Frontline Ltd. (NYSE:FRO) Strengthens Balance Sheet While Near-Term Momentum Persists

Frontline shows a fortified cash position and fleet activity that support a constructive near-term momentum picture, even as some momentum indicators signal possible mean reversion. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: fair-valued.

Recent News

March 27, 2026 — Frontline filed its annual report and announced changes to board composition. April–May 2026 — the company arranged term loan facilities totaling up to $737.0 million to partially finance nine vessels. April 2026 — Frontline agreed to sell two older Suezmax tankers; the company also completed disposals of older VLCCs to accelerate fleet renewal. May 2026 — management received synthetic option grants with staged vesting.

Technical Analysis

ADX: ADX at 24.86 indicates an emerging trend strength; trend signals require confirmation before declaring a durable directional bias relative to the fair-valued status.

DI+ / DI-: DI+ registered a peak-and-reversal (bearish), while DI- shows a decreasing trend (bullish). Those opposing directional signals produce a mixed directional footprint, consistent with an emerging but fragile trend environment.

MACD: MACD sits at 1.50, above the signal line at 0.73, and the MACD trend increases; the recent crossover and rising MACD reflect bullish momentum that supports near-term upside pressure on price.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 33.67 (positive), indicating price currently lies above the model target and therefore a greater probability of corrective downward pressure exists if momentum fades.

RSI: RSI at 57.5 and rising shows constructive buying momentum without reaching overbought levels, allowing room for additional near-term appreciation before overextension risks emerge.

Price vs. Moving Averages & Structure: Last close $42.88 sits above the 20-day ($37.16), 50-day ($35.60) and 200-day ($27.70) averages; the 12-day EMA shows a dip-and-reversal consistent with short-term bullish re-acceleration. Price reached a new 52-week high relative to the prior 52-week high of $41.87, reinforcing short-term positive bias but increasing mean-reversion risk noted by MRO.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Top-line and margins: Total revenue for the period: $714,242,000, with year-over-year revenue growth ~26.53% and quarter-over-quarter revenue change -67.60%. Operating income of $585,125,000 and EBIT of $599,914,000 produced an EBIT margin of 83.99%, well above the industry peer mean (23.72%) and median (15.18%) while remaining below the industry peer high (90.67%). Gross margin at 55.44% and operating margin at 81.92% both demonstrate outsized profitability versus typical peers in the oil & gas storage and transportation group.

Earnings and per-share metrics: Reported EPS $1.55 versus an estimate $1.58, an EPS surprise of about -1.90%. Forward EPS sits around $0.88 and forward P/E near 40.30x; trailing P/E ~22.36x. PEG and forward PEG figures indicate elevated near-term multiples versus expected growth, and WMDST retains a fair-valued assessment.

Cash, liquidity, and capital allocation: Cash and short-term investments total $471,672,000, with free cash flow $59,454,000 and free cash flow yield ~0.77%. Capital expenditures outflow approximately $323,042,000, reflecting ongoing fleet investment and renewal. The cash ratio near 1.00 and current ratio ~2.03 reflect ample short-term liquidity to support operations and capex plans.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt ~$2.63 billion with net debt ~$2.16 billion. Debt-to-equity ~0.93 and debt-to-EBITDA ~4.39 indicate leverage consistent with capital-intensive shipping peers; interest coverage ~14.91x sits materially above the industry peer mean (~3.73x), signaling comfortable ability to service interest expense at current operating levels.

Returns and efficiency: Return on equity ~19.68% and return on assets ~9.79% show strong profitability on invested capital. Asset turnover ~0.1251 remains low, reflecting the asset-heavy nature of tanker operations; QoQ and YoY changes show significant variability tied to fleet transactions and timing of charter revenues.

