
mean: 70.617
median: 19.033
LI: -7.867
low: -29.095
 PE/G Ratio 0.0
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.582
Price To Sales QoQ 24.584 %
Price To Sales YoY -22.5 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 33.606
mean: 8.312
LI: 1.582
median: 1.165
low: 0.017
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 69.474
Forward PE/G -0.003
Forward P/S -27.566
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1267.488
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.154
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -17.846 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.839 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.31
mean: 0.16
median: 0.159
LI: 0.154
low: 0.016
 Receivables Turnover 184.729
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -29.162 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -27.449 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA LI: 184.729
high: 24.425
median: 5.246
mean: 5.056
low: 0.676
 Inventory Turnover 2.683
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.69 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 18.967 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA LI: 2.683
high: 2.416
mean: 1.374
median: 1.317
low: 0.044
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 0.494
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -84.221
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -4.652 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -456.527 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 303.712
mean: 22.123
median: 14.548
LI: -84.221
low: -139.401
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.465
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 73.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 80.0 B
 Invested Capital 80.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 68.9 B
 Net Working Capital 49.4 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.657
 Current Ratio 1.879
Current Ratio QoQ 3.598 %
Current Ratio YoY 0.51 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.969
median: 2.043
mean: 1.961
LI: 1.879
low: 0.242
 Quick Ratio 1.754
Quick Ratio QoQ 4.641 %
Quick Ratio YoY 1.972 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.597
LI: 1.754
median: 1.62
mean: 1.556
low: 0.306
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -6.927
 Cost Of Debt 0.2 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -62.977
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -23489.816 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -469.145 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 54.646
median: 9.13
mean: 7.951
LI: -62.977
low: -66.626
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.063
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 115.177
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -6.306 %
 Revenue Growth -20.13 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -490.495 %
Revenue Growth YoY -51.424 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 136.323 %
mean: -8.784 %
median: -15.437 %
LI: -20.13 %
low: -75.561 %
 Earnings Growth -22700.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 22239.661 %
Earnings Growth YoY 27831.93 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 55.172 %
median: -18.0 %
mean: -28.82 %
low: -567.5 %
LI: -22700.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 7.867 %
Gross Margin QoQ -55.878 %
Gross Margin YoY -61.649 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 51.834 %
mean: 20.777 %
median: 20.582 %
LI: 7.867 %
low: -10.499 %
 EBIT Margin -11.141 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -31931.429 %
EBIT Margin YoY -451.119 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.59 %
median: 3.752 %
mean: 2.759 %
LI: -11.141 %
low: -52.547 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -13.048 %
Return On Sales QoQ 748.375 %
Return On Sales YoY -511.22 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.878 %
median: 4.203 %
mean: 2.718 %
LI: -13.048 %
low: -63.794 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 3.5 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 9.686 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -170.814 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -401.369 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA LI: 9.686 %
high: 7.609 %
median: 0.098 %
mean: -0.372 %
low: -48.048 %
 Free Cash Growth -170.463 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 425.699 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -38.901 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 126.772 %
mean: 2.223 %
median: 1.69 %
LI: -170.463 %
low: -358.701 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.538
 Cash Flow Margin 50.827 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -1.538
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.532 %
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY -482.045 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.178 %
median: 0.339 %
mean: 0.209 %
LI: -1.532 %
low: -13.23 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -2.897 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.033
Return On Equity QoQ
Return On Equity YoY -460.994 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.435
median: 0.006
mean: 0.003
LI: -0.033
low: -0.197
 DuPont ROE -3.209 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -2.8 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY -427.103 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.178 %
median: 0.595 %
mean: 0.429 %
LI: -2.8 %
low: -9.767 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum and directional indicators favor consolidation and potential continued downside pressure initially, with technical resistance clustered between $13.16 and $13.79 and support near the $12.40 lower band. Negative MACD and declining EMAs increase the probability of short-term range trade; however, a materially negative MRO suggests mean-reversion upside if selling momentum wanes. News flow to monitor: sequential delivery figures, L8/L9 delivery cadence, and any updates to repurchase or buyback activity that could alter supply dynamics. Swing traders should watch price behavior around the $12.40 support band and confirm any momentum shift with a MACD crossover or DI+ recovery before sizing directional exposure.

About Li Auto Inc.

Li Auto Inc. (NASDAQ:LI) designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles in the People’s Republic of China. The company offers a range of multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs) and sport utility vehicles (SUVs) that integrate advanced technology and smart features. Li Auto Inc. manages sales and after-sales services, ensuring a seamless customer experience through both online and offline channels. The company also invests in technology development and corporate management, while acquiring manufacturing equipment to enhance production capabilities. Founded in 2015 and headquartered in Beijing, Li Auto Inc. continues to expand its footprint in the energy vehicle market, catering to the growing demand for innovative and environmentally friendly transportation solutions.



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