Plexus Corp. (NASDAQ:PLXS) Poised To Extend Margin Expansion Into Q2

Plexus shows operational margin improvement and confirmed program momentum, while near-term technicals imply limited directional conviction. The current valuation as determined by WMDST rates the stock as over-valued.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show limited trend strength: ADX at 16.57 indicates no established trend, reducing conviction for a sustained one-way move; DI+ at 18.59 has completed a dip-and-reversal, and DI- at 17.23 is decreasing, both pointing to a short-term bullish directional tilt.

MACD reads 1.84 with a dip-and-reversal profile, indicating bullish momentum beginning to build, but MACD remains below the signal line at 1.89, so a confirmed momentum crossover has not occurred and follow-through remains uncertain.

MRO stands at 12.88 (positive), signaling the market price sits above the oscillator’s target and therefore carries downside pressure until momentum aligns with valuation expectations.

RSI equals 57.54 with a peak-and-reversal trend, signalling recent strength that now risks a pullback; combined with price sitting above the 20-day average, the pattern suggests momentary exhaustion rather than sustained overbought conditions.

Price relationships reinforce mixed near-term bias: close at $202.79 sits above the 12-day EMA ($196.32), 20-day average ($194.33) and 50-day average ($191.89), while the 200-day average ($153.32) confirms longer-term uptrend. Price trades above the 1x Bollinger upper band ($199.36) and near the 2x upper band ($204.38), increasing the chance of consolidation. Volume (275,856) runs below the 10-day average (329,376), suggesting weaker conviction behind recent moves. Short-term volatility measures (42-day beta 1.52) imply above-market responsiveness to news or sector flows.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue reached $1,069,852,000. EBIT totaled $53,920,000, producing an EBIT margin of 5.04%, up 2.42 percentage points QoQ and up 4.56 percentage points YoY. The EBIT margin compares below the industry peer mean of 18.97% and industry peer median of 20.96%.

Net income equaled $41,182,000 and EPS reported $1.78 versus an estimate of $1.73, yielding an EPS surprise of +2.89% (EPS beat by $0.05). Non-GAAP adjustments lifted reported non-GAAP EPS to $1.78 in the period.

Gross margin measured 9.92%, slightly improved QoQ but below the industry peer mean of 38.86%. Operating margin (5.09%) rose QoQ and YoY, reflecting operational leverage from program ramps and productivity gains. Interest coverage remains robust at 18.67x, supporting low financial risk given total debt of $185,303,000 and debt-to-assets of 5.82%.

Cash flow metrics show stress: operating cash flow at negative $15,381,000 and free cash flow at negative $50,576,000 produce a free cash flow yield of -1.21%. Cash conversion cycle stands at 107.84 days, about 7.4 days longer than the industry peer mean of 100.42 days, driven by elevated inventory ($1,305,339,000) and receivables ($679,660,000). The cash conversion ratio at 1.17 indicates limited cash generation relative to earnings in the period reported.

Return metrics remain modest: return on equity 2.78% and return on assets 1.30%, both below industry peer means. Asset turnover at 0.3384 improved YoY but remains slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.1933, showing efficient revenue generation from the asset base despite margin compression in some areas.

