Par Pacific Holdings, Inc (NYSE:PARR) Raises Debt and Faces Near-Term Valuation Pressure

Par Pacific entered a heavier leverage profile via a $500 million note placement and shows mixed operational signals, setting a cautious near-term tone for price action and valuation.

Recent News

May 11, 2026 — Par Pacific priced a private placement of $500 million of 7.375% senior unsecured notes due 2034; May 14, 2026 — the company announced closing of that private placement and an increase and extension of its asset-based lending facility.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 19.48 indicates no sustained trend, which aligns with the current price chop and heightens sensitivity to headline-driven moves; that weak trend lowers conviction in sustained directional moves against the present valuation.

DI+ at 16.76 is decreasing while DI− at 25.95 has shown a dip & reversal; those directional indicators favor sellers for now, increasing the short-term bias toward lower prices versus current valuation.

MACD sits negative at −1.79 with a peak-and-reversal pattern and the MACD line below the signal (MACD signal −1.37), a bearish momentum configuration that supports near-term downside pressure on price relative to WMDST’s valuation.

MRO reads −8.01 (negative), which signals price below the model target and therefore a technical potential for price to move higher toward fair value; that mean-reversion potential conflicts with other momentum measures and creates asymmetric near-term risk.

RSI at 43.97 with a peak-and-reversal profile indicates weakening internal momentum without oversold breadth, implying limited immediate bounce potential absent new catalysts.

Price at $50.85 trades above the 200‑day average ($46.39) but below the 20‑day ($55.45), 50‑day ($60.18), 12‑day EMA ($54.85), and 26‑day EMA ($56.82), placing the stock beneath most short-term moving averages and reinforcing short-term seller control despite a constructive longer-term baseline.

Ichimoku components sit above price (Senkou A $62.72, Senkou B $53.49), and the SuperTrend upper band at $58.53 remains above current price; Bollinger lower bands (1x: $53.23; 2x: $51.00) lie above or near the current level, highlighting proximity to multi-method short-term support zones but not confirming a reversal.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $1,823,750,000 with YoY revenue growth near 0.58%; top-line stability contrasts with compressed margins. Gross profit reached $230,786,000 and EBITDA equaled $108,885,000, while EBIT measured $74,425,000.

EBIT margin stands at 4.08%, below the industry peer mean 16.93% and median 15.50%; QoQ EBIT margin changed −33.12% and the reported YoY change registers −561.13%, reflecting material margin pressure relative to recent periods and reducing short-term valuation support.

EPS came in at $0.78 versus an estimate of $0.99, an EPS surprise of −21.21%, which trimmed market confidence in near-term earnings quality and contributed to weaker operating metrics for the quarter ending March 31, 2026 (report dated May 5, 2026).

Free cash flow registered −$83,777,000 and free cash flow yield equals −3.04%, while operating cash flow was negative at −$40,707,000; negative free cash generation raises focus on the financing actions taken in May and the need to service higher interest costs from the recent note placement.

Leverage and coverage show strain: total debt $1,354,449,000 and net debt $775,450,000 produce a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 12.44x and an interest coverage ratio of 4.67, below the industry peer mean of 11.61; elevated leverage relative to current earnings reduces margin for error on cash flow shortfalls and supports a valuation premium adjustment.

