Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc (NASDAQ:ALNY) Shows Short-Term Momentum But Remains Overvalued

Near-term technical flips hint at episodic rallies, yet core valuation metrics place the shares above fair value. Recent corporate updates underline clinical progress and strategic partnerships that support longer-term pipeline optionality.

Recent News

On April 30, Alnylam reported first-quarter 2026 financial results and hosted a conference call discussing quarterly performance and near-term expectations. On March 30 the company presented new data at ACC.26 supporting vutrisiran benefits in ATTR-CM and preliminary potential for zilebesiran. On May 12 new analyses at Heart Failure 2026 reaffirmed consistent clinical benefit of vutrisiran-related data. On June 3 Alnylam announced a strategic AI collaboration with Inceptive to accelerate RNAi discovery efforts.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show bullish reversal signals: DI+ displays a dip-and-reverse and DI- shows a peak-and-reversal. With ADX at 19.07, trend strength reads as no trend, implying those directional flips may produce short-lived rallies rather than sustained directional moves.

MACD sits negative at -4.20 with a dip-and-reverse trend, indicating improving momentum; MACD remains below the signal line (-3.88), so momentum improvement lacks a confirmed bullish crossover and requires follow-through to validate upside.

MRO reads positive at 10.53 with an increasing trajectory, signaling the current price sits above the model target and implying downside pressure via mean reversion; this technical overvaluation reinforces the valuation-based caution.

RSI at 45.3 shows a dip-and-reverse, reflecting recovery from a recent pullback but remaining in neutral territory and not signaling durable overbought conditions.

Price activity sits at $288.18. The 12-day EMA at $287.63 offers immediate support just below the close, while the 20-day average ($289.83), 50-day average ($299.17) and 200-day average ($372.76) sit above the current price, indicating the medium-to-longer-term averages remain resistive to sustained upside. Bollinger bands place the stock between the 1x and 2x upper/lower bands, and implied volatility measures remain low; average daily volume currently trails the 10-day and 200-day averages, suggesting limited conviction behind short-term moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT of $290,939,000 yields an EBIT margin of 24.93%; operating margin equals 23.02%. Both margins declined markedly year-over-year: EBIT margin YoY change -51.26% and operating margin YoY change -47.40%. The company recorded net income of $205,991,000 and gross profit of $956,053,000 for the period.

Growth and earnings: Total revenue reached $1,167,175,000 with YoY revenue growth of 36.17% and a reported QoQ revenue change of -152.54% (as provided). EPS came in at $1.99 versus an estimate of $1.47, producing an EPS surprise of 35.37% and a forward EPS of $3.44.

Liquidity and leverage: Cash and short-term investments total $3,009,223,000 with cash of $1,710,779,000; current ratio stands at 3.13 and quick ratio at 3.06, indicating high near-term liquidity. Total debt equals $1,273,058,000 and debt-to-EBITDA measures 4.18, reflecting leveraged operating coverage relative to earnings.

Valuation: Trailing P/E equals 166.32x and forward P/E about 98.69x; price-to-book sits at 41.07x while enterprise-value-to-revenue and enterprise multiple remain elevated (EVR 36.35). Free cash flow yield registers at 0.11%, signaling minimal cash return relative to market value. WMDST values the stock as over-valued given these stretched multiples and low cash yield.

