Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) Signals Short-Term Pullback Despite Strong Fundamentals

Near-term momentum points to downward pressure while operating performance and cash generation support a premium multiple. Technical indicators favor a corrective phase; fundamentals justify continued strategic value but not current valuation.

Recent News

On February 25, 2026 the board approved a quarterly dividend of $1.21 per share, payable April 15, 2026 to shareholders of record March 20, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 53.39 indicates a very strong directional trend in place; with DI+ at 36.80 showing a peak-and-reversal and DI- at 13.32 showing a dip-and-reversal, directional indicators point toward bearish pressure as the trend strength remains elevated.

MACD sits at 14.87 and trended as a peak-and-reversal, trading below its signal line at 16.86; that configuration signals weakening bullish momentum and favors further downside pressure in the near term.

MRO reads 17.45, a positive value that places the current price above model targets; the MRO peak-and-reversal trend suggests that upside has lost momentum and the price likely faces downward adjustment toward intrinsic targets.

RSI at 62.7 with a peak-and-reversal trend shows reduced upside conviction from recently higher readings; RSI remains below classic overbought thresholds yet confirms waning buying intensity.

Price closed at $458.03, below the 20-day average of $468.57 and below the 12-day EMA (price12dayEMA trend: peak & reversal), while remaining above the 50-day ($420.29) and 200-day ($424.00) averages. That structure favors a short-term pullback within a longer-term uptrend; the super trend upper at $478.65 marks nearby resistance while the lower Bollinger band near $456.63 provides an immediate support reference.

Volume at 1,825 fell below the 10-day average of 2,388 and far below the 200-day average of 1,043,932, indicating today’s price action occurred on muted participation and reducing conviction behind recent intraday moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Motorola reported fourth-quarter and full-year results on February 11, 2026; EPS came in at $4.59 versus an estimate of $4.35, an EPS surprise of approximately 5.52%, while total revenue for the period equaled $3.009 billion.

Revenue growth shows a strong year-over-year lift at 43.17% while quarter-over-quarter revenue contracted by 5.87%; YoY strength suggests meaningful demand expansion over the past year even as sequential growth cooled.

Operating profit metrics remain healthy: EBIT margin stands at 27.52%, slightly above the industry peer mean of 27.10%; EBIT margin improved QoQ by 1.31% and held roughly flat YoY (-0.04%). Gross margin at 51.65% trailed the industry peer mean of 57.35%, indicating lower gross profitability versus the peer mean despite strong operating leverage.

Cash generation appears constructive: free cash flow totaled $732 million with a free cash flow yield of 0.97% (below the industry peer mean of 1.33%), and operating cash flow registered $798 million. Cash conversion metrics sit at 45.05 days, close to the industry peer mean context for working capital.

Leverage and coverage raise caution: total debt equals $9.936 billion with net debt near $8.445 billion, producing debt-to-EBITDA of about 10.54x and a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.27 versus an industry peer mean of 0.57; interest coverage stands at 8.04x, below the industry peer mean of 11.01x. High leverage elevates sensitivity to cash-flow swings despite positive earnings and cash flow.

Return metrics show strength: return on equity registers 24.15% (above the industry peer mean of 6.65%) while return on assets equals 3.19% (close to the industry peer mean of 2.78%). Asset turnover remains low at 0.171 but improved asset growth at 14.54% supports the revenue expansion narrative.