Valuation multiples show a PE of 71.79 and a price/book of 1.82; forward PE stands near 20.53 based on the provided forward EPS. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: over-valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 164.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow -40.71 M
 Capital Expenditures -43.07 M
 Change In Working Capital -184.82 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 8.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 172.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.8 B
 Forward Revenue 1.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.6 B
 Depreciation 34.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 34.5 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.8 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 230.8 M
 EBITDA 108.9 M
 EBIT 74.4 M
 Operating Income 59.6 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 15.9 M
 Net Interest Income -15.93 M
 Income Before Tax 58.5 M
 Tax Provision 12.3 M
 Tax Rate 21.097 %
 Net Income 54.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 46.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.99
 EPS Actual 0.78
 EPS Difference -0.21
 EPS Surprise -21.212 %
 Forward EPS 2.50
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.2 B
 Intangible Assets 137.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.4 B
 Total Current Assets 2.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 172.2 M
 Cash 172.2 M
 Net Receivables 481.5 M
 Inventory 1.4 B
 Long-Term Investments 192.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 578.2 M
 Short-Term Debt 4.9 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.3 B
 Net Debt 775.5 M
 Total Debt 1.4 B
 Total Liabilities 2.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.5 B
 Retained Earnings 567.8 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 30.77
 Shares Outstanding 49.267 M
 Revenue Per-Share 37.02
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.8 B
 Enterprise Value 3.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 36.194
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 76.932 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -66.135 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 104.904
median: 40.509
PARR: 36.194
mean: 36.023
low: -85.14
 EV/R 2.161
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.777
 Asset To Liability 1.584
 Debt To Capital 0.472
 Debt To Assets 0.322
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.541 %
Debt To Assets YoY -25.988 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.622
PARR: 0.322
mean: 0.204
median: 0.199
low: 0.006
 Debt To Equity 0.894
Debt To Equity QoQ 10.085 %
Debt To Equity YoY -39.116 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.445
PARR: 0.894
mean: 0.636
median: 0.436
low: 0.008
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.82
Price To Book QoQ 40.918 %
Price To Book YoY 165.723 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.391
median: 2.267
mean: 2.114
PARR: 1.82
low: -2.11
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 71.789
Price To Earnings QoQ 113.777 %
Price To Earnings YoY -563.57 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 132.615
PARR: 71.789
mean: 64.05
median: 35.519
low: -49.343
 PE/G Ratio -2.154
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.513
Price To Sales QoQ 40.503 %
Price To Sales YoY 246.648 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 54.484
mean: 7.755
median: 7.465
PARR: 1.513
low: 0.049
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 20.525
Forward PE/G -0.616
Forward P/S 2.895
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -56.469
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.453
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.082 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.473 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA PARR: 0.453
high: 0.413
median: 0.18
mean: 0.164
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 4.593
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -16.187 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 2.965 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.198
PARR: 4.593
mean: 2.216
median: 1.729
low: 0.065
 Inventory Turnover 1.23
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.015 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -17.209 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 17.806
mean: 2.729
median: 2.237
PARR: 1.23
low: 0.115
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 19.868
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 69.374
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.966 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 25.867 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 141.82
PARR: 69.374
median: 9.147
mean: -0.737
low: -191.36
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.208
 CapEx To Revenue -0.024
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.25
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.5 B
 Invested Capital 2.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.4 B
 Net Working Capital 826.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.13
 Current Ratio 1.624
Current Ratio QoQ 1.119 %
Current Ratio YoY 4.218 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 11.078
PARR: 1.624
median: 1.21
mean: 1.185
low: 0.401
 Quick Ratio 0.596
Quick Ratio QoQ 20.362 %
Quick Ratio YoY 9.988 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 5.084
mean: 0.904
median: 0.87
PARR: 0.596
low: 0.358
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 12.439
 Cost Of Debt 0.974 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.671
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -27.568 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -760.674 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 31.331
mean: 11.607
median: 7.268
PARR: 4.671
low: -51.648
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.018
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 27.248
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 9.803 %
 Revenue Growth 0.58 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -105.846 %
Revenue Growth YoY -112.19 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 74.257 %
median: 6.615 %
mean: 6.243 %
PARR: 0.58 %
low: -53.835 %
 Earnings Growth -33.333 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -58.508 %
Earnings Growth YoY -275.557 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 300.0 %
median: 79.104 %
mean: 54.271 %
PARR: -33.333 %
low: -279.592 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 12.654 %
Gross Margin QoQ -16.021 %
Gross Margin YoY 48.104 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 80.204 %
mean: 26.606 %
median: 24.168 %
PARR: 12.654 %
low: -31.917 %
 EBIT Margin 4.081 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -33.12 %
EBIT Margin YoY -561.13 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 91.389 %
mean: 16.931 %
median: 15.498 %
PARR: 4.081 %
low: -194.638 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.266 %
Return On Sales QoQ -34.562 %
Return On Sales YoY -469.04 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 91.389 %
mean: 15.8 %
median: 14.874 %
PARR: 3.266 %
low: -40.585 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -83.78 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -3.037 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -189.481 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -45.368 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.076 %
mean: 0.858 %
median: 0.36 %
PARR: -3.037 %
low: -14.101 %
 Free Cash Growth -226.427 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 250.62 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 587.038 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 379.182 %
median: -57.258 %
mean: -70.892 %
PARR: -226.427 %
low: -590.685 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.539
 Cash Flow Margin 1.289 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.432
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.354 %
Return On Assets QoQ -31.094 %
Return On Assets YoY -268.828 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 10.33 %
PARR: 1.354 %
mean: 1.342 %
median: 1.324 %
low: -16.545 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.58 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.036
Return On Equity QoQ -30.117 %
Return On Equity YoY -231.383 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.13
mean: 0.038
PARR: 0.036
median: 0.033
low: -0.293
 DuPont ROE 3.598 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.384 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -38.174 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -528.777 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.567 %
median: 3.05 %
mean: 2.901 %
PARR: 2.384 %
low: -20.351 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect two-way volatility with a short-term bearish tilt. Momentum indicators (negative MACD, decreasing DI+) favor downside pressure, while the negative MRO suggests technical upside exists if a mean-reversion move occurs. The recent $500 million note issuance and the company’s negative free cash flow elevate sensitivity to financing headlines; therefore, catalyst-driven swings likely dominate. Traders should watch short-term moving-average cross behavior and volume relative to the 10‑ and 50‑day averages for confirmation of directional commitment, with caution toward stretched leverage metrics versus current earnings before extrapolating any upside.

About Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) manages a diverse portfolio of energy and infrastructure businesses. Through its Refining segment, the company operates refineries that produce gasoline, distillate, asphalt, and other products, primarily serving markets in Kapolei, Hawaii; Newcastle, Wyoming; Tacoma, Washington; and Billings, Montana. The Retail segment runs fuel retail outlets, offering gasoline, diesel, and merchandise under the Hele, 76, and nomnom brands in Hawaii, as well as in Washington and Idaho. In its Logistics segment, Par Pacific Holdings owns and operates a network of terminals, pipelines, marine vessels, and storage facilities. These assets facilitate the distribution of ethanol, petroleum, and refined products across Hawaii, the U.S. West Coast, Washington, the Dakotas, and Wyoming. Additionally, the company maintains a jet fuel storage facility and pipeline servicing Ellsworth Air Force Base in South Dakota. Par Pacific Holdings also controls a marine terminal, a rail loading terminal, a truck rack, and a proprietary pipeline supporting Joint Base Lewis McChord. Established in 1984 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company previously operated under the name Par Petroleum Corporation until 2015.



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