Peer context: EBIT margin at 24.93% sits above the industry peer mean (approximately -1.21%) and above the industry peer median (approximately 0.23%), indicating substantially stronger operating profitability versus peers on that metric. Price-to-book at 41.07x sits well above the industry peer mean (about 7.55x), reinforcing relative valuation premium versus peers.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-30
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.7 B
 Operating Cash Flow 70.5 M
 Capital Expenditures -21.83 M
 Change In Working Capital -297.73 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 53.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.7 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.2 B
 Forward Revenue 650.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 211.1 M
 Depreciation 13.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 13.6 M
 Research and Development 364.9 M
 Total Operating Expenses 898.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 956.1 M
 EBITDA 304.5 M
 EBIT 290.9 M
 Operating Income 268.6 M
 Interest Income 26.6 M
 Interest Expense 69.3 M
 Net Interest Income -42.69 M
 Income Before Tax 221.7 M
 Tax Provision 15.7 M
 Tax Rate 7.066 %
 Net Income 206.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 206.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.47
 EPS Actual 1.99
 EPS Difference 0.52
 EPS Surprise 35.374 %
 Forward EPS 3.44
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 5.1 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Total Current Assets 4.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 3.0 B
 Cash 1.7 B
 Net Receivables 884.0 M
 Inventory 84.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 85.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 126.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.3 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 1.3 B
 Total Liabilities 4.1 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.1 B
 Retained Earnings -6.50 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 8.06
 Shares Outstanding 133.444 M
 Revenue Per-Share 8.75
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 44.2 B
 Enterprise Value 42.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 139.35
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -14.1 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -94.866 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA ALNY: 139.35
high: 75.51
median: 27.492
mean: 9.191
low: -126.596
 EV/R 36.354
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.77
 Asset To Liability 1.265
 Debt To Capital 0.542
 Debt To Assets 0.248
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.586 %
Debt To Assets YoY -19.657 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.112
ALNY: 0.248
mean: 0.165
median: 0.028
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 1.184
Debt To Equity QoQ -26.92 %
Debt To Equity YoY -89.501 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.864
ALNY: 1.184
mean: 0.165
median: 0.051
low: -1.172
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 41.071
Price To Book QoQ -36.375 %
Price To Book YoY -85.377 %
Price To Book IPRWA ALNY: 41.071
high: 20.609
mean: 7.548
median: 5.613
low: -11.267
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 166.321
Price To Earnings QoQ -45.976 %
Price To Earnings YoY -129.213 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA ALNY: 166.321
high: 74.242
mean: -2.303
median: -14.354
low: -125.804
 PE/G Ratio 2.809
 Price To Sales (P/S) 37.841
Price To Sales QoQ -18.511 %
Price To Sales YoY -30.65 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 864.732
mean: 65.9
ALNY: 37.841
median: 29.192
low: 0.192
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 98.691
Forward PE/G 1.667
Forward P/S 67.029
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.025
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.231
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.468 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 64.487 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.403
ALNY: 0.231
mean: 0.097
median: 0.094
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 1.405
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.569 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -2.661 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.246
ALNY: 1.405
mean: 1.259
median: 1.161
low: 0.013
 Inventory Turnover 2.532
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -25.229 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 156.809 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA ALNY: 2.532
high: 2.101
mean: 0.384
median: 0.345
low: 0.003
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 64.949
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 52.065
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.882 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 16.461 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 1575.417
mean: 237.429
median: 208.031
ALNY: 52.065
low: -1586.264
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.407
 CapEx To Revenue -0.019
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.611
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.1 B
 Invested Capital 2.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Working Capital 2.9 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.23
 Current Ratio 3.127
Current Ratio QoQ 13.185 %
Current Ratio YoY 2.901 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 32.587
mean: 3.969
ALNY: 3.127
median: 2.404
low: 0.016
 Quick Ratio 3.064
Quick Ratio QoQ 13.243 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.917 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 9.985
ALNY: 3.064
mean: 2.752
median: 2.568
low: 0.054
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.181
 Cost Of Debt 5.047 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.199
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 86.97 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -5601.245 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 604.866
ALNY: 4.199
median: -17.114
mean: -79.268
low: -1643.72
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.091
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.301
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.286 %
 Revenue Growth 6.394 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -152.543 %
Revenue Growth YoY 3617.442 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 242.212 %
ALNY: 6.394 %
median: -7.18 %
mean: -10.861 %
low: -242.388 %
 Earnings Growth 59.2 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -204.048 %
Earnings Growth YoY -283.236 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
ALNY: 59.2 %
median: -8.571 %
mean: -15.818 %
low: -247.826 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 81.912 %
Gross Margin QoQ 8.355 %
Gross Margin YoY -6.965 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 100.0 %
ALNY: 81.912 %
median: 81.433 %
mean: 77.2 %
low: -98.223 %
 EBIT Margin 24.927 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -5.858 %
EBIT Margin YoY -5125.605 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 2524.194 %
ALNY: 24.927 %
median: 23.412 %
mean: -121.134 %
low: -7259.515 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 23.016 %
Return On Sales QoQ 91.688 %
Return On Sales YoY -4740.323 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 100.302 %
ALNY: 23.016 %
median: 20.658 %
mean: -121.045 %
low: -7394.476 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 48.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.11 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -60.0 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -127.99 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.709 %
ALNY: 0.11 %
median: 0.103 %
mean: -0.541 %
low: -45.34 %
 Free Cash Growth -65.3 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 18.334 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -387.97 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 253.163 %
mean: 6.667 %
median: -14.781 %
ALNY: -65.3 %
low: -239.224 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.236
 Cash Flow Margin 10.517 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.596
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 4.081 %
Return On Assets QoQ 7.48 %
Return On Assets YoY -400.074 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 38.074 %
ALNY: 4.081 %
median: -9.211 %
mean: -14.186 %
low: -67.817 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 7.697 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.192
Return On Equity QoQ -18.91 %
Return On Equity YoY -138.469 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.797
ALNY: 0.192
median: -0.147
mean: -0.357
low: -1.265
 DuPont ROE 22.096 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 12.969 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 1.558 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -8467.097 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 41.877 %
ALNY: 12.969 %
median: 2.185 %
mean: -0.35 %
low: -51.333 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term outlook favors range-bound to modestly negative bias unless momentum confirms. Technical reversal signals create the potential for episodic rallies, but ADX under 20 and an MRO that signals price above target reduce the probability of sustained upside. Fundamental elongation of multiples—very high P/E and P/B alongside a 0.11% free cash flow yield—supports valuation pressure absent stronger cash conversion or rapid, durable revenue acceleration. Key confirmations to monitor: a MACD crossover above its signal line, ADX lifting above 25 for trend strength, and a contracting MRO toward zero; without those, expect limited follow-through from short-term strength.

About Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALNY) focuses on developing RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics to treat serious diseases. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, the company has developed a portfolio of products addressing various medical conditions. Key products include ONPATTRO and AMVUTTRA for hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis, GIVLAARI for acute hepatic porphyria, and OXLUMO for primary hyperoxaluria type 1. Alnylam advances a robust pipeline targeting diseases such as transthyretin amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy, complement-mediated diseases, and hypertension. The company collaborates with industry leaders like Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and Roche to enhance the therapeutic potential of RNAi. Through these partnerships, Alnylam aims to broaden its impact across different medical fields. By focusing on unmet medical needs, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals seeks to transform the treatment landscape, offering innovative solutions to patients worldwide. The company’s dedication to scientific excellence drives its efforts in drug discovery and development, positioning it as a leader in the biopharmaceutical industry.



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