Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) Poised To Consolidate After Margin Improvement And Share Buyback

Zumiez enters the coming weeks with operational momentum and corporate actions that tighten capital structure while technical momentum tilts toward consolidation. Fundamentals show margin recovery and ample cash; short-term indicators favor sideway-to-lower volatility absent a clear bullish MACD reversal.

Recent News

On March 11–12, 2026 Zumiez approved a share repurchase program of up to $40 million. Mid-March reports noted the company plans roughly 25 store closures across 2026 as part of a realignment of its physical footprint.

Technical Analysis

ADX reads 27.79, signaling a present trend strength that affects near-term price clarity; a trend exists and will amplify whichever directional signals resolve.

DI+ shows a dip-and-reversal, a bullish directional flicker, while DI- sits at 34.13 and is increasing; those opposing directional cues create an intraday-to-short-term tug that supports consolidation risk unless DI+ regains sustained dominance.

MACD registers -0.13 and trends downward with the MACD line below its signal (0.06), indicating prevailing bearish momentum; a MACD cross back above the signal line would mark a material shift in momentum.

MRO stands at 26.43 and indicates the market price sits above the model target, implying elevated mean-reversion pressure for near-term downside if momentum fails to re-accelerate.

RSI at 49.21 and decreasing places momentum near neutral-to-weak bearish territory rather than overstretched conditions, consistent with range-bound action around recent averages.

Price relationships show the close at $23.05 sits below the 20-day average ($23.82) and 12-day EMA ($23.61, trending down), while remaining modestly above the 200-day average ($22.81). The short-term EMA drift and proximity to the lower Bollinger band (1x lower = $22.85) reinforce a consolidation-to-limited-decline profile unless short-term averages turn higher.

Volatility measures (42-day and 52-week vol ~3%) and a 42-day beta ~1.75 suggest the stock reacts more than the market to directional moves; volume near the 10-day average and below the 50/200-day averages supports muted directional conviction.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue for the quarter ended January 31, 2026 totaled $291,308,000, with reported EPS of $1.16 versus an estimate of $1.07 and an EPS surprise of 8.41%. The company concurrently authorized a $40 million repurchase program.

Margins improved: operating/EBIT margin stands at 8.593% with QoQ expansion of 74.55% and YoY improvement of 19.17%, indicating operational leverage from recent merchandising and pricing actions. That EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 12.589% and below the industry peer median of 14.051%, leaving room to close the gap with continued margin flow-through.

Revenue dynamics show a mixed profile: reported revenue growth of 21.82% (overall), a strong quarter-over-quarter gain of 88.08%, and a year-over-year change flagged at -14.37%, reflecting timing and base effects across the fiscal year. Inventory and working capital metrics remain elevated but stable: days inventory outstanding ~100.13 days, days payables ~37.18, and a cash conversion cycle near 66 days with a modest year-over-year improvement.

Liquidity and leverage look solid. Cash and short-term investments total $160,624,000, the current ratio sits at 2.01, quick ratio at 1.13, and cash ratio near 95.9%, providing flexibility during the planned store consolidation. Total debt approximates $199,329,000 with debt-to-assets ~30.94% and debt-to-EBITDA ~6.61; interest coverage remains ample (≈78.97), limiting near-term solvency strain.

Free cash flow reached $54,144,000 with a free cash flow yield of 12.80%, a level well above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 2.34%, underscoring strong cash generation relative to the peer set. Return metrics show return on equity about 6.03% and return on assets near 3.06%, both improved QoQ and YoY, supporting the WMDST valuation stance.

