Equifax Inc (NYSE:EFX) Signals Renewed Momentum Amid Under-Valued Fundamentals

Equifax presents a mix of stabilizing operating cash flow and stretched leverage, with technical momentum suggesting a near-term consolidation and modest upside pressure.

Recent News

May 7, 2026 — Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.56 per share, payable June 15, 2026. April–May 2026 — the company announced multiple commercial partnerships and product launches, including expanded identity and verification offerings and a new product integration to speed verification for auto and personal loans. April 2026 — regulatory action and settlements surfaced, including CFPB-related restitution orders and an agreement in principle to resolve certain nationwide claims noted in the company’s April filings.

Technical Analysis

The ADX at 16.55 indicates no established trend; directional signals provide the directional nuance. DI+ sits at 22.50 with a peak-and-reversal, which registers as a bearish shift in directional pressure, while DI- at 20.27 is decreasing, which registers as bullish — the net reads as mixed directional pressure rather than a trending breakout, implying price action may consolidate around current levels.

MACD registers at -1.00 with the MACD line above its signal line (-2.12), which constitutes a bullish momentum cross and signals improving short-term momentum despite the negative absolute MACD value; the MACD trend shows increasing momentum that supports a near-term lift in price bias.

MRO at -23.08 (dip-and-reversal) indicates the price sits below the internal target and the oscillator’s reversal signals potential upward pressure as the oscillator moves back toward zero; this technical setup aligns with the MACD’s improving momentum for a corrective pickup.

RSI at 47.11 with a peak-and-reversal suggests recent loss of upward momentum and leaves the oscillator in a neutral-to-slightly-weak stance; RSI behavior argues for choppy price action rather than a clean trend continuation while momentum indicators attempt to recover.

Price sits near the 20-day average ($167.59) and slightly below the 12-day EMA ($168.70), with the 50-day average at $173.61 and the 200-day average at $205.14; the 12-day EMA showing a peak-and-reversal provides a short-term bearish friction point against the MACD/MRO constructive signals. Bollinger bands place the close roughly mid-band (upper 1σ $172.52, lower 1σ $162.66), suggesting limited immediate volatility expansion. Ichimoku short-term lines (Tenkan $167.91, Kijun $167.78) lie near price, offering nearby support; Senkou A at $183.34 and Senkou B at $187.66 act as higher resistance zones. Supertrend lower support shows $159.80; volume sits modestly above recent averages, indicating no large participation surge yet.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT margin stands at 17.68%, up 6.97% year-over-year but down 4.49% quarter-over-quarter; the margin exceeds the industry peer mean of 13.75% and the industry peer median of 11.16%, supporting a premium on operating efficiency. Operating margin at 17.45% improved 5.58% year-over-year while contracting 4.80% QoQ, which signals seasonal or timing effects on expense recognition rather than structural deterioration.

Revenue and earnings growth: Quarterly revenue showed a strong sequential gain (revenue growth QoQ 16.18%) while revenue growth YoY runs 2.98%. Reported net income shows material YoY earnings pressure (earnings growth YoY -60.46%), though recent quarterly EPS beat (EPS actual $1.86 vs. estimate $1.70; EPS surprise ~9.41%) indicates some near-term operating leverage. Forward EPS of $2.57 yields a forward P/E near 76.74, while trailing P/E sits at 103.83, reflecting elevated multiple compression relative to recent earnings volatility.

Cash flow and capital structure: Operating cash flow $241.9M and free cash flow $121.5M produce a free cash flow yield of 0.53%, which exceeds the industry peer mean that is slightly negative, placing Equifax ahead of peers on cash conversion despite low absolute yield. Cash and short-term investments total $183.4M with a cash ratio of 0.075; the current ratio at 0.607 declined YoY by 28.85%, signalling lean near-term liquidity. Debt metrics remain elevated: total debt $5.31B, net debt ~$5.12B, and debt/EBITDA ~11.14, indicating a high leverage posture that constrains flexibility and raises sensitivity to interest cost and earnings variability. Debt-to-equity 1.17 exceeds the industry peer mean of 0.84 and the company’s interest coverage of 5.23 sits below the industry peer mean of 8.49, leaving less buffer for service costs relative to comparable firms.

