Bill Holdings, Inc (NYSE:BILL) Poised For Near-Term Rebound On Buyout Talks And Cash Cushion

Momentum from reported acquisition interest and a large cash base create a conditional near-term constructive setup despite stretched profitability multiples.

Recent News

On February 6, 2026 multiple outlets reported that Hellman & Friedman has held talks to acquire Bill Holdings, triggering elevated takeover speculation and heavy volume. Around the same window, public filings showed a notable institutional accumulation by Barington Companies and company disclosures referenced a material share repurchase program. Activist engagement and board changes remain part of the governance narrative through the period.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show mixed bullish pressure: DI+ registered a dip-and-reversal while DI− decreased, which both signal bullish directional shifts; however, ADX at 16.59 indicates no established trend, implying the directional edge lacks strength. This combination supports the intro’s conditional rebound thesis rather than a sustained breakout.

MACD sits negative at −0.75 but recently moved above its signal line (signal −0.99), indicating bullish momentum emerging from a negative base; that pattern favors a near-term lift in price momentum tied to news flow and investor positioning.

MRO reads 12.97 with a peak-and-reversal pattern; the positive MRO indicates the price currently sits above the model target and the peak reversal signals a shift toward downward pressure. That presents a counterforce to the bullish DI+/MACD signals and suggests upside may meet mean-reversion risk near resistance levels tied to moving averages.

RSI at 46.67 with a dip-and-reversal shows renewed buying interest from oversold-to-neutral territory, aligning with the MACD crossover and supporting the prospect of a tactical bounce within the coming weeks.

Price sits at $44.47: above the 12-day EMA ($44.46) and 20-day average ($44.26) but below the 50-day ($47.43) and 200-day ($47.77) averages and beneath the Ichimoku cloud (Senkou A/B ~50.14/50.09). That structure implies short-term bullishness inside a larger neutral-to-bearish longer-term band; Bollinger bands place the close nearer the upper 1x band, increasing the chance of a short-term pullback to support if takeover chatter cools.

Short-term volatility measures remain elevated (42-day beta 4.19) and daily volume sits near its 10-day average but below longer-term averages, indicating episodic news-driven spikes rather than steady accumulation. Collectively, the technical ensemble supports a tactical rebound that depends on continued deal momentum and liquidity flows.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings: Reported EPS came in at $0.64 versus an estimate of $0.56, an EPS surprise of +14.29%, reflecting an upside to street expectations for the period. Forward EPS sits at $0.6724 with a forward P/E of ~77.11x, leaving valuation sensitive to incremental upside in earnings conversion and cash generation.

Profitability and margins: Operating margin stands at −4.26% and EBIT margin at 0.73%, with EBIT margin QoQ down −26.77% and YoY down −93.12%. These margins remain well below the industry peer mean (EBIT margin industry peer mean 46.63% and industry peer median 60.27%), underscoring continued pressure on operating profitability relative to application-software peers despite high gross margin (79.84%).

Revenue and cash flow: Total revenue reached $414.67M with revenue growth metrics showing a 47.94% QoQ increase and a 317.73% YoY change as reported; free cash flow measured $91.13M and free cash flow yield equals ~1.85% with free cash growth of 10.78% year-over-year. High gross margin (79.84%) sits above the industry peer mean (71.89%) and industry peer median (68.04%), indicating pricing and cost of goods advantages that help fund product investment and buybacks.

Balance sheet and leverage: Cash and short-term investments total $2.2415B versus market cap of $4.9289B and net debt of $739.07M, providing a sizeable liquidity cushion. Debt-to-EBITDA reads ~49.15x, indicating leverage relative to current EBITDA that investors should monitor if EBITDA does not expand; current ratio at 1.65 supports near-term liquidity.

Multiples and valuation: Trailing P/E at 77.04x, P/S ~11.89x, PEG ~15.66x, and enterprise multiple ~119.14x reflect a valuation richly priced for high growth or potential transaction premium. WMDST values the stock as under-valued on a structural basis given balance-sheet cash and buyback activity, but fundamental profitability metrics must improve to justify current multiples absent a takeover premium.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.5 B
 Operating Cash Flow 105.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -14.18 M
 Change In Working Capital -4.94 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 128.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 3.7 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 414.7 M
 Forward Revenue -2.69 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 83.6 M
 Depreciation 7.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 35.4 M
 Research and Development 82.8 M
 Total Operating Expenses 432.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 331.1 M
 EBITDA 38.4 M
 EBIT 3.0 M
 Operating Income -17.66 M
 Interest Income 23.3 M
 Interest Expense 5.1 M
 Net Interest Income 16.6 M
 Income Before Tax -2.07 M
 Tax Provision 522.0 K
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -2.59 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -2.59 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.56
 EPS Actual 0.64
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 14.286 %
 Forward EPS 0.67
