Minerals Technologies Inc. (NYSE:MTX) Shows Strong Trend Toward Near-Term Weakness

Minerals Technologies Inc. shows weakening short-term momentum amid solid longer-term valuation signals; near-term price action will likely test support while fundamentals point to constrained earnings power and modest cash generation.

Recent News

On January 14, 2026, the company announced expansion of its paper and packaging footprint in Asia, noting three new satellite plants started in 2025, a doubled capacity at an Indian satellite, and an additional satellite expected to commission in early 2026. On January 21, 2026, Minerals Technologies declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share, payable March 6, 2026, with a record date of February 13, 2026. On February 27, 2026, the company announced participation at upcoming investor conferences.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a strong trend environment (ADX 27.5) with downside bias: DI- at 24.41 trending higher while DI+ at 14.93 trends lower. This configuration signals a strengthening bearish directional bias that increases the likelihood of further short-term price pressure against the current valuation.

Momentum measures confirm the bearish tilt. MACD sits negative at -0.07 and is declining, while the MACD signal line remains higher at 0.56; negative, falling MACD below its signal line indicates continuing bearish momentum that undermines near-term upside potential.

MRO reads 10.91 and is decreasing; the positive MRO indicates price currently sits above the model target and, combined with its downward trend, implies pressure for price to converge toward the assessed value over coming weeks.

RSI at 54.68 and trending down points to weakening buying pressure without an immediate oversold condition; the indicator suggests consolidation with a slight bearish bias rather than an abrupt reversal.

Price versus averages: the last close $67.87 stands above the 200-day average ($61.64), signaling longer-term support, yet below the 20-day average (≈$69.60) and with short-term EMAs trending down (12-day EMA $69.15, 26-day EMA $69.45). This mix indicates that while medium-term structural support exists, short-term moving averages apply resistance to immediate rallies.

Bollinger placement shows the price sitting near the lower 1-standard-deviation band (~$67.86), suggesting limited immediate downside room within the recent range but leaving room for a break if bearish momentum accelerates. Ichimoku readings place price below the Kijun-sen ($70.08), adding a short-term resistance reference; the SuperTrend upper band at $71.54 also sits above current price as a near-term cap. Volume sits modestly above the 10-day average but below the 200-day average, indicating the recent moves occur on mixed participation and do not yet show broad conviction.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings: Reported EPS $1.27 versus an estimate of $1.28 (EPS difference -$0.01, surprise ratio -0.78%), a marginal miss that aligns with near-term margin pressure. Net income stands at $37,200,000 with operating income $66,500,000 and EBIT $59,500,000.

Margins and margin trends show compression. Gross margin equals 23.965%, while EBIT margin equals 11.453%; EBIT margin declined QoQ by 13.39% and YoY by 27.64%. Compared with the industry peer mean EBIT margin (21.514%) and industry peer median EBIT margin (26.061%), the company’s EBIT margin sits below those central measures but above the industry peer low. Operating margin at 12.801% fell QoQ by 13.07% and YoY by 19.12%, reinforcing reduced operating leverage through the period.

Revenues and growth: Total revenue $519,500,000. Reported revenue growth shows a short-term decline of -2.42% while year-over-year revenue growth reads 92.61% (reported figure). Cash flow: operating cash flow $64,300,000 and free cash flow $31,900,000; free cash flow yield 1.64%, which sits above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield (1.184%). Free cash flow declined QoQ and YoY, indicating pressure on cash generation relative to prior periods.

Balance sheet and leverage: Cash and short-term investments $332,600,000 against net debt $632,700,000. Debt-to-EBITDA registers at 11.61, and interest coverage equals 4.61, indicating elevated leverage relative to earnings and tighter interest coverage. Current ratio 2.08 provides near-term liquidity, though the current ratio fell YoY by 26.84%.

