CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) Sees Operating Pressure While Cash Liquidity Moderates Near-Term Risk

CVR Energy enters the next six weeks with operational margins under pressure but a sizable cash balance that moderates immediate liquidity risk. Technical momentum tilts toward further downside while fundamentals show persistent losses against industry peer medians.

Recent News

April 29, 2026 — CVR Energy filed its Form 10-Q and related disclosures describing ongoing consideration of strategic transactions and noting heightened global fertilizer and energy supply disruptions tied to Middle East conflict dynamics. The filing reiterated Icahn Enterprises’ majority ownership and referenced prior operational incidents and related legal activity at the nitrogen facility.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 12.93 indicates no established trend; momentum lacks strength and favors range-bound behavior rather than directional expansion. The absence of a strong ADX weakens conviction for breakout scenarios.

DI+ peaked and reversed while DI- increased, producing a bearish directional-indicator profile; the directional system therefore signals sellers have regained the edge in recent sessions.

MACD registers negative and decreasing momentum (MACD -0.12 below the signal line at 0.26), signaling bearish momentum and no bullish MACD crossover present to suggest a momentum reversal.

MRO at 7.3 sits positive, indicating the current price sits above the modeled target and implying a modest likelihood of mean reversion to lower levels.

RSI at 50.36 recently peaked and reversed, consistent with weakening short-term strength rather than oversold conditions; the oscillator no longer supports a sustained bullish push.

Price sits below the 12- and 26-day EMAs, and the 12-day EMA shows a decreasing path; this alignment reinforces near-term downward bias relative to short-term moving-average resistance. The 200-day average near $30.91 slightly exceeds the close at $30.39, keeping long-term average pressure intact.

Bollinger bands place the close inside the lower band region (lower 1σ ~$31.20), indicating price trades near the lower volatility envelope and leaving room for either a corrective bounce or continuation lower if momentum reaccelerates.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability shows material weakness: EBIT stood at -$131.0M and EBITDA at -$52.0M for the quarter, producing an EBIT margin of -6.62%. That margin sits below the industry peer mean of 2.56% and well below the industry peer median of 8.23%, reflecting negative operating leverage in the quarter relative to typical refiners and fertilizer peers.

Net income registered a loss of -$192.0M and EPS actual of -$1.24 missed the consensus estimate of -$0.62 by $0.62, an EPS surprise of -100%. The company reported significant unrealized derivative losses affecting the period’s net result.

Operating cash flow remained positive at $64.0M with free cash flow of $17.0M; cash and short-term investments totalled $512.0M, producing a cash ratio near 0.50 and a current ratio of 1.44. The cash balance provides near-term liquidity cover against working-capital and capex needs, even as capital expenditures reached -$47.0M for the period.

Balance-sheet leverage remains elevated: total debt of $1.80B against total equity of $538.0M produces a debt-to-equity near 3.35 and debt-to-assets of 46.65%. Interest coverage sits below zero (interest-coverage ratio about -2.26), underscoring that operating losses exceeded interest-bearing cost in the quarter.

Top-line activity showed total revenue of $1.98B with reported revenue growth of 9.39% year-over-year in the most recent reporting cadence, though on a trailing basis revenue growth QoQ and YoY metrics in the dataset reflect mixed timing effects from prior turnarounds and product pricing shifts.