Returns and efficiency: Return on equity at 3.78% and return on assets at 1.44% fall slightly below peer means, while asset turnover at 0.139 improved QoQ and YoY, supporting revenue momentum despite modest asset utilization. Gross margin remains strong at 53.48%, consistent with high-margin data and analytics services.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Key valuation signals include an enterprise value to revenue multiple (EVR) near 17.08 and an enterprise multiple of 59.13; market capitalization stands roughly $23.04B with enterprise value near $28.16B. Elevated multiples reflect compressed trailing earnings and expectations embedded in price; underlying margin durability and positive free cash flow support the under-valued determination, but high leverage and low short-term liquidity moderate the margin of safety.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-04-21
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-07-21
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 180.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 241.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -120.40 M
 Change In Working Capital -173.00 M
 Dividends Paid -67.10 M
 Cash Flow Delta 2.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 183.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.6 B
 Forward Revenue 737.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 767.1 M
 Depreciation 184.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 184.8 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 881.8 M
 EBITDA 476.3 M
 EBIT 291.5 M
 Operating Income 287.7 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 55.7 M
 Net Interest Income -55.70 M
 Income Before Tax 235.8 M
 Tax Provision 62.5 M
 Tax Rate 26.5 %
 Net Income 171.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 173.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.70
 EPS Actual 1.86
 EPS Difference 0.16
 EPS Surprise 9.412 %
 Forward EPS 2.57
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 11.9 B
 Intangible Assets 8.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets -3.63 B
 Total Current Assets 1.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 183.4 M
 Cash 183.4 M
 Net Receivables 1.1 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 356.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 158.4 M
 Short-Term Debt 1.3 B
 Total Current Liabilities 2.5 B
 Net Debt 5.1 B
 Total Debt 5.3 B
 Total Liabilities 7.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 4.5 B
 Retained Earnings 6.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 38.06
 Shares Outstanding 119.300 M
 Revenue Per-Share 13.82
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 23.0 B
 Enterprise Value 28.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 59.13
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -9.422 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -29.077 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 139.963
EFX: 59.13
mean: 45.206
median: 41.769
low: -20.211
 EV/R 17.08
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.63
 Asset To Liability 1.645
 Debt To Capital 0.539
 Debt To Assets 0.444
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.538 %
Debt To Assets YoY 6.149 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.011
EFX: 0.444
mean: 0.341
median: 0.316
low: 0.007
 Debt To Equity 1.169
Debt To Equity QoQ 5.676 %
Debt To Equity YoY 17.302 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.596
EFX: 1.169
median: 0.975
mean: 0.837
low: 0.008
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.074
Price To Book QoQ -10.05 %
Price To Book YoY -15.204 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.962
EFX: 5.074
mean: 3.207
median: 3.014
low: -2.592
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 103.826
Price To Earnings QoQ 0.595 %
Price To Earnings YoY -33.805 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 187.973
EFX: 103.826
mean: 72.377
median: 62.977
low: -198.669
 PE/G Ratio -9.434
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.972
Price To Sales QoQ -16.581 %
Price To Sales YoY -32.402 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 18.348
EFX: 13.972
mean: 7.233
median: 6.987
low: 0.393
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 76.738
Forward PE/G -6.973
Forward P/S 31.284
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.247
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.139
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.853 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 13.428 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.468
mean: 0.214
median: 0.189
EFX: 0.139
low: 0.011
 Receivables Turnover 1.582
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.437 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 8.358 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.009
EFX: 1.582
mean: 1.438
median: 1.276
low: 0.465
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 57.681
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 32.508
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 146.656
EFX: 32.508
mean: 24.345
median: 6.706
low: -44.679
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -1.71
 CapEx To Revenue -0.073
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.652
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 8.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 9.8 B
 Invested Capital 9.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets -3.63 B
 Net Working Capital -964.00 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.075
 Current Ratio 0.607
Current Ratio QoQ 0.322 %
Current Ratio YoY -28.845 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 15.423
mean: 2.026
median: 1.929
EFX: 0.607
low: 0.277
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 11.144