Valuation context: Price-to-earnings ratio sits at 49.33 (forward PE ~34.41) while price-to-book equals 1.13, below the industry peer mean price-to-book of 4.20 and the industry peer median of 5.32. WMDST values the stock as under-valued. The combination of a below-average price-to-book, modest free cash flow yield above the industry peer mean, and compressed margins supports WMDST’s under-valued conclusion, albeit offset by elevated leverage and declining margin trends.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-30
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 319.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow 64.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -32.40 M
 Change In Working Capital -17.20 M
 Dividends Paid -3.80 M
 Cash Flow Delta 9.4 M
 End Period Cash Flow 329.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 519.5 M
 Forward Revenue 190.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 395.0 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development 5.8 M
 Total Operating Expenses 453.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 124.5 M
 EBITDA 82.8 M
 EBIT 59.5 M
 Operating Income 66.5 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 12.9 M
 Net Interest Income -12.90 M
 Income Before Tax 46.6 M
 Tax Provision 9.6 M
 Tax Rate 20.601 %
 Net Income 37.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 38.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.28
 EPS Actual 1.27
 EPS Difference -0.01
 EPS Surprise -0.781 %
 Forward EPS 1.75
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.5 B
 Intangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 588.8 M
 Total Current Assets 1.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 332.6 M
 Cash 329.0 M
 Net Receivables 400.1 M
 Inventory 350.2 M
 Long-Term Investments 148.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 187.9 M
 Short-Term Debt 6.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 555.4 M
 Net Debt 632.7 M
 Total Debt 961.7 M
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.7 B
 Retained Earnings 2.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 55.21
 Shares Outstanding 31.034 M
 Revenue Per-Share 16.74
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.9 B
 Enterprise Value 2.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 31.081
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 13.114 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 55.361 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 201.531
mean: 70.071
median: 69.978
MTX: 31.081
low: -23.043
 EV/R 4.954
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.025
 Asset To Liability 2.018
 Debt To Capital 0.359
 Debt To Assets 0.277
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.925 %
Debt To Assets YoY 8006.14 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.677
mean: 0.368
median: 0.323
MTX: 0.277
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.561
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.829 %
Debt To Equity YoY 8353.012 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.443
mean: 1.186
median: 0.734
MTX: 0.561
low: -2.333
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.135
Price To Book QoQ 0.028 %
Price To Book YoY -19.149 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.87
median: 5.316
mean: 4.205
MTX: 1.135
low: -7.896
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 49.334
Price To Earnings QoQ 10.721 %
Price To Earnings YoY -3.744 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 152.705
median: 134.49
mean: 115.439
MTX: 49.334
low: -140.562
 PE/G Ratio -2.731
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.743
Price To Sales QoQ 4.849 %
Price To Sales YoY -20.918 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 23.197
median: 18.503
mean: 17.002
MTX: 3.743
low: 0.853
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 34.406
Forward PE/G -1.905
Forward P/S 10.233
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 6.39
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.15
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.623 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.749 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.321
MTX: 0.15
mean: 0.13
median: 0.101
low: 0.003
 Receivables Turnover 1.277
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.672 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.677 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.579
mean: 1.708
median: 1.702
MTX: 1.277
low: 0.278
 Inventory Turnover 1.107
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.215 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.759 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.952
median: 2.174
mean: 1.837
MTX: 1.107
low: 0.542
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 71.445
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 109.42
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.661 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 2.797 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 328.394
MTX: 109.42
mean: 54.025
median: 40.342
low: -25.808
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.866
 CapEx To Revenue -0.062
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.7 B
 Invested Capital 2.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 588.8 M
 Net Working Capital 600.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.599
 Current Ratio 2.081
Current Ratio QoQ 4.893 %
Current Ratio YoY -26.837 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.382
MTX: 2.081
mean: 1.191
median: 0.877
low: 0.797
 Quick Ratio 1.45
Quick Ratio QoQ 5.948 %
Quick Ratio YoY -26.896 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.933
MTX: 1.45
mean: 0.9
median: 0.742
low: 0.471
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 11.615
 Cost Of Debt 1.071 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.612
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -9.586 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -29.127 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 16.611
mean: 8.391
median: 8.366
MTX: 4.612
low: -5.752
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.099
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 44.402
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 9.789
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.102
 Dividend Rate 0.12
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.295 %
 Revenue Growth -2.423 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -466.012 %
Revenue Growth YoY 92.607 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 42.575 %
median: -2.019 %
MTX: -2.423 %
mean: -2.812 %
low: -23.729 %
 Earnings Growth -18.065 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 55.558 %
Earnings Growth YoY 2628.852 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 18.265 %
MTX: -18.065 %
median: -20.293 %
mean: -22.277 %
low: -217.241 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 23.965 %
Gross Margin QoQ -6.871 %
Gross Margin YoY -6.434 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 60.41 %
median: 48.117 %
mean: 43.185 %
MTX: 23.965 %
low: 7.604 %
 EBIT Margin 11.453 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -13.386 %
EBIT Margin YoY -27.636 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 34.241 %
median: 26.061 %
mean: 21.514 %
MTX: 11.453 %
low: -6.716 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.801 %
Return On Sales QoQ -13.072 %
Return On Sales YoY -19.119 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 36.378 %
median: 24.384 %
mean: 21.402 %
MTX: 12.801 %
low: -3.006 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 31.9 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.641 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -28.466 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -4.87 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.585 %
MTX: 1.641 %
mean: 1.184 %
median: 0.773 %
low: -6.674 %
 Free Cash Growth -26.835 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -192.554 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -235.325 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 228.736 %
median: -5.981 %
mean: -17.933 %
MTX: -26.835 %
low: -332.845 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.858
 Cash Flow Margin 10.587 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.478
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.074 %
Return On Assets QoQ -13.666 %
Return On Assets YoY -32.495 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.12 %
median: 1.771 %
mean: 1.595 %
MTX: 1.074 %
low: -2.408 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.042 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.022
Return On Equity QoQ -15.427 %
Return On Equity YoY -29.764 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.104
mean: 0.051
median: 0.04
MTX: 0.022
low: -0.055
 DuPont ROE 2.196 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.766 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -12.531 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -109.145 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.545 %
mean: 2.786 %
median: 2.664 %
MTX: 1.766 %
low: -1.282 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a near-term consolidation with a downside bias. Short-term technicals—declining MACD, rising DI-, falling DI+, and a positive but retreating MRO—point to price pressure that could test the recent lower-range supports. Longer-term structural support from the 200-day average and WMDST’s under-valued assessment should limit sustained deterioration absent fresh adverse news. Volatility remains muted, so movement will likely unfold as measured range compression with intermittent breakdowns or relief bounces rather than sharp directional runs.

About Minerals Technologies Inc.

Minerals Technologies Inc. (NYSE:MTX) develops, produces, and markets a diverse range of mineral and mineral-based products and services. The company operates through two primary segments: Consumer & Specialties and Engineered Solutions. Within the Consumer & Specialties segment, Minerals Technologies creates products for household and personal care, including pet litter and fabric care, as well as specialty additives like precipitated and ground calcium carbonate for industries such as paper, automotive, and construction. This segment also produces limestone and dolomitic limestone for various packaging applications. The Engineered Solutions segment delivers high-temperature technology products, including custom-blended mineral and non-mineral solutions for casting auto parts and equipment used in oil and gas production, power generation, and rail car components. Additionally, this segment provides environmental and infrastructure products, such as geosynthetic clay lining systems and wastewater remediation technologies. Minerals Technologies markets its products through a direct sales force and regional distributors, serving customers across the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, Africa, and Asia. Founded in 1968, the company maintains its headquarters in New York, New York.



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