Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALNY) Sees Near-Term Technical Weakness Ahead

Momentum indicators and short-term averages signal pressure into the coming weeks while the company’s fundamentals show profitable operations paired with rich market multiples. Expect price action to remain sensitive to execution updates and the company’s strategic cadence.

Recent News

On January 11, 2026 the company unveiled its “Alnylam 2030” strategic plan and outlined product-and-pipeline priorities for 2026. In December 2025–January 2026 Alnylam announced a $250 million investment to expand RNA-drug manufacturing capacity in Massachusetts and noted regulatory engagement for its siRELIS manufacturing platform. A board appointment became effective in January 2026 as part of routine governance updates.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 27.24 indicates a strong trend environment; DI+ decreasing and DI- showing a dip-and-reversal together point to dominant negative directional pressure. That combination supports the near-term downside bias implied by short-term price structure.

MACD: MACD sits negative at -8.15 but has increased and crossed above its signal line (-9.34), which signals a bullish momentum shift inside a still-negative momentum regime; this raises the probability of short-covering rallies rather than trend reversals.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 8.18 and recently dip-and-reversed; the positive reading indicates price sits modestly above the model target, suggesting limited downward pressure could reassert if momentum fades.

RSI: RSI at 39.31 with a peak-and-reversal pattern signals bearish exhaustion from a recent short-term top and increases vulnerability to further declines toward oversold territory before any sustained recovery.

Price Structure & Moving Averages: Last close $317.23 sits below the 20-day average ($324.97), the 50-day average ($348.52) and well below the 200-day average ($391.99); the 12-day EMA also trends downward. These placements favor continued near-term weakness, and the proximity to the lower Bollinger band underscores compressed downside risk into the next few sessions.

Volatility & Liquidity: 42-day beta (0.72) and subdued 42–52 week volatility indicate moves will likely be orderly rather than explosive; volume sits near recent averages, so breakouts or breakdowns will require a catalyst to change the status quo.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT totaled $290,474,000 with an EBIT margin of 26.48%. Operating margin sits at 12.01% and gross margin at 75.60%, reflecting strong product-level profitability and operating leverage from product sales.

Earnings: Reported EPS came in at $1.25 versus an estimate of $1.50, yielding an EPS surprise of -16.67%. Management’s full-year disclosures and filings confirm the move to profitability in the latest reporting period and provide updated forward objectives.

Growth & Cash Flow: Reported total revenue was $1,097,033,000 and YoY revenue growth registers as -12.17%. Free cash flow totaled $140,263,000, producing a free-cash-flow yield near 0.28%, while cash and short-term investments equal $2,908,484,000—providing liquidity to fund pipeline and manufacturing investments.

Capital Structure: Total debt stands at $1,278,389,000; debt-to-EBITDA measures 4.21x and interest coverage about 2.25x, indicating leverage increased relative to operating cash but remains serviceable given cash balances. Debt-to-equity at 1.62x signals meaningful leverage on the balance sheet.

