BJ’s Restaurants, Inc (NASDAQ:BJRI) Signals Modest Upside On Improving Momentum

BJ's Restaurants shows constructive near-term technical momentum while fundamentals disclose margin pressure and tight liquidity; WMDST values the stock as under-valued.

Recent News

May 5, 2026 — Company reported fiscal first-quarter 2026 results and issued updated fiscal guidance. April 23, 2026 — Company introduced a new Biscoff® Pizookie® menu item. March 6, 2026 — DA Davidson initiated coverage with a Neutral view. April 25, 2026 — Analysts revised price targets and discussed company guidance for comparable-restaurant sales and restaurant-level operating profit.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show bullish pressure: DI+ at 28.19 and increasing while DI- at 18.04 and decreasing, producing a clear DI+ advantage that supports the near-term bullish bias implied by price action.

ADX registers 18.99, below 20, indicating no established trend strength; momentum and directional signals therefore carry more weight for short-term moves than a persistent trend.

MACD sits at 1.13, above its 0.81 signal line and increasing, which constitutes a bullish momentum confirmation and suggests buying pressure remains active in the near term.

MRO at 37.6 reads positive, indicating the current price sits above the model target and therefore implies a potential downside reversion risk if momentum stalls.

RSI at 55.15 and rising reflects modest bullish momentum without overbought extremes, consistent with price trading above short- and medium-term averages (12-day EMA 40.94; 20-day average 40.24; 50-day average 37.58; 200-day average 36.88).

Price sits marginally above the upper 1× band (upper 1× = $42.61; close = $42.64), signaling volatility expansion; traders should note the proximity to the upper band with a price-target mean at $49.29 and a 52-week high at $47.02 for context.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $358,118,000 for the period ending 2026-03-31. Reported net income equaled $9,034,000 and operating income $12,369,000. EPS came in at $0.57 versus an estimate of $0.61, producing an EPS surprise of -6.56%.

Margins show compression: EBIT margin stands at 2.84%, down 15.34% QoQ and down 33.58% YoY, well below the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 24.932%, indicating weaker operating profitability relative to the peer center.

Top-line dynamics display strain: revenue growth YoY declined 27.49% while revenue growth QoQ contracted roughly 89.99% (both values provided), reflecting meaningful short-term deceleration in revenue expansion.

Cash generation remains positive but constrained: operating cash flow of $36,586,000 and free cash flow of $27,182,000 yield a free cash flow yield of 3.41%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 0.872%, providing a relative strength in cash conversion despite margin pressure.

Liquidity looks tight: current ratio at 0.31 and quick ratio at 0.25, both below the industry peer mean current ratio of 0.93493 and the peer quick ratio mean of 0.99839, signaling limited short-term buffer versus liabilities; cash and short-term investments total $22,671,000.

Leverage and coverage present a mixed picture: total debt $462,652,000 produces debt-to-assets of 0.463 and debt-to-EBITDA near 13.95x, while interest coverage at 9.35x indicates ability to service interest though leverage on an EBITDA basis remains elevated.

