PDF Solutions, Inc (NASDAQ:PDFS) Accelerates Momentum While Valuation Signals Near-Term Mean Reversion

PDF Solutions shows accelerating technical momentum against a valuation that implies correction risk; fundamentals display revenue momentum and modest profitability that support a cautiously constructive near-term view.

Recent News

Feb 10, 2026 — DA Davidson reaffirmed a Buy on PDF Solutions ahead of quarterly results. Apr 29, 2026 — DA Davidson raised its price target; several sell-side shops updated coverage through late April and early May, including a new, higher price target reported on May 8. These headlines reflect active analyst engagement and upward revisions to targets over the past three months.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 29.92 indicates a strong trend environment; DI+ shows a peak & reversal while DI- shows a dip & reversal, a configuration that produces a net bearish directional signal despite trend strength and increases the chance of short-term pullback toward support levels.

MACD: MACD stands above its signal line (MACD 3.27 vs signal 2.51), a bullish momentum confirmation that supports continuation of the recent advance in the near term.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 29.88 (positive), indicating price sits above the target level and therefore carries susceptibility to downward mean reversion; the MRO trend shows decreasing momentum pressure.

RSI: RSI at 64.65 with an increasing trend signals persistent buying pressure but proximity to the overbought region raises the probability of consolidation or pullback if momentum fades.

Price vs Moving Averages & Ichimoku: Price closed at $55.09, above the 12-day EMA ($47.02) and well above the 200‑day average ($29.75), showing a strong bullish structural bias. Ichimoku Tenkan at $47.06 and Kijun at $44.20 sit below price, reinforcing short-term upside bias while also defining support bands.

Bollinger Bands & Volatility: Price trades slightly above the 2x upper Bollinger band (2x upper ≈ $54.95), indicating a stretched short-term range; 42‑day volatility (0.04) and elevated 42‑day beta (2.41) warn that moves may be amplified and retracements sharp.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Growth: Total revenue equals $62,403,000 with YoY revenue growth of 16.89% and QoQ revenue contraction of 11.09%, showing solid annual expansion but quarter-to-quarter variability tied to timing of bookings and deliveries.

Profitability: EBIT equals $3,803,000 and EBIT margin sits at 6.09% (QoQ change -26.34%, YoY change +4.96%). That EBIT margin remains below the industry peer mean of 34.639% and the industry peer median of 35.306%, indicating materially lower operating leverage relative to peers.

Cash Flow & Liquidity: Operating cash flow reached $17,341,000 and free cash flow totaled $7,550,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 0.64%, which falls short of the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.47%. Cash and short‑term investments total $42,220,000 and current ratio equals 2.28 (slightly above the industry peer mean of 2.16), signaling a comfortable near-term liquidity position.

Capital Structure & Returns: Total debt stands at $72,819,000 with debt to equity of 0.27 and interest coverage about 3.27. Return on equity and return on assets hover near zero (ROE ≈ -0.018%, ROA ≈ -0.012%), and earnings growth shows marked quarter-to-quarter decline (earnings growth QoQ -122.43%, earnings growth YoY -53.125%), reflecting transient pressures on profitability despite positive annual revenue momentum.

Valuation Multiples: Trailing PE near 100.21 and forward PE about 79.62 sit below the industry peer mean PE of ~138.77, while price-to-book at 4.39 sits well below the industry peer mean of 14.13. PS ratio equals 19.05 vs peer mean ~40.74. Those lower multiples relative to peer means reflect WMDST’s current valuation view and partially offset the stretched technicals.

Earnings Per Share: Reported EPS $0.31 exceeded the estimate of $0.23, producing an EPS surprise of +34.78% (EPS difference $0.08), which supports the firm’s short-term fundamentals and helps explain recent analyst upward revisions.