Valuation wrap: Enterprise value metrics (EVR ~13.83; enterprise multiple ~16.46) and the balance of strong margins, elevated returns, and meaningful capex and debt point toward WMDST’s fair-valued conclusion for Frontline at present.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-21
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-20
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 251.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures -323.04 M
 Change In Working Capital
 Dividends Paid -229.30 M
 Cash Flow Delta 219.4 M
 End Period Cash Flow 470.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 714.2 M
 Forward Revenue 62.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 318.3 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 129.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 396.0 M
 EBITDA 599.9 M
 EBIT 599.9 M
 Operating Income 585.1 M
 Interest Income 2.7 M
 Interest Expense 40.2 M
 Net Interest Income -37.54 M
 Income Before Tax 559.7 M
 Tax Provision 570.0 K
 Tax Rate 0.102 %
 Net Income 559.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 559.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.58
 EPS Actual 1.55
 EPS Difference -0.03
 EPS Surprise -1.899 %
 Forward EPS 0.88
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 5.7 B
 Intangible Assets 112.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 2.7 B
 Total Current Assets 959.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 471.7 M
 Cash 470.8 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 5.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt 279.6 M
 Total Current Liabilities 471.5 M
 Net Debt 2.2 B
 Total Debt 2.6 B
 Total Liabilities 2.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.8 B
 Retained Earnings 1.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 12.76
 Shares Outstanding 222.623 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.21
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 7.7 B
 Enterprise Value 9.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 16.463
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -49.019 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -76.641 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 81.733
median: 47.168
mean: 46.514
FRO: 16.463
low: -32.361
 EV/R 13.828
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.994
 Asset To Liability 2.006
 Debt To Capital 0.481
 Debt To Assets 0.464
Debt To Assets QoQ -12.898 %
Debt To Assets YoY -22.336 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.831
mean: 0.5
median: 0.482
FRO: 0.464
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.926
Debt To Equity QoQ -24.192 %
Debt To Equity YoY -41.235 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.154
mean: 1.391
median: 1.147
FRO: 0.926
low: -2.33
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.716
Price To Book QoQ 10.708 %
Price To Book YoY 71.88 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 4.045
FRO: 2.716
mean: 2.513
median: 2.38
low: -1.858
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 22.363
Price To Earnings QoQ -16.769 %
Price To Earnings YoY -75.654 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 104.347
mean: 58.845
median: 53.899
FRO: 22.363
low: -4.218
 PE/G Ratio 0.443
 Price To Sales (P/S) 10.804
Price To Sales QoQ 9.515 %
Price To Sales YoY 25.59 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 40.101
FRO: 10.804
mean: 10.529
median: 7.565
low: 0.297
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 40.299
Forward PE/G 0.798
Forward P/S 144.981
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 8.062
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.125
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 14.823 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 80.676 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.229
median: 0.143
mean: 0.129
FRO: 0.125
low: 0.031
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.465
 CapEx To Revenue -0.452
 CapEx To Depreciation 0.0
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Invested Capital 5.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.7 B
 Net Working Capital 487.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.0
 Current Ratio 2.034
Current Ratio QoQ 42.289 %
Current Ratio YoY 11.478 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.723
FRO: 2.034
median: 0.91
mean: 0.868
low: 0.419
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.386
 Cost Of Debt 1.41 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 14.914
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 162.034 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 854.872 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA FRO: 14.914
high: 7.99
mean: 3.725
median: 3.326
low: -3.651
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.0
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.438
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.41
 Dividend Rate 1.03
 Dividend Yield 0.03
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.532 %
 Revenue Growth 14.369 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -67.596 %
Revenue Growth YoY 2652.682 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 48.819 %
FRO: 14.369 %
mean: 7.016 %
median: 6.1 %
low: -8.088 %
 Earnings Growth 50.485 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -88.581 %
Earnings Growth YoY -604.85 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 56.098 %
FRO: 50.485 %
median: 6.579 %
mean: 3.571 %
low: -64.352 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 55.438 %
Gross Margin QoQ 19.835 %
Gross Margin YoY 123.171 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 79.464 %
FRO: 55.438 %
mean: 30.702 %
median: 22.739 %
low: 6.242 %
 EBIT Margin 83.993 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 88.723 %
EBIT Margin YoY 266.382 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 90.67 %
FRO: 83.993 %
mean: 23.722 %
median: 15.18 %
low: -23.701 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 81.923 %
Return On Sales QoQ 88.225 %
Return On Sales YoY 257.352 %
Return On Sales IPRWA FRO: 81.923 %
high: 57.736 %
mean: 21.862 %
median: 14.92 %
low: -0.941 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 59.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.77 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -82.839 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -79.384 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.0 %
mean: 1.239 %
median: 0.97 %
FRO: 0.77 %
low: -2.314 %
 Free Cash Growth -78.495 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -147.626 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 392.44 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 573.333 %
median: -58.497 %
FRO: -78.495 %
mean: -136.944 %
low: -749.778 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.106
 Cash Flow Margin 0.0 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 9.793 %
Return On Assets QoQ 146.303 %
Return On Assets YoY 1716.883 %
Return On Assets IPRWA FRO: 9.793 %
high: 2.203 %
mean: 1.423 %
median: 1.339 %
low: -0.072 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 11.55 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.197
Return On Equity QoQ 116.825 %
Return On Equity YoY 1277.117 %
Return On Equity IPRWA FRO: 0.197
high: 0.185
mean: 0.043
median: 0.036
low: 0.003
 DuPont ROE 20.892 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 10.952 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 120.985 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 610.246 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA FRO: 10.952 %
high: 4.282 %
median: 2.758 %
mean: 2.408 %
low: 1.351 %

Six-Week Outlook

Price structure and momentum indicators favor continued positive drift in the near term: MACD crossover, rising RSI, and a close above key moving averages imply constructive short-term momentum. Countervailing signals include a positive MRO (price above target) and a DI+ peak-and-reversal, which elevate the risk of a corrective pullback if momentum weakens. The emerging ADX suggests the trend lacks full strength and remains susceptible to reversal. Balance-sheet improvements and fleet-renewal activity underpin the medium-term fundamental backdrop, while technicals point to a bifurcated near-term path: momentum-driven extension remains plausible, but traders should expect intermittent mean reversion episodes until trend strength confirms beyond current levels.

About Frontline Ltd.

Frontline plc (NYSE:FRO) is a prominent player in the global shipping industry, specializing in the seaborne transportation of crude oil and refined oil products. Established in 1985 and headquartered in Limassol, Cyprus, the company has built a robust reputation for its extensive fleet management and operational excellence. As of the end of 2023, Frontline boasts a formidable fleet of 76 vessels, strategically designed to meet the demands of the international oil transportation market. Frontline’s operations are not limited to just owning and operating tankers; the company is also actively engaged in the chartering, acquisition, and sale of vessels, showcasing its dynamic approach to fleet optimization and market adaptability. This strategic flexibility allows Frontline to effectively navigate the complexities of the global shipping landscape while maintaining a competitive edge. With a commitment to safety, efficiency, and sustainability, Frontline continues to be a trusted partner for the transportation needs of the oil industry. The company’s dedication to operational excellence and strategic growth positions it as a key player in the maritime transportation sector, catering to the ever-evolving needs of its global clientele.



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