CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) Accelerates Deleveraging While Momentum Signals Near-Term Strength

Deleveraging moves and an operational pivot have reduced headline leverage and created technical momentum that supports price stabilization; fundamental margins remain compressed and keep valuation stretched. Near-term performance will hinge on continued cash generation and margin recovery.

Recent News

On January 5, 2026 the company announced a $75 million principal prepayment on the senior secured term loan made December 31, 2025, as part of a deleveraging plan. On December 23, 2025 the board named Mark A. Pytosh President and CEO effective January 1, 2026. The company published preliminary fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results on January 26, 2026 and reported final fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results on February 18, 2026. During late 2025 CVR resolved to revert the Wynnewood renewable diesel unit back to hydrocarbon processing, citing unfavorable renewables economics and operational optimization.

Technical Analysis

ADX and Directional Indicators — ADX at 26.65 indicates a strong trend strength. DI+ sits at 37.31 and shows an increasing trend, which signals bullish directional pressure; DI‑ at 19.81 is decreasing, which reinforces the bullish directional read relative to the ADX strength.

MACD — MACD at 1.45 with a rising trend and a signal line at 0.74 shows that MACD has crossed above its signal line, which constitutes a bullish momentum signal and supports near‑term upside bias in price action.

MRO — The MRO reads 21.34 and exhibits an increasing trend; because MRO is positive, price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries mean‑reversion pressure that could produce pullbacks during any rapid rallies.

RSI and Momentum — RSI at 52.63 with an increasing trend reflects neutral‑to‑bullish momentum without overbought readings, suggesting room for continuation but limited runaway strength.

Price vs Moving Averages and Bands — Last close of $32.91 trades above the 20‑day average ($27.29), the 50‑day average ($24.30) and the 200‑day average ($29.38); the 12‑day EMA (26.05) trends upward. Bollinger bands place the current price nearer the upper band, indicating compressed volatility on recent gains. The super trend lower value at $27.95 offers a technical support reference below current price.

Volume and Volatility — Daily volume (2,516,774) exceeds 10/50/200‑day averages, confirming participation behind recent moves. Volatility measures remain moderate (42‑day ~4%, 52‑week ~3%), which reduces the likelihood of extreme intraday swings compared with more volatile peers.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and Income Statement — EBIT of -$94,000,000 and EBITDA of $51,000,000 produce an EBIT margin of -5.19%. That EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 1.15% and the industry peer median of 3.52%, though it remains well above the industry peer low of -20.37%. Gross profit was -$59,000,000 and operating income -$99,000,000 for the period ending 2025‑12‑31.

Earnings Metrics — Reported EPS of -$0.80 slightly beat the estimate of -$0.83, producing an EPS surprise ratio of 3.61%. Forward EPS stands at $0.2323 with a forward PE about 126x, reflecting low near‑term earnings visibility relative to current price levels.

Revenue and Growth — Total revenue reached $1,810,000,000 with YoY revenue contraction of 6.89% and QoQ declines. Revenue growth remains negative and contributed to margin pressure across refining and nitrogen fertilizer operations.

Cash Flow and Capital Allocation — Operating cash flow measured $68,000,000 while free cash flow registered -$56,000,000; capital expenditures totaled $56,000,000 and capex to revenue approximated -3.09%. Cash and short‑term investments hold $511,000,000, supporting liquidity needs while the firm executes debt paydowns.

Balance Sheet and Leverage — Total debt equals $1,781,000,000 with net debt $1,199,000,000; debt to EBITDA reads 34.92x and debt to equity at 243.97% (2.44x). Debt to assets at 48.06% sits slightly below the industry peer mean of 54.49% but leverage on earnings metrics remains elevated and constrains free‑cash flexibility.

Liquidity and Working Capital — Current ratio 1.79 and quick ratio 1.13 exceed the industry peer mean current ratio of 1.38, indicating comparatively stronger near‑term liquidity coverage. Cash conversion cycle stands at 16.55 days, roughly in line with typical operating cadence for refining and fertilizer operations.