Valuation context: WMDST values the stock as over-valued. Market multiples present distortions given negative earnings: price-to-book near 5.55 and a negative trailing PE near -23.93 derive from the loss environment; price-target dispersion remains wide (mean ~$32.81, high ~$56.87, low ~$18.77), illustrating analyst disagreement on recovery prospects. Where industry peer means exist for select metrics, the company currently falls below peer profitability medians and shows higher leverage than the industry peer mean and median on leverage measures.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 511.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 64.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -47.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -30.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 1.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 512.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.0 B
 Forward Revenue -105.93 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.1 B
 Depreciation 79.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 79.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 2.1 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit -105.00 M
 EBITDA -52.00 M
 EBIT -131.00 M
 Operating Income -145.00 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 58.0 M
 Net Interest Income -58.00 M
 Income Before Tax -189.00 M
 Tax Provision -29.00 M
 Tax Rate 15.344 %
 Net Income -192.00 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -160.00 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.62
 EPS Actual -1.24
 EPS Difference -0.62
 EPS Surprise -100.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.41
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.9 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 538.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 512.0 M
 Cash 512.0 M
 Net Receivables 329.0 M
 Inventory 553.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 364.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 532.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 11.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.0 B
 Net Debt 1.2 B
 Total Debt 1.8 B
 Total Liabilities 3.1 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 538.0 M
 Retained Earnings -969.00 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 5.35
 Shares Outstanding 100.531 M
 Revenue Per-Share 19.70
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.0 B
 Enterprise Value 4.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple -82.161
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -206.15 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 59.863 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 22.866
median: 22.866
mean: 10.964
CVI: -82.161
low: -108.139
 EV/R 2.158
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 7.177
 Asset To Liability 1.235
 Debt To Capital 0.77
 Debt To Assets 0.466
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.936 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2.53 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.497
mean: 0.512
median: 0.509
CVI: 0.466
low: 0.008
 Debt To Equity 3.348
Debt To Equity QoQ 37.211 %
Debt To Equity YoY 0.393 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CVI: 3.348
high: 1.847
median: 1.847
mean: 1.094
low: -2.235
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.545
Price To Book QoQ 51.192 %
Price To Book YoY 69.629 %
Price To Book IPRWA CVI: 5.545
high: 1.433
median: 1.433
mean: 0.667
low: -2.529
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -23.932
Price To Earnings QoQ -28.112 %
Price To Earnings YoY -26.403 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 36.446
median: 22.283
mean: 12.718
CVI: -23.932
low: -73.938
 PE/G Ratio -0.435
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.507
Price To Sales QoQ 1.859 %
Price To Sales YoY 30.802 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 3.158
CVI: 1.507
median: 1.119
mean: 1.111
low: 0.157
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 113.921
Forward PE/G 2.071
Forward P/S -46.843
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.191
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.523
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.285 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 35.344 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.738
CVI: 0.523
mean: 0.451
median: 0.365
low: 0.063
 Receivables Turnover 7.021
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.348 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 31.169 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 15.455
CVI: 7.021
mean: 5.74
median: 4.574
low: 3.331
 Inventory Turnover 4.068
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.768 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 27.149 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.64
mean: 4.619
CVI: 4.068
median: 3.927
low: 0.995
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 12.996
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 14.9
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -9.955 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -2.828 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 34.634
CVI: 14.9
mean: 13.278
median: 9.044
low: -19.051
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 4.449
 CapEx To Revenue -0.024
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.595
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 538.0 M
 Net Working Capital 445.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.504
 Current Ratio 1.438
Current Ratio QoQ -19.848 %
Current Ratio YoY 9.386 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.309
mean: 1.494
CVI: 1.438
median: 1.395
low: 0.088
 Quick Ratio 0.894
Quick Ratio QoQ -20.644 %
Quick Ratio YoY 5.318 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.309
mean: 0.994
median: 0.917
CVI: 0.894
low: 0.061
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -34.635
 Cost Of Debt 2.742 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -2.259
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -30.319 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -56.228 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 4.378
median: 4.378
mean: 2.502
CVI: -2.259
low: -5.611
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.168
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 23.118
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.182 %
 Revenue Growth 9.392 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -236.254 %
Revenue Growth YoY -160.75 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 42.18 %
median: 24.302 %
mean: 12.379 %
CVI: 9.392 %
low: -7.85 %
 Earnings Growth 55.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -118.333 %
Earnings Growth YoY -84.111 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 350.0 %
median: 142.857 %
mean: 77.837 %
CVI: 55.0 %
low: -450.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin -5.303 %
Gross Margin QoQ 62.669 %
Gross Margin YoY -6.142 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 52.892 %
median: 13.124 %
mean: 11.125 %
CVI: -5.303 %
low: -8.498 %
 EBIT Margin -6.616 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 27.402 %
EBIT Margin YoY -15.58 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 20.466 %
median: 8.232 %
mean: 2.555 %
CVI: -6.616 %
low: -37.676 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -7.323 %
Return On Sales QoQ 33.876 %
Return On Sales YoY -6.559 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 16.837 %
median: 8.092 %
mean: 3.99 %
CVI: -7.323 %
low: -16.636 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 17.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.57 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -127.247 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -103.74 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.723 %
mean: 3.634 %
median: 2.131 %
CVI: 0.57 %
low: -9.916 %
 Free Cash Growth -130.357 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -11.12 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -85.56 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 69.817 %
median: 9.442 %
mean: -48.693 %
CVI: -130.357 %
low: -443.068 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.089
 Cash Flow Margin -8.636 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.891
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -5.075 %
Return On Assets QoQ 77.572 %
Return On Assets YoY 75.666 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.987 %
median: 1.337 %
mean: -0.098 %
CVI: -5.075 %
low: -11.646 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -4.603 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.357
Return On Equity QoQ 136.846 %
Return On Equity YoY 68.284 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.304
mean: 0.077
median: 0.047
low: -0.048
CVI: -0.357
 DuPont ROE -30.284 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -4.89 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 34.6 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 36.174 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 16.658 %
median: 3.746 %
mean: 0.954 %
CVI: -4.89 %
low: -20.876 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect choppy, lower-biased price action over the next six weeks. Technical momentum indicators and oscillators align toward distribution rather than accumulation, while the short-term moving-average structure acts as resistance. Fundamental drivers — ongoing operating losses, sizeable derivative mark-to-market impacts, and elevated leverage — keep valuation anchored to downside scenarios absent clear evidence of operating-margin recovery.

The company’s $512.0M cash balance and positive operating cash flow reduce immediate liquidity stress, which should limit extreme downside pressure from forced financing events in the near term. Geopolitical developments and any updates on strategic-transaction deliberations represent primary catalysts that could quickly change the risk profile; absent such catalysts, expect consolidation with bias to the downside for swing horizons.

About CVR Energy, Inc.

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI), headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, plays a significant role in the energy sector, concentrating on petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. Through its Petroleum segment, CVR Energy refines crude oil into essential products like gasoline, diesel, and other refined fuels. The company operates refineries strategically located in southeast Kansas and Wynnewood, Oklahoma, ensuring a steady supply to a wide range of clients, including retailers, railroads, and farm cooperatives. Its logistics network supports efficient distribution, enhancing its market reach. In the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, CVR Energy utilizes pet coke gasification technology to manufacture nitrogen-based fertilizers. Facilities in North America and East Dubuque, Illinois, produce ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and other agricultural inputs vital for crop yield enhancement. These products serve both agricultural and industrial markets, underscoring their importance in the agricultural supply chain. As a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., CVR Energy integrates a long-standing legacy with contemporary practices, contributing to the energy and agricultural sectors’ growth and sustainability.



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