Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE:SPHR) Set To Extend Gains As Operational Cash Flow Strengthens

Robust cash generation and improving momentum position the company to sustain near-term strength while valuation metrics suggest leftover upside relative to WMDST’s assessed value.

Recent News

On March 30, 2026, Citizens initiated coverage of Sphere Entertainment (NYSE:SPHR) with a Market Outperform recommendation. On May 20, 2026, shareholders approved board and governance proposals at the annual meeting, according to reporting.

Technical Analysis

The directional indicators show an emerging trend: ADX at 21.07 indicates trend development rather than a dominant trend, while DI+ at 25.73 increasing and DI– at 14.50 decreasing creates a bullish directional picture that supports further near-term upside relative to current valuation.

MACD sits at 3.60 with the MACD signal at 2.61 and shows a dip-and-reversal pattern; the MACD currently trades above its signal line, indicating renewed bullish momentum that aligns with price strength above key averages.

MRO reads 25.91 with a dip-and-reversal pattern; the positive MRO indicates the price currently sits above a modeled target and therefore introduces potential mean-reversion pressure even as momentum indicators turn constructive.

RSI at 58.48 with a dip-and-reversal pattern shows momentum backing without overbought stress, supporting a path for additional gains while leaving room before classic overbought thresholds.

Price action sits above short- and long-term averages: closing at $153.25, above the 20-day ($140.87), 50-day ($135.20), 200-day ($97.29) and the 12-day EMA (increasing at $142.77). The close trades just above the 1x Bollinger upper band and beneath the 2x band, signaling strong intraband strength. The last close also registers above the prior 52-week high of $151.94, reinforcing breakout dynamics, though daily volume (555,080) trails 10-, 50- and 200-day averages and therefore tempers conviction on the breakout.

Support clusters align with the SuperTrend lower level at $135.61 and Ichimoku baselines around $125–$142; volatility measures (42-day and 52-week) remain moderate, consistent with a momentum-driven advance that retains volatility-managed risk for swing horizons.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $394.283 million with a reported revenue growth rate of 50.20%. Year-over-year revenue growth reads -4.02% on the YoY metric provided. Gross profit reached $230.929 million, translating to a gross margin of 58.57%, reflecting high-margin content and venue economics.

Operating income and EBIT show positive operating leverage: EBIT of $31,523,000 implies an EBIT margin of 8.00%, below the industry peer mean of 13.71% and below the industry peer median of 15.92%, indicating margin expansion opportunity relative to peers despite current positive operating performance.

Net income measured $64,739,000 and EPS came in at $0.14 versus an estimate of -$0.44, a $0.58 beat and an EPS surprise of approximately 131.82%, signaling an earnings beat versus consensus expectations for the reported period.

Cash and liquidity present strength: cash and short-term investments $507.776 million, operating cash flow $180.219 million, and free cash flow $165.011 million, delivering a free cash flow yield of 5.29% and a cash-flow-to-earnings ratio above 2.0, underlining high conversion of earnings into cash and supporting the valuation argument.

Balance sheet and leverage metrics: total debt $961.458 million with net debt $322.672 million and debt-to-EBITDA of 8.31x. Debt-to-assets stands at 22.84%, below the industry peer mean of 27.55%, providing modest capital structure flexibility but a leverage multiple versus EBITDA that warrants monitoring.

Profitability returns remain modest on a capital basis: return on equity ~2.90% and return on assets ~1.55%, reflecting capital intensity and early-stage payback on major investments. Free cash flow growth at 48.87% paired with a cash conversion ratio near 5.90 supports a fundamental case for continued value realization.