Valuation signals present divergence: trailing PE sits at 87.90 while forward PE approximates 70.73; enterprise multiple reads 56.26. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, reflecting premium multiples relative to the company’s near-term free cash flow deficit and below-mean profitability metrics versus peers.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 306.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow -15.38 M
 Capital Expenditures -35.20 M
 Change In Working Capital -83.72 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -57.34 M
 End Period Cash Flow 249.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.1 B
 Forward Revenue 374.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 963.7 M
 Depreciation 19.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.2 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.0 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 106.1 M
 EBITDA 73.2 M
 EBIT 53.9 M
 Operating Income 54.5 M
 Interest Income 984.0 K
 Interest Expense 2.9 M
 Net Interest Income -1.90 M
 Income Before Tax 51.0 M
 Tax Provision 9.8 M
 Tax Rate 19.3 %
 Net Income 41.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 41.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.73
 EPS Actual 1.78
 EPS Difference 0.05
 EPS Surprise 2.89 %
 Forward EPS 2.16
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.2 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.5 B
 Total Current Assets 2.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 248.8 M
 Cash 248.8 M
 Net Receivables 679.7 M
 Inventory 1.3 B
 Long-Term Investments 29.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 745.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 66.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 185.3 M
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.5 B
 Retained Earnings 2.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 55.44
 Shares Outstanding 26.713 M
 Revenue Per-Share 40.05
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.2 B
 Enterprise Value 4.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 56.263
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 10.991 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -7.344 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 264.455
median: 78.533
mean: 76.88
PLXS: 56.263
low: -72.548
 EV/R 3.847
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.151
 Asset To Liability 1.869
 Debt To Capital 0.111
 Debt To Assets 0.058
Debt To Assets QoQ 9.118 %
Debt To Assets YoY 46.462 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.918
mean: 0.278
median: 0.27
PLXS: 0.058
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.125
Debt To Equity QoQ 8.839 %
Debt To Equity YoY 35.298 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.927
mean: 0.681
median: 0.641
PLXS: 0.125
low: -0.744
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.822
Price To Book QoQ 9.267 %
Price To Book YoY -12.013 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.718
mean: 7.263
median: 5.625
PLXS: 2.822
low: -0.559
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 87.898
Price To Earnings QoQ 34.332 %
Price To Earnings YoY -2.727 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 338.434
mean: 110.959
median: 106.869
PLXS: 87.898
low: -239.759
 PE/G Ratio -5.225
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.907
Price To Sales QoQ 10.061 %
Price To Sales YoY -9.862 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 55.108
mean: 19.193
median: 17.83
PLXS: 3.907
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 70.726
Forward PE/G -4.204
Forward P/S 11.216
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.259
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.338
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.198 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.905 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.529
PLXS: 0.338
mean: 0.193
median: 0.184
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.601
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.133 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.055 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.671
PLXS: 1.601
mean: 1.498
median: 1.422
low: 0.381
 Inventory Turnover 0.76
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.02 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 12.969 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.498
median: 1.116
mean: 1.055
PLXS: 0.76
low: 0.172
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 56.985
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 107.842
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -1.714 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -11.128 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 299.512
PLXS: 107.842
mean: 100.423
median: 84.663
low: 19.926
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.172
 CapEx To Revenue -0.033
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.83
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.5 B
 Net Working Capital 913.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.161
 Current Ratio 1.591
Current Ratio QoQ 0.757 %
Current Ratio YoY 4.353 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.332
median: 2.252
mean: 2.243
PLXS: 1.591
low: 0.51
 Quick Ratio 0.746
Quick Ratio QoQ -3.102 %
Quick Ratio YoY 6.415 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 6.447
mean: 1.703
median: 1.56
PLXS: 0.746
low: 0.423
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.533
 Cost Of Debt 1.117 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 18.67
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -13.492 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 41.036 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 48.5
PLXS: 18.67
median: 13.712
mean: 13.112
low: -31.892
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.012
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 70.441
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.557 %
 Revenue Growth 1.085 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -72.42 %
Revenue Growth YoY -115.312 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 24.001 %
mean: 4.572 %
median: 3.949 %
PLXS: 1.085 %
low: -17.044 %
 Earnings Growth -16.822 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -233.17 %
Earnings Growth YoY 159.359 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 157.143 %
median: 4.478 %
mean: 2.91 %
PLXS: -16.822 %
low: -153.846 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 9.921 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.212 %
Gross Margin YoY -3.829 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 87.538 %
mean: 38.862 %
median: 38.222 %
PLXS: 9.921 %
low: -3.321 %
 EBIT Margin 5.04 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 2.418 %
EBIT Margin YoY 4.564 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 41.05 %
median: 20.963 %
mean: 18.968 %
PLXS: 5.04 %
low: -55.59 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 5.091 %
Return On Sales QoQ 1.455 %
Return On Sales YoY 5.622 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 41.836 %
mean: 18.51 %
median: 15.943 %
PLXS: 5.091 %
low: -29.815 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -50.58 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.21 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -146.772 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -288.768 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.766 %
median: 0.861 %
mean: 0.843 %
PLXS: -1.21 %
low: -5.254 %
 Free Cash Growth -152.036 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -123.826 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 76.757 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 99.057 %
median: 21.004 %
mean: -5.327 %
PLXS: -152.036 %
low: -395.065 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.228
 Cash Flow Margin -1.788 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.464
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.303 %
Return On Assets QoQ -20.934 %
Return On Assets YoY 8.855 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.472 %
median: 2.962 %
mean: 2.471 %
PLXS: 1.303 %
low: -8.229 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.283 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.028
Return On Equity QoQ -21.352 %
Return On Equity YoY -1.558 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.198
mean: 0.061
median: 0.058
PLXS: 0.028
low: -0.273
 DuPont ROE 2.805 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.655 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 2.748 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -112.852 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.312 %
mean: 3.36 %
median: 3.298 %
PLXS: 2.655 %
low: -9.184 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term action should expect rangebound behavior with asymmetric risks. Directional indicators show a short-term bullish tilt, but ADX below 20 limits trend conviction; MACD momentum appears to be rebuilding yet lacks a confirmed crossover; RSI peak suggests pullback risk while MRO’s positive reading signals price sits above a target level and may retrace. Price sits near the upper Bollinger band with below-average volume, favoring consolidation or modest retracement before any sustained advance.

Operationally, margin expansion and program ramps provide constructive fundamental backdrop; however, negative free cash flow and stretched valuation as determined by WMDST cap upside without clearer cash generation. Over the next six weeks, expect volatility to respond to any company updates or sector flows, with a bias toward limited upside continuation unless momentum indicators confirm with higher ADX and a MACD crossover accompanied by improving volume.

About Plexus Corp.

Plexus Corp. (NASDAQ:PLXS) delivers comprehensive electronic manufacturing services across the globe. The company crafts design and development solutions, manages supply chains, and facilitates new product introductions. Additionally, Plexus supports ongoing product sustainability. Serving diverse market sectors, Plexus addresses the needs of the aerospace and defense industries, healthcare and life sciences, industrial and commercial markets, as well as the communications sector. Established in 1979, Plexus maintains its headquarters in Neenah, Wisconsin, and continues to expand its reach both domestically and internationally. Through its integrated approach, Plexus ensures that clients receive tailored solutions that meet their specific requirements, enhancing their operational efficiencies and product innovations.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.