Market multiples show elevated absolute levels but relative moderation versus peers: P/E at 66.46 and P/B at 2.14 sit below the industry peer mean P/E of 97.10 and peer mean P/B of 2.495, while enterprise value multiples and forward multiples also reflect divergent signals; WMDST values the stock as under-valued.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2026-03-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 23.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 36.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -15.80 M
 Change In Working Capital -1.47 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -1.11 M
 End Period Cash Flow 22.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 358.1 M
 Forward Revenue 136.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 301.0 M
 Depreciation 23.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 23.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 345.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 57.2 M
 EBITDA 33.2 M
 EBIT 10.2 M
 Operating Income 12.4 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.1 M
 Net Interest Income -1.09 M
 Income Before Tax 9.1 M
 Tax Provision 55.0 K
 Tax Rate 0.605 %
 Net Income 9.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 9.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.61
 EPS Actual 0.57
 EPS Difference -0.04
 EPS Surprise -6.557 %
 Forward EPS 0.65
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 999.1 M
 Intangible Assets 4.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 367.9 M
 Total Current Assets 60.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 22.7 M
 Cash 22.7 M
 Net Receivables 14.6 M
 Inventory 12.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 44.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 44.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 193.5 M
 Net Debt 39.3 M
 Total Debt 462.7 M
 Total Liabilities 626.5 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 372.5 M
 Retained Earnings 299.2 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.70
 Shares Outstanding 21.050 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.01
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 797.4 M
 Enterprise Value 1.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 37.302
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -7.823 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -1.089 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 150.145
mean: 88.303
median: 87.096
BJRI: 37.302
low: 35.469
 EV/R 3.455
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.682
 Asset To Liability 1.595
 Debt To Capital 0.554
 Debt To Assets 0.463
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.182 %
Debt To Assets YoY -6.772 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.456
mean: 0.691
median: 0.625
BJRI: 0.463
low: 0.018
 Debt To Equity 1.242
Debt To Equity QoQ -7.33 %
Debt To Equity YoY -8.929 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 15.351
BJRI: 1.242
mean: 0.562
median: 0.332
low: -5.69
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.14
Price To Book QoQ -9.105 %
Price To Book YoY 4.187 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 36.049
median: 10.414
mean: 2.495
BJRI: 2.14
low: -22.122
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 66.458
Price To Earnings QoQ 7.394 %
Price To Earnings YoY 15.268 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 249.745
median: 105.586
mean: 97.1
BJRI: 66.458
low: -71.726
 PE/G Ratio -4.874
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.227
Price To Sales QoQ -8.234 %
Price To Sales YoY 1.521 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 33.432
median: 25.858
mean: 23.763
BJRI: 2.227
low: 0.815
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 57.846
Forward PE/G -4.242
Forward P/S 5.86
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -19.207
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.356
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.915 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.286 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.533
BJRI: 0.356
mean: 0.158
median: 0.109
low: 0.078
 Receivables Turnover 26.583
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.173 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 10.123 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 28.617
BJRI: 26.583
mean: 6.948
median: 2.661
low: 1.107
 Inventory Turnover 23.213
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.311 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.263 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 72.564
mean: 49.222
median: 47.115
BJRI: 23.213
low: 3.124
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3.433
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -5.343
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.501 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 54.396 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 24.74
median: -0.731
BJRI: -5.343
mean: -5.586
low: -46.176
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -2.691
 CapEx To Revenue -0.044
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.687
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 434.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 434.5 M
 Invested Capital 434.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 367.9 M
 Net Working Capital -133.09 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.117
 Current Ratio 0.312
Current Ratio QoQ -21.776 %
Current Ratio YoY -19.895 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 1.831
mean: 0.935
median: 0.933
low: 0.387
BJRI: 0.312
 Quick Ratio 0.246
Quick Ratio QoQ -25.327 %
Quick Ratio YoY -21.831 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.813
median: 1.121
mean: 0.998
BJRI: 0.246
low: 0.178
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 13.947
 Cost Of Debt 0.169 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 9.354
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -16.889 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -22.727 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 17.947
BJRI: 9.354
mean: 8.802
median: 7.355
low: -3.148
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.189
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 12.743
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -1.614 %
 Revenue Growth 0.765 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -89.993 %
Revenue Growth YoY -27.488 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 9.738 %
BJRI: 0.765 %
mean: -5.544 %
median: -7.006 %
low: -25.079 %
 Earnings Growth -13.636 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -100.88 %
Earnings Growth YoY -153.407 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 103.226 %
mean: -12.805 %
median: -13.295 %
BJRI: -13.636 %
low: -155.556 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 15.962 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.833 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.081 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 78.305 %
mean: 43.067 %
median: 39.043 %
BJRI: 15.962 %
low: 11.09 %
 EBIT Margin 2.842 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -15.341 %
EBIT Margin YoY -33.583 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 45.143 %
mean: 24.932 %
median: 22.748 %
BJRI: 2.842 %
low: -18.79 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 3.454 %
Return On Sales QoQ 3.259 %
Return On Sales YoY -19.28 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 44.253 %
mean: 24.976 %
median: 24.817 %
BJRI: 3.454 %
low: -18.79 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 27.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.409 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 294.56 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -315.759 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.364 %
BJRI: 3.409 %
mean: 0.872 %
median: 0.794 %
low: -1.18 %
 Free Cash Growth 264.614 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 147.509 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -249.885 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 296.696 %
BJRI: 264.614 %
mean: 42.428 %
median: 5.617 %
low: -196.027 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 3.009
 Cash Flow Margin 10.216 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 4.05
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.897 %
Return On Assets QoQ -27.72 %
Return On Assets YoY -31.474 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.852 %
mean: 2.442 %
median: 2.339 %
BJRI: 0.897 %
low: -0.379 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.263 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.024
Return On Equity QoQ -29.771 %
Return On Equity YoY -33.232 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.315
BJRI: 0.024
median: 0.021
mean: 0.008
low: -0.158
 DuPont ROE 2.446 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.328 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 11.441 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -27.657 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 18.09 %
mean: 6.264 %
median: 5.912 %
BJRI: 2.328 %
low: -1.732 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term swing window favors momentum-driven longs while watching reversion risk. Bullish signals: DI+ rising, MACD above and rising versus its signal, price trading above short- and medium-term EMAs, and an RSI in a benign zone. Bearish guardrails: ADX shows no strong trend, MRO indicates the price sits above the target (downside reversion risk), and liquidity constraints increase sensitivity to any operational hiccup. Traders should prioritize momentum confirmation and monitor MRO and MACD for early momentum loss while noting WMDST’s under-valued appraisal as the fundamental backdrop.

About BJ’s Restaurants, Inc.

BJ’s Restaurants, Inc. (NASDAQ:BJRI) delivers a distinctive dining experience in the American casual dining sector. Established in 1978 and based in Huntington Beach, California, BJ’s Restaurants have built a reputation for their inviting atmosphere and diverse culinary offerings. The company crafts a menu that includes its signature deep-dish pizzas, a variety of entrees, and their renowned Pizookie dessert. BJ’s places a strong emphasis on quality ingredients and innovative dishes to cater to a wide range of palates. Beyond food, BJ’s Restaurants also brew a selection of handcrafted beers in-house, enhancing the dining experience with unique beverage options. This dedication to craft beer complements their culinary offerings and attracts beer enthusiasts. BJ’s Restaurants consistently expand their presence across the United States, adapting to changing consumer preferences while maintaining a commitment to exceptional service. The company creates family-friendly environments that appeal to a broad audience, including families, friends, and food lovers. Through their focus on quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction, BJ’s Restaurants continue to thrive in the competitive casual dining landscape.



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