Valuation aligns with WMDST’s view: WMDST values the stock as over-valued. Multiples reflect that view—price-to-book at 32.33 and price-to-sales at 25.00 sit well above industry peer means (book mean ~7.58; sales mean ~13.25), and an enterprise multiple near 89.36 signals a stretched premium relative to typical transactional levels. Those valuation layers, combined with high leverage, limit margin for adverse operational or macro surprises.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 798.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -66.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 46.0 M
 Dividends Paid -182.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -2.31 B
 End Period Cash Flow 894.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 3.0 B
 Forward Revenue 1.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.5 B
 Depreciation 49.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 115.0 M
 Research and Development 237.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.6 B
 EBITDA 943.0 M
 EBIT 828.0 M
 Operating Income 766.0 M
 Interest Income 17.0 M
 Interest Expense 103.0 M
 Net Interest Income -86.00 M
 Income Before Tax 725.0 M
 Tax Provision 161.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.0 %
 Net Income 562.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 563.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 4.35
 EPS Actual 4.59
 EPS Difference 0.24
 EPS Surprise 5.517 %
 Forward EPS 4.53
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 18.8 B
 Intangible Assets 9.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.58 B
 Total Current Assets 5.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 894.0 M
 Cash 894.0 M
 Net Receivables 2.0 B
 Inventory 943.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 96.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.1 B
 Short-Term Debt 928.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 5.7 B
 Net Debt 8.4 B
 Total Debt 9.9 B
 Total Liabilities 16.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.3 B
 Retained Earnings 2.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.96
 Shares Outstanding 166.700 M
 Revenue Per-Share 18.05
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 75.2 B
 Enterprise Value 84.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 89.36
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.84 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 4.747 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 162.207
MSI: 89.36
median: 68.592
mean: 67.038
low: -11.362
 EV/R 28.005
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 8.079
 Asset To Liability 1.142
 Debt To Capital 0.81
 Debt To Assets 0.529
Debt To Assets QoQ 4.109 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2180.155 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.533
MSI: 0.529
median: 0.228
mean: 0.22
low: 0.024
 Debt To Equity 4.27
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.854 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1658.31 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA MSI: 4.27
high: 2.401
median: 0.569
mean: 0.566
low: 0.034
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 32.327
Price To Book QoQ -13.411 %
Price To Book YoY -41.89 %
Price To Book IPRWA MSI: 32.327
high: 21.237
mean: 7.576
median: 5.604
low: -1.369
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 111.147
Price To Earnings QoQ -6.321 %
Price To Earnings YoY -5.948 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 350.333
mean: 111.755
MSI: 111.147
median: 55.548
low: -73.826
 PE/G Ratio 8.098
 Price To Sales (P/S) 25.0
Price To Sales QoQ -5.918 %
Price To Sales YoY -5.445 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 43.745
MSI: 25.0
median: 17.892
mean: 13.25
low: 0.045
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 111.533
Forward PE/G 8.126
Forward P/S 82.634
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.162
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.171
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.669 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -16.585 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.496
MSI: 0.171
mean: 0.157
median: 0.126
low: 0.057
 Receivables Turnover 1.555
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.851 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.604 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.142
median: 2.071
mean: 2.002
MSI: 1.555
low: 0.595
 Inventory Turnover 1.613
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.056 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -3.774 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.69
MSI: 1.613
mean: 1.177
median: 1.079
low: 0.006
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 58.68
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 45.047
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.261 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 3.989 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 366.812
mean: 116.112
median: 52.2
MSI: 45.047
low: -92.54
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 19.796
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.347
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 10.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.7 B
 Invested Capital 11.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -7.58 B
 Net Working Capital 152.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.158
 Current Ratio 1.027
Current Ratio QoQ -40.577 %
Current Ratio YoY -17.523 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.423
mean: 1.844
median: 1.171
MSI: 1.027
low: 0.722
 Quick Ratio 0.86
Quick Ratio QoQ -43.966 %
Quick Ratio YoY -19.613 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.274
mean: 1.516
median: 0.908
MSI: 0.86
low: 0.497
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 10.537
 Cost Of Debt 0.88 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.039
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -24.0 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -23.589 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 35.667
mean: 11.005
median: 8.583
MSI: 8.039
low: -29.448
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.084
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 74.512
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.088
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.324
 Dividend Rate 1.09
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 14.544 %
 Revenue Growth 8.825 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -5.867 %
Revenue Growth YoY 43.17 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 44.897 %
MSI: 8.825 %
mean: 4.22 %
median: 3.703 %
low: -31.668 %
 Earnings Growth 13.725 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 11.913 %
Earnings Growth YoY -11.061 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 125.0 %
MSI: 13.725 %
mean: 10.403 %
median: 2.857 %
low: -78.571 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 51.645 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.061 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.551 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 88.028 %
median: 60.607 %
mean: 57.35 %
MSI: 51.645 %
low: 6.723 %
 EBIT Margin 27.517 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 1.311 %
EBIT Margin YoY -0.036 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 52.219 %
MSI: 27.517 %
mean: 27.099 %
median: 18.66 %
low: -25.54 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.457 %
Return On Sales QoQ 1.572 %
Return On Sales YoY -7.52 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 46.033 %
mean: 26.248 %
MSI: 25.457 %
median: 18.046 %
low: -26.82 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 732.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.973 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 217.974 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 2.206 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.425 %
median: 1.53 %
mean: 1.329 %
MSI: 0.973 %
low: -8.162 %
 Free Cash Growth 225.333 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -529.771 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -57.225 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 387.5 %
MSI: 225.333 %
mean: 27.823 %
median: 5.822 %
low: -667.257 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.302
 Cash Flow Margin 15.786 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.845
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.192 %
Return On Assets QoQ -4.029 %
Return On Assets YoY -22.656 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.933 %
MSI: 3.192 %
mean: 2.778 %
median: 1.696 %
low: -4.587 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.301 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.242
Return On Equity QoQ -7.35 %
Return On Equity YoY -43.017 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.251
MSI: 0.242
mean: 0.067
median: 0.021
low: -0.186
 DuPont ROE 26.169 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.536 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -5.593 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -109.629 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.517 %
MSI: 5.536 %
mean: 4.389 %
median: 3.009 %
low: -7.355 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum favors a corrective phase over the next six weeks. Bearish signals from DI+/DI-, a MACD peak-and-reversal below its signal line, and a positive MRO that recently peaked point toward near-term downside pressure that could drive price back toward short-term support near the lower Bollinger band and the 50-day average.

Fundamentals provide a stabilizing backdrop: strong YoY revenue growth, positive EPS surprise, and robust ROE reduce the likelihood of a durable breakdown, but elevated leverage and stretched multiples increase downside risk if operating cash flow weakens or if markets reprice high-multiple industrials. Upcoming calendar items include the next scheduled report on May 13, 2026, which could act as a catalyst beyond the six-week window.

For swing traders, expect higher-probability short-term weakness accompanied by low intraday volume; monitor whether MACD momentum and DI+ reverse back upward before assuming renewed strength, since sustained bearish technicals would likely compress the premium valuation and widen downside risk.

About Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) designs and delivers public safety and enterprise security solutions across the globe, including the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates through two primary segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration segment provides a comprehensive range of devices and infrastructure, including two-way radios, video security devices, and communication network solutions. This segment also handles the implementation and integration of these systems for government, public safety, and commercial clients managing private communication networks and video security solutions. The Software and Services segment offers command center software, unified communications applications, and mobile video solutions. It also provides repair, technical support, maintenance, monitoring, software updates, and cybersecurity services. Motorola Solutions caters to industries such as hospitality, manufacturing, military and defense, public safety, mining, oil and gas, transportation, logistics, and utilities. Founded in 1928 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, Motorola Solutions continues to support critical communication needs worldwide.



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