Valuation: Market multiples show elevated investor expectations: P/E around 307.87x, forward P/E near 111.04x, P/B about 64.55x, and EV-to-revenue and enterprise multiples also read materially high. The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as over-valued, and these multiples imply the market prices substantial future growth and margin expansion into the company’s pipeline and franchise execution.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-14
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.5 B
 Operating Cash Flow 163.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -23.29 M
 Change In Working Capital -73.15 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 166.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.7 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.1 B
 Forward Revenue 707.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 267.7 M
 Depreciation 13.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 13.5 M
 Research and Development 372.2 M
 Total Operating Expenses 965.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 829.3 M
 EBITDA 304.0 M
 EBIT 290.5 M
 Operating Income 131.7 M
 Interest Income 26.6 M
 Interest Expense 129.3 M
 Net Interest Income -102.71 M
 Income Before Tax 161.1 M
 Tax Provision -25.28 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 186.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 186.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.50
 EPS Actual 1.25
 EPS Difference -0.25
 EPS Surprise -16.667 %
 Forward EPS 3.63
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 5.0 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 789.2 M
 Total Current Assets 4.1 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.9 B
 Cash 1.7 B
 Net Receivables 777.6 M
 Inventory 82.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 81.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 115.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 1.3 B
 Total Liabilities 4.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 789.2 M
 Retained Earnings -6.70 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 5.96
 Shares Outstanding 132.376 M
 Revenue Per-Share 8.29
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 50.9 B
 Enterprise Value 49.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 162.224
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -14.938 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -177.979 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 170.423
ALNY: 162.224
median: 58.093
mean: 26.996
low: -160.468
 EV/R 44.951
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 6.293
 Asset To Liability 1.189
 Debt To Capital 0.618
 Debt To Assets 0.257
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.553 %
Debt To Assets YoY -15.788 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.032
mean: 0.267
ALNY: 0.257
median: 0.173
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 1.62
Debt To Equity QoQ -71.043 %
Debt To Equity YoY -91.615 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA ALNY: 1.62
high: 1.588
mean: 0.344
median: 0.109
low: -1.035
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 64.552
Price To Book QoQ -74.009 %
Price To Book YoY -87.127 %
Price To Book IPRWA ALNY: 64.552
high: 19.873
median: 6.164
mean: 5.303
low: -10.511
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 307.867
Price To Earnings QoQ 102.555 %
Price To Earnings YoY -176.91 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA ALNY: 307.867
high: 177.393
median: 68.97
mean: 41.052
low: -196.849
 PE/G Ratio -5.411
 Price To Sales (P/S) 46.437
Price To Sales QoQ -0.154 %
Price To Sales YoY -18.122 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 728.195
mean: 49.7
ALNY: 46.437
median: 20.207
low: -51.498
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 111.039
Forward PE/G -1.952
Forward P/S 67.808
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -0.206
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.223
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -15.751 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 59.076 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.406
ALNY: 0.223
mean: 0.112
median: 0.109
low: -0.066
 Receivables Turnover 1.259
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -22.778 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -19.417 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.104
median: 1.502
mean: 1.423
ALNY: 1.259
low: -1.505
 Inventory Turnover 3.387
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 24.426 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 154.449 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA ALNY: 3.387
high: 2.026
mean: 0.537
median: 0.473
low: 0.009
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 72.463
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 55.319
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 69.241 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -1.011 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 937.301
mean: 214.278
median: 192.562
ALNY: 55.319
low: -1235.527
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.424
 CapEx To Revenue -0.021
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.725
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.8 B
 Invested Capital 1.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 789.2 M
 Net Working Capital 2.6 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.983
 Current Ratio 2.762
Current Ratio QoQ 8.704 %
Current Ratio YoY -0.556 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 30.664
mean: 5.528
median: 2.901
ALNY: 2.762
low: 0.35
 Quick Ratio 2.706
Quick Ratio QoQ 8.554 %
Quick Ratio YoY -0.209 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 12.299
ALNY: 2.706
mean: 2.457
median: 2.27
low: 0.279
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.205
 Cost Of Debt 7.9 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.246
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -64.812 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -156.472 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 224.172
mean: 5.336
median: 3.319
ALNY: 2.246
low: -376.787
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.258
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 53.183
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.363 %
 Revenue Growth -12.169 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -119.807 %
Revenue Growth YoY -166.078 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 219.093 %
mean: 15.667 %
median: 3.233 %
ALNY: -12.169 %
low: -111.016 %
 Earnings Growth -56.897 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -91.49 %
Earnings Growth YoY 125.005 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 111.538 %
median: -23.077 %
mean: -23.844 %
ALNY: -56.897 %
low: -170.677 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 75.596 %
Gross Margin QoQ -9.978 %
Gross Margin YoY -8.552 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 102.453 %
median: 79.505 %
mean: 78.786 %
ALNY: 75.596 %
low: -13.436 %
 EBIT Margin 26.478 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 16.71 %
EBIT Margin YoY -201.336 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 1116.376 %
ALNY: 26.478 %
median: 21.964 %
mean: -67.782 %
low: -4014.615 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.007 %
Return On Sales QoQ -59.246 %
Return On Sales YoY -145.953 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 1116.376 %
median: 27.569 %
ALNY: 12.007 %
mean: -72.628 %
low: -4225.417 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 140.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.275 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -48.98 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -189.286 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 14.775 %
median: 0.544 %
mean: 0.396 %
ALNY: 0.275 %
low: -21.858 %
 Free Cash Growth -55.183 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -144.342 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -84.78 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 144.964 %
median: -23.687 %
mean: -25.413 %
ALNY: -55.183 %
low: -201.25 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.752
 Cash Flow Margin 34.449 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.027
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.797 %
Return On Assets QoQ -28.788 %
Return On Assets YoY -291.381 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 18.9 %
ALNY: 3.797 %
median: 1.475 %
mean: -1.879 %
low: -43.276 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.299 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.236
Return On Equity QoQ -77.995 %
Return On Equity YoY -118.92 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.553
ALNY: 0.236
median: 0.058
mean: 0.009
low: -0.745
 DuPont ROE 36.442 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 12.77 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -27.315 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 45.86 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 19.946 %
ALNY: 12.77 %
median: 3.016 %
mean: 0.543 %
low: -38.753 %

Six-Week Outlook

Swing traders should expect a technical-first market reaction window. Short-term indicators favor downside pressure while MACD’s crossover enables episodic relief rallies driven by tactical buying or news flow. Key near-term drivers include operational updates tied to manufacturing expansion, regulatory milestones for siRELIS, and scheduled corporate disclosures; these may amplify moves given the stock’s high multiples and concentrated expectations. Volatility should remain contained relative to high-beta biotech names, but price likely trades inside a lower-to-sideways range unless a clear positive catalyst reaccelerates momentum above the 20–50 day averages.

About Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALNY) focuses on developing RNA interference (RNAi) therapeutics to treat serious diseases. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, the company has developed a portfolio of products addressing various medical conditions. Key products include ONPATTRO and AMVUTTRA for hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis, GIVLAARI for acute hepatic porphyria, and OXLUMO for primary hyperoxaluria type 1. Alnylam advances a robust pipeline targeting diseases such as transthyretin amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy, complement-mediated diseases, and hypertension. The company collaborates with industry leaders like Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and Roche to enhance the therapeutic potential of RNAi. Through these partnerships, Alnylam aims to broaden its impact across different medical fields. By focusing on unmet medical needs, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals seeks to transform the treatment landscape, offering innovative solutions to patients worldwide. The company’s dedication to scientific excellence drives its efforts in drug discovery and development, positioning it as a leader in the biopharmaceutical industry.



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