Valuation context: price multiples show a trailing P/E around 71.44 and a price-to-sales of 7.91. The current valuation as determined by WMDST: under-valued, a view driven primarily by strong free cash flow generation and balance sheet liquidity against growth prospects and momentum indicators.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 398.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow 180.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -15.21 M
 Change In Working Capital 48.1 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 123.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 521.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 394.3 M
 Forward Revenue -16.55 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 163.4 M
 Depreciation 82.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 84.2 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 362.5 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 230.9 M
 EBITDA 115.7 M
 EBIT 31.5 M
 Operating Income 31.8 M
 Interest Income 2.8 M
 Interest Expense 9.1 M
 Net Interest Income -6.28 M
 Income Before Tax 22.4 M
 Tax Provision -42.30 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 64.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 64.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.44
 EPS Actual 0.14
 EPS Difference 0.58
 EPS Surprise 131.818 %
 Forward EPS -0.31
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.2 B
 Intangible Assets 366.6 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.9 B
 Total Current Assets 810.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 507.8 M
 Cash 507.8 M
 Net Receivables 171.6 M
 Inventory 14.5 M
 Long-Term Investments 192.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 24.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 63.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 743.4 M
 Net Debt 322.7 M
 Total Debt 961.5 M
 Total Liabilities 2.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.2 B
 Retained Earnings -186.44 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 62.92
 Shares Outstanding 35.496 M
 Revenue Per-Share 11.11
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.1 B
 Enterprise Value 3.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 30.88
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -150.754 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 115.706
mean: 44.641
median: 43.857
SPHR: 30.88
low: -144.61
 EV/R 9.061
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.885
 Asset To Liability 2.13
 Debt To Capital 0.301
 Debt To Assets 0.228
Debt To Assets QoQ -5.558 %
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.83
mean: 0.275
median: 0.231
SPHR: 0.228
low: 0.051
 Debt To Equity 0.431
Debt To Equity QoQ -7.291 %
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 7.384
mean: 0.462
SPHR: 0.431
median: 0.43
low: -4.211
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.397
Price To Book QoQ 49.535 %
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.09
mean: 2.161
median: 1.827
SPHR: 1.397
low: -2.923
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 71.439
Price To Earnings QoQ -240.324 %
Price To Earnings YoY -671.322 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 239.895
mean: 93.727
SPHR: 71.439
median: 68.447
low: -139.831
 PE/G Ratio -0.34
 Price To Sales (P/S) 7.911
Price To Sales QoQ 3.17 %
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 15.405
mean: 8.802
SPHR: 7.911
median: 7.627
low: 0.505
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -106.491
Forward PE/G 0.508
Forward P/S -79.328
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -2.485
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.094
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 50.008 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.265
median: 0.13
mean: 0.127
SPHR: 0.094
low: 0.037
 Receivables Turnover 2.302
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 41.25 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 13.717
mean: 3.135
SPHR: 2.302
median: 2.039
low: 1.018
 Inventory Turnover 12.063
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 12.056 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 26.472
SPHR: 12.063
median: 7.769
mean: 7.698
low: 0.731
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 39.644
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 30.219
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -38.34 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 120.315
median: 58.725
mean: 37.304
SPHR: 30.219
low: -369.999
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 5.902
 CapEx To Revenue -0.039
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.184
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 3.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 3.1 B
 Invested Capital 3.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.9 B
 Net Working Capital 66.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.683
 Current Ratio 1.09
Current Ratio QoQ 14.03 %
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.479
SPHR: 1.09
mean: 0.806
median: 0.669
low: 0.17
 Quick Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio QoQ 14.16 %
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA SPHR: 1.07
high: 0.671
median: 0.613
mean: 0.612
low: 0.157
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 8.31
 Cost Of Debt 0.731 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.472
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -125.634 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 9.336
median: 9.336
mean: 7.766
SPHR: 3.472
low: -3.425
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.189
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 18.445
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.724 %
 Revenue Growth 50.197 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -803.631 %
Revenue Growth YoY -401.737 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA SPHR: 50.197 %
high: 48.295 %
mean: 18.434 %
median: 15.656 %
low: -80.322 %
 Earnings Growth -209.821 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 61.367 %
Earnings Growth YoY -1246.25 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 58.333 %
median: 46.847 %
mean: 36.136 %
SPHR: -209.821 %
low: -433.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 58.569 %
Gross Margin QoQ 22.483 %
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 96.553 %
SPHR: 58.569 %
median: 35.842 %
mean: 35.792 %
low: 12.615 %
 EBIT Margin 7.995 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -116.486 %
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 16.408 %
median: 15.919 %
mean: 13.714 %
SPHR: 7.995 %
low: -67.927 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.071 %
Return On Sales QoQ -136.362 %
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 26.148 %
median: 14.915 %
mean: 13.217 %
SPHR: 8.071 %
low: -32.072 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 165.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 5.29 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -3.94 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.538 %
SPHR: 5.29 %
mean: -0.821 %
median: -1.15 %
low: -4.51 %
 Free Cash Growth 48.869 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -119.518 %
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA SPHR: 48.869 %
high: 45.084 %
mean: -167.986 %
low: -189.054 %
median: -189.054 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.549
 Cash Flow Margin 35.566 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.166
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.551 %
Return On Assets QoQ -163.906 %
Return On Assets YoY
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 1.724 %
SPHR: 1.551 %
median: 1.202 %
mean: 0.961 %
low: -7.663 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.909 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.029
Return On Equity QoQ -161.733 %
Return On Equity YoY
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.275
SPHR: 0.029
median: 0.022
mean: 0.016
low: -0.201
 DuPont ROE 2.951 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.813 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -126.15 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 4.176 %
median: 1.793 %
mean: 1.61 %
SPHR: 0.813 %
low: -6.421 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators and moving-average structure favor further near-term appreciation: MACD above its signal, rising short-term EMAs, and DI+ strength suggest an initial bullish bias for swing horizons. Countervailing pressure comes from a positive MRO implying the price sits ahead of modeled targets and from below-average volume on the breakout, which raises the chance of consolidation around the $140–$150 band before a sustained leg higher. Watch support near $135 and the SuperTrend level; a hold above those supports would keep the momentum case intact for the next six weeks while earnings-derived cash flow strength underpins fundamental support.

About Sphere Entertainment Co.

Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE:SPHR) develops and delivers live entertainment and media experiences across the United States. The company operates through two primary segments: Sphere and MSG Networks. The Sphere segment harnesses advanced technologies to craft immersive, multi-sensory entertainment experiences on a grand scale. Meanwhile, the MSG Networks segment manages regional sports and entertainment networks, offering a direct-to-consumer streaming service that enhances viewer engagement. Originally known as Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., the company rebranded to Sphere Entertainment Co. in April 2023. Established in 2006, Sphere Entertainment Co. maintains its headquarters in New York, New York, continuing to innovate within the entertainment industry.



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