The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, classifies the stock as under-valued, supported by elevated free cash flow yield, a positive operating leverage trajectory, and a buyback program that reduces supply while redeploying excess cash.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-01-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-03-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-06-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 86.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 57.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -3.52 M
 Change In Working Capital 14.4 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 48.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 134.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 291.3 M
 Forward Revenue 24.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 179.9 M
 Depreciation 5.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 5.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 266.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 111.4 M
 EBITDA 30.2 M
 EBIT 25.0 M
 Operating Income 25.0 M
 Interest Income 784.0 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 784.0 K
 Income Before Tax 26.5 M
 Tax Provision 7.0 M
 Tax Rate 26.327 %
 Net Income 19.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 19.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.07
 EPS Actual 1.16
 EPS Difference 0.09
 EPS Surprise 8.411 %
 Forward EPS 0.39
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 644.2 M
 Intangible Assets 31.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 293.3 M
 Total Current Assets 336.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 160.6 M
 Cash 127.9 M
 Net Receivables 5.5 M
 Inventory 147.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 12.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 49.1 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 167.5 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 199.3 M
 Total Liabilities 319.9 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 324.3 M
 Retained Earnings 124.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.11
 Shares Outstanding 16.971 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.17
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 422.9 M
 Enterprise Value 461.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple 15.306
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -44.357 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 7.321 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 125.396
median: 69.828
mean: 63.236
ZUMZ: 15.306
low: -52.822
 EV/R 1.585
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.986
 Asset To Liability 2.014
 Debt To Capital 0.381
 Debt To Assets 0.309
Debt To Assets QoQ -6.29 %
Debt To Assets YoY -1.687 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.977
median: 0.516
mean: 0.472
ZUMZ: 0.309
low: 0.152
 Debt To Equity 0.615
Debt To Equity QoQ -12.223 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1.197 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.513
mean: 1.452
median: 1.394
ZUMZ: 0.615
low: -2.054
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.304
Price To Book QoQ 6.738 %
Price To Book YoY 36.0 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.289
mean: 5.575
median: 3.318
ZUMZ: 1.304
low: -3.522
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 21.481
Price To Earnings QoQ -45.095 %
Price To Earnings YoY 1.767 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 254.935
median: 129.433
mean: 96.213
ZUMZ: 21.481
low: -20.344
 PE/G Ratio 0.194
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.452
Price To Sales QoQ -4.824 %
Price To Sales YoY 28.47 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 17.007
mean: 9.113
median: 7.96
ZUMZ: 1.452
low: 0.166
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 64.474
Forward PE/G 0.581
Forward P/S 17.318
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.162
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.456
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 19.838 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.643 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.005
ZUMZ: 0.456
mean: 0.371
median: 0.318
low: 0.087
 Receivables Turnover 30.294
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 126.789 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 15.068 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 96.095
ZUMZ: 30.294
mean: 14.857
median: 11.11
low: 0.251
 Inventory Turnover 1.098
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 24.421 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 2.897 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.449
ZUMZ: 1.098
mean: 0.787
median: 0.687
low: 0.278
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3.012
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 65.964
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -8.069 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -6.495 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 227.71
ZUMZ: 65.964
mean: 13.285
median: -2.031
low: -108.4
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.729
 CapEx To Revenue -0.012
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.688
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 324.3 M
 Net Invested Capital 324.3 M
 Invested Capital 324.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 293.3 M
 Net Working Capital 168.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.959
 Current Ratio 2.006
Current Ratio QoQ 9.999 %
Current Ratio YoY -3.257 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.744
ZUMZ: 2.006
mean: 1.145
median: 1.081
low: 0.486
 Quick Ratio 1.128
Quick Ratio QoQ 45.137 %
Quick Ratio YoY -0.173 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.03
ZUMZ: 1.128
mean: 0.365
median: 0.218
low: 0.1
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.609
 Cost Of Debt 0.114 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 78.968
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 112.631 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 24.357 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 196.101
ZUMZ: 78.968
mean: 22.558
median: 12.491
low: -6.28
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.259
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 37.179
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.747 %
 Revenue Growth 21.819 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 88.079 %
Revenue Growth YoY -14.365 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 87.944 %
ZUMZ: 21.819 %
mean: 12.497 %
median: 3.313 %
low: -20.068 %
 Earnings Growth 110.909 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -110.909 %
Earnings Growth YoY -90.758 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 373.418 %
ZUMZ: 110.909 %
mean: 17.295 %
median: 1.408 %
low: -320.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 38.241 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.829 %
Gross Margin YoY 5.661 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 97.034 %
median: 46.874 %
mean: 41.597 %
ZUMZ: 38.241 %
low: 9.886 %
 EBIT Margin 8.593 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 74.548 %
EBIT Margin YoY 19.165 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 25.215 %
median: 14.051 %
mean: 12.589 %
ZUMZ: 8.593 %
low: -12.409 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.593 %
Return On Sales QoQ 74.548 %
Return On Sales YoY 19.165 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.215 %
median: 14.051 %
mean: 12.496 %
ZUMZ: 8.593 %
low: -11.805 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 54.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 12.803 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 1413.357 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -18.737 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 18.359 %
ZUMZ: 12.803 %
mean: 2.34 %
median: 1.017 %
low: -11.209 %
 Free Cash Growth 1653.936 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -2551.947 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -612.489 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA ZUMZ: 1653.936 %
high: 1022.269 %
median: -94.162 %
mean: -165.962 %
low: -1311.555 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.77
 Cash Flow Margin 14.869 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.216
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.061 %
Return On Assets QoQ 109.945 %
Return On Assets YoY 32.856 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.667 %
ZUMZ: 3.061 %
mean: 2.995 %
median: 2.338 %
low: -6.219 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.252 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.06
Return On Equity QoQ 96.512 %
Return On Equity YoY 34.426 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.215
ZUMZ: 0.06
median: 0.045
mean: 0.028
low: -0.315
 DuPont ROE 6.278 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.687 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 95.161 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -80.028 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.18 %
median: 9.234 %
mean: 8.96 %
ZUMZ: 5.687 %
low: -13.107 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a consolidation phase with a slight downside bias unless short-term momentum indicators shift. Technicals point to range-bound trading around the $22.75–$25.25 zone, where failure to reclaim the 20-day average and a continuing MACD decline would favor lower volatility and pullback toward the lower band. Conversely, re-acceleration in DI+ and a MACD cross above its signal would shorten the path to retesting the price-target mean of $26.08 and higher analyst upside levels.

Fundamentals provide a stabilizing backdrop: margin improvement, robust cash generation, and a $40 million repurchase program reduce downside risk to capital structure while planned store closures create near-term expense recognition and longer-term site optimization dynamics. Monitor shifts in short-term momentum and any incremental commentary from the company on the store rationalization or repurchase cadence as the primary catalysts that would change near-term directional bias.

About Zumiez Inc.

Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) delivers a diverse range of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods tailored for young men and women. The company curates an extensive selection of skateboards, snowboards, bindings, and related equipment, catering to the active lifestyle of its target demographic. With a robust retail presence, Zumiez Inc. manages stores across the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia, operating under the brand names Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times. Their digital footprint extends through e-commerce platforms such as zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au, enhancing accessibility and customer engagement. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington, Zumiez Inc. maintains a commitment to offering quality products that resonate with the youth culture.



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