 Cost Of Debt 0.787 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.233
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -1.35 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 16.175 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 17.391
mean: 8.485
median: 7.905
EFX: 5.233
low: -37.084
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.102
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 25.172
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.556
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.391
 Dividend Rate 0.56
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.656 %
 Revenue Growth 6.339 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 1617.886 %
Revenue Growth YoY 298.178 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 19.13 %
EFX: 6.339 %
mean: 2.004 %
median: 0.784 %
low: -31.437 %
 Earnings Growth -11.005 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -549.0 %
Earnings Growth YoY -60.456 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 115.385 %
median: -2.857 %
mean: -8.208 %
EFX: -11.005 %
low: -162.5 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 53.478 %
Gross Margin QoQ -6.765 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.801 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 88.866 %
EFX: 53.478 %
mean: 43.717 %
median: 40.716 %
low: 8.438 %
 EBIT Margin 17.678 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -4.49 %
EBIT Margin YoY 6.971 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 39.343 %
EFX: 17.678 %
mean: 13.749 %
median: 11.16 %
low: -247.525 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 17.448 %
Return On Sales QoQ -4.801 %
Return On Sales YoY 5.579 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 23.942 %
EFX: 17.448 %
mean: 11.258 %
median: 10.774 %
low: -34.487 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 121.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.527 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -59.832 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 34.439 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.25 %
EFX: 0.527 %
median: 0.133 %
mean: -0.453 %
low: -7.862 %
 Free Cash Growth -64.349 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 190.2 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 48.537 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 133.946 %
EFX: -64.349 %
median: -91.472 %
mean: -96.226 %
low: -506.608 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.708
 Cash Flow Margin 15.107 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.452
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.441 %
Return On Assets QoQ -2.898 %
Return On Assets YoY 27.862 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.082 %
mean: 1.738 %
median: 1.701 %
EFX: 1.441 %
low: -10.481 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.071 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.038
Return On Equity QoQ -1.074 %
Return On Equity YoY 41.355 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.186
median: 0.05
mean: 0.044
EFX: 0.038
low: -0.315
 DuPont ROE 3.751 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.175 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -2.988 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 25.723 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.888 %
median: 2.946 %
mean: 2.701 %
EFX: 2.175 %
low: -9.336 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical setup through the next six weeks looks mixed-to-cautiously constructive. Momentum indicators (MACD cross above signal and MRO reversal) favor a corrective lift from current levels, while directional indicators and RSI point to consolidation and possible pullbacks. Expect the price to trade between immediate support near $159–$162 (supertrend and lower Bollinger band) and near-term resistance around $172–$175 (upper Bollinger band and 50-day average), with stronger overhead obstacles at the mid-$180s Ichimoku cloud and the 200-day average near $205. Volatility remains muted; a sustained move above the $172–$175 zone would need confirming volume to suggest trend re-establishment. Elevated leverage and compressed liquidity increase sensitivity to news flow and quarterly results; watch cash-flow releases and any regulatory developments for swing volatility catalysts.

About Equifax Inc.

Equifax Inc. (NYSE:EFX) develops comprehensive data, analytics, and technology solutions from its headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia. Established in 1899, the company empowers businesses and consumers across over 24 countries, including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia. Equifax transforms data into actionable insights, facilitating economic growth and innovation. The company structures its operations into three main segments: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. Workforce Solutions delivers services that verify income, employment, and educational history, while also supporting payroll and human resource management. The USIS segment provides a range of consumer and commercial information services, such as credit reporting, scoring, fraud detection, and identity verification, serving industries like financial services, telecommunications, and healthcare. Globally, Equifax offers diverse information services, credit scoring, and debt recovery solutions, customized to the needs of each market. By utilizing advanced analytics and modern technology, Equifax aids businesses in making informed decisions, managing risks, and enhancing customer engagement. The company prioritizes data security and privacy, ensuring the integrity and confidentiality of information. Through continuous innovation, Equifax maintains a leading position in the data-driven economy.



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