Valuation — WMDST values the stock as over‑valued. Market capitalization stands at $2,677,429,433 and enterprise value at $3,947,429,433, producing an enterprise multiple of 77.40x and an EV‑to‑revenue ratio near 2.18. Price target mean from analysts sits at $28.60 versus the last close of $32.91, reflecting the stretched valuation against current fundamentals and the need for margin recovery to justify present pricing.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-18
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-20
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 670.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 68.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -56.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -24.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -159.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 511.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.8 B
 Forward Revenue -96.07 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.9 B
 Depreciation 145.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 145.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.9 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit -59.00 M
 EBITDA 51.0 M
 EBIT -94.00 M
 Operating Income -99.00 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 29.0 M
 Net Interest Income -29.00 M
 Income Before Tax -123.00 M
 Tax Provision -7.00 M
 Tax Rate 5.691 %
 Net Income -110.00 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -116.00 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.83
 EPS Actual -0.80
 EPS Difference 0.03
 EPS Surprise 3.614 %
 Forward EPS 0.23
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.7 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 730.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 511.0 M
 Cash 511.0 M
 Net Receivables 235.0 M
 Inventory 472.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 389.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 415.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 14.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 706.0 M
 Net Debt 1.2 B
 Total Debt 1.8 B
 Total Liabilities 2.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 730.0 M
 Retained Earnings -777.00 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 7.26
 Shares Outstanding 100.531 M
 Revenue Per-Share 18.00
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.7 B
 Enterprise Value 3.9 B
 Enterprise Multiple 77.401
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 973.26 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 852.251 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 96.728
CVI: 77.401
median: 46.587
mean: 22.952
low: -113.353
 EV/R 2.181
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 5.077
 Asset To Liability 1.32
 Debt To Capital 0.709
 Debt To Assets 0.481
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.308 %
Debt To Assets YoY 17002.135 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.915
mean: 0.545
median: 0.524
CVI: 0.481
low: 0.233
 Debt To Equity 2.44
Debt To Equity QoQ 10.36 %
Debt To Equity YoY 14192.501 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CVI: 2.44
high: 1.855
median: 1.855
mean: 1.665
low: 0.359
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.668
Price To Book QoQ -7.413 %
Price To Book YoY 30.568 %
Price To Book IPRWA CVI: 3.668
high: 1.293
median: 1.293
mean: 1.252
low: 0.968
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -33.291
Price To Earnings QoQ -140.231 %
Price To Earnings YoY -77.968 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 62.479
CVI: -33.291
mean: -39.775
median: -53.798
low: -98.062
 PE/G Ratio 0.111
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.479
Price To Sales QoQ -13.581 %
Price To Sales YoY 45.844 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 1.933
CVI: 1.479
mean: 1.329
median: 1.204
low: 0.738
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 125.977
Forward PE/G -0.42
Forward P/S -25.409
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 17.161
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.47
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.531 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.687 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.542
CVI: 0.47
median: 0.372
mean: 0.358
low: 0.065
 Receivables Turnover 7.418
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.985 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.727 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA CVI: 7.418
high: 5.931
median: 5.931
mean: 5.507
low: 3.591
 Inventory Turnover 3.81
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 39.11 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 0.751 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.227
median: 4.478
mean: 3.967
CVI: 3.81
low: 1.183
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 12.301
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 16.548
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 14.068 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 23.032 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 91.409
mean: 18.798
CVI: 16.548
low: 10.44
median: 10.44
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 3.226
 CapEx To Revenue -0.031
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.386
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.4 B
 Invested Capital 2.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 730.0 M
 Net Working Capital 561.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.724
 Current Ratio 1.795
Current Ratio QoQ -8.326 %
Current Ratio YoY 8.032 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.109
CVI: 1.795
mean: 1.381
median: 1.38
low: 0.735
 Quick Ratio 1.126
Quick Ratio QoQ -12.262 %
Quick Ratio YoY -6.474 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.582
CVI: 1.126
mean: 0.812
median: 0.784
low: 0.562
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 34.922
 Cost Of Debt 1.504 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -3.241
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -115.765 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -238.916 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 14.134
median: 1.894
mean: 1.073
CVI: -3.241
low: -10.404
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.096
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 28.047
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -7.164 %
 Revenue Growth -6.893 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -166.33 %
Revenue Growth YoY -210.838 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 117.712 %
median: 42.573 %
mean: 32.173 %
CVI: -6.893 %
low: -15.662 %
 Earnings Growth -300.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 9.524 %
Earnings Growth YoY 305.405 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 112.5 %
median: -85.938 %
mean: -108.197 %
CVI: -300.0 %
low: -315.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin -3.26 %
Gross Margin QoQ -111.357 %
Gross Margin YoY -213.352 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 46.536 %
mean: 9.314 %
median: 8.198 %
low: -0.289 %
CVI: -3.26 %
 EBIT Margin -5.193 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -119.641 %
EBIT Margin YoY -306.317 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 10.009 %
median: 3.523 %
mean: 1.15 %
CVI: -5.193 %
low: -20.367 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -5.47 %
Return On Sales QoQ -120.608 %
Return On Sales YoY -317.322 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 10.896 %
median: 2.023 %
mean: 0.366 %
CVI: -5.47 %
low: -11.82 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -56.00 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.092 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -158.014 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -214.756 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.36 %
mean: 3.094 %
median: 2.25 %
low: 1.84 %
CVI: -2.092 %
 Free Cash Growth -146.667 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -85.664 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -173.333 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 587.417 %
mean: 43.21 %
median: -4.508 %
CVI: -146.667 %
low: -707.133 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.509
 Cash Flow Margin 3.757 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.618
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -2.858 %
Return On Assets QoQ -130.476 %
Return On Assets YoY -501.404 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.001 %
median: -0.489 %
mean: -0.649 %
CVI: -2.858 %
low: -4.6 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -3.133 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.151
Return On Equity QoQ -133.842 %
Return On Equity YoY -465.285 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.093
mean: -0.007
median: -0.014
low: -0.143
CVI: -0.151
 DuPont ROE -14.012 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -3.633 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -122.755 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -8.489 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.931 %
median: 0.961 %
mean: 0.299 %
CVI: -3.633 %
low: -6.081 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum currently favors stabilization and modest upside: MACD crossover, rising DI+ and above‑average volume support continuation of recent gains, while RSI near 53 leaves room to run. MRO positive suggests any sharp advance may prompt periodic pullbacks toward the nearest structural support near $28 (20‑day average and super trend lower). Given elevated leverage and negative free cash flow, fundamental sensitivity to refining margins could produce volatility around earnings and operational updates; swing traders should expect consolidation with occasional intrarange tests rather than a decisive breakout absent a material change in cash generation or margins.

About CVR Energy, Inc.

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI), headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, plays a significant role in the energy sector, concentrating on petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. Through its Petroleum segment, CVR Energy refines crude oil into essential products like gasoline, diesel, and other refined fuels. The company operates refineries strategically located in southeast Kansas and Wynnewood, Oklahoma, ensuring a steady supply to a wide range of clients, including retailers, railroads, and farm cooperatives. Its logistics network supports efficient distribution, enhancing its market reach. In the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, CVR Energy utilizes pet coke gasification technology to manufacture nitrogen-based fertilizers. Facilities in North America and East Dubuque, Illinois, produce ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and other agricultural inputs vital for crop yield enhancement. These products serve both agricultural and industrial markets, underscoring their importance in the agricultural supply chain. As a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., CVR Energy integrates a long-standing legacy with contemporary practices, contributing to the energy and agricultural sectors’ growth and sustainability.



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