Valuation Note: The current valuation, as determined by WMDST, registers as under-valued relative to the combination of fundamentals and multiples presented; that valuation underpins a view that price may not require an extended slump to trade back toward intrinsic measures, though technical stretch increases correction risk.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-08-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 35.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 17.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -9.79 M
 Change In Working Capital 5.0 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 6.3 M
 End Period Cash Flow 42.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 62.4 M
 Forward Revenue -5.09 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 16.9 M
 Depreciation 1.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 3.5 M
 Research and Development 19.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 58.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 45.5 M
 EBITDA 7.3 M
 EBIT 3.8 M
 Operating Income 3.5 M
 Interest Income 1.3 M
 Interest Expense 1.2 M
 Net Interest Income 145.0 K
 Income Before Tax 2.6 M
 Tax Provision 2.7 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -48.00 K
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -48.00 K
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.23
 EPS Actual 0.31
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 34.783 %
 Forward EPS 0.40
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 418.7 M
 Intangible Assets 147.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 123.8 M
 Total Current Assets 163.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 42.2 M
 Cash 42.2 M
 Net Receivables 82.9 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 1.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 17.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 2.2 M
 Total Current Liabilities 71.9 M
 Net Debt 24.8 M
 Total Debt 72.8 M
 Total Liabilities 147.7 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 271.0 M
 Retained Earnings -94.63 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 6.85
 Shares Outstanding 39.541 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.58
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.2 B
 Enterprise Value 1.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 166.642
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 29.913 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -66.521 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 244.045
PDFS: 166.642
median: 114.544
mean: 106.546
low: -216.655
 EV/R 19.539
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.545
 Asset To Liability 2.835
 Debt To Capital 0.212
 Debt To Assets 0.174
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.208 %
Debt To Assets YoY 958.551 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.455
median: 0.194
PDFS: 0.174
mean: 0.165
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.269
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.727 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1176.39 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 0.96
PDFS: 0.269
mean: 0.266
median: 0.138
low: -0.408
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.386
Price To Book QoQ 18.256 %
Price To Book YoY -2.797 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 22.16
mean: 14.13
median: 11.172
PDFS: 4.386
low: 1.081
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 100.21
Price To Earnings QoQ 156.144 %
Price To Earnings YoY -12.527 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 422.129
median: 146.908
mean: 138.771
PDFS: 100.21
low: -305.594
 PE/G Ratio -1.886
 Price To Sales (P/S) 19.049
Price To Sales QoQ 10.954 %
Price To Sales YoY -14.062 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 71.828
median: 45.349
mean: 40.743
PDFS: 19.049
low: 3.414
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 79.625
Forward PE/G -1.499
Forward P/S -0.27
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -2.108
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.151
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.606 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -5.98 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.471
mean: 0.207
median: 0.203
PDFS: 0.151
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 0.79
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.203 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -5.053 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.317
mean: 1.785
median: 1.515
PDFS: 0.79
low: 0.498
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 115.437
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 596.302
median: 270.338
mean: 255.66
low: 62.399
PDFS: 0
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.678
 CapEx To Revenue -0.157
 CapEx To Depreciation -6.762
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 335.8 M
 Net Invested Capital 338.0 M
 Invested Capital 338.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 123.8 M
 Net Working Capital 92.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.587
 Current Ratio 2.28
Current Ratio QoQ 3.096 %
Current Ratio YoY -32.993 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 10.619
PDFS: 2.28
median: 2.256
mean: 2.162
low: 1.126
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.952
 Cost Of Debt 1.323 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.267
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -14.396 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 864.197 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 99.429
mean: 34.189
median: 32.93
PDFS: 3.267
low: -8.388
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.029
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 91.391
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.026 %
 Revenue Growth 9.259 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -11.091 %
Revenue Growth YoY 16.892 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.838 %
mean: 12.608 %
PDFS: 9.259 %
median: 2.725 %
low: -9.892 %
 Earnings Growth -53.125 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -122.431 %
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 150.0 %
mean: 17.038 %
median: 0.794 %
PDFS: -53.125 %
low: -85.714 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 72.851 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.81 %
Gross Margin YoY 6.738 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.758 %
PDFS: 72.851 %
median: 52.156 %
mean: 52.084 %
low: 9.383 %
 EBIT Margin 6.094 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -26.339 %
EBIT Margin YoY 496.282 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 46.775 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 34.639 %
PDFS: 6.094 %
low: -49.18 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 5.541 %
Return On Sales QoQ -34.434 %
Return On Sales YoY 442.172 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 69.122 %
median: 35.306 %
mean: 33.989 %
PDFS: 5.541 %
low: -49.18 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 7.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.635 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -304.839 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -266.23 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.925 %
mean: 1.47 %
median: 1.229 %
PDFS: 0.635 %
low: -3.047 %
 Free Cash Growth -348.519 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 347.445 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 82.834 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 182.087 %
median: -0.341 %
mean: -14.445 %
PDFS: -348.519 %
low: -372.545 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -157.292
 Cash Flow Margin -3.365 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 43.75
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.012 %
Return On Assets QoQ -103.692 %
Return On Assets YoY -106.936 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.607 %
mean: 6.008 %
median: 5.937 %
PDFS: -0.012 %
low: -7.635 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.097 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.0
Return On Equity QoQ -103.681 %
Return On Equity YoY -108.219 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.21
median: 0.145
mean: 0.14
PDFS: -0.0
low: -0.241
 DuPont ROE -0.018 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.889 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -20.978 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -340.921 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.139 %
median: 10.618 %
mean: 8.922 %
PDFS: 0.889 %
low: -2.702 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias: momentum remains positive (MACD above signal, price above short-term EMAs), but directional indicators show a peak/reversal pattern and MRO sits positive — a pairing that favors continued upside attempts paired with an elevated chance of mean reversion. Expect price action to oscillate between short‑term resistance near the recent highs and support defined by the super trend lower at $47.21 and the Ichimoku/Kijun area in the mid‑$40s. Volatility and beta indicate swing amplitude above typical ranges; monitor momentum fade as the main trigger for a pullback toward the $52–$47 support band over the next six weeks.

About PDF Solutions, Inc.

PDF Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDFS) develops proprietary software and intellectual property products tailored for integrated circuit design and electrical measurement. The company delivers a suite of tools and methodologies, including Exensio software products, which enhance manufacturing analytics by storing data in a unified environment. This facilitates engineers in identifying and analyzing production yield, performance, and reliability issues. PDF Solutions also provides systems for process control, test operations, and assembly operations, enabling device manufacturers to manage data throughout the product lifecycle. In addition, the company offers Design-For-Inspection (DFI) systems, including on-chip instruments and non-contact e-beam tools, as well as the Characterization Vehicle (CV) system, which comprises test chips and electrical testers. Their Cimetrix software products empower equipment manufacturers with industry-standard interfaces. PDF Solutions extends its offerings through software-as-a-service, software-related services, and characterization services. The company markets its technologies and services through direct sales, service teams, and strategic partnerships to a diverse clientele, including integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies, and electronics manufacturing suppliers. Founded in 1991, PDF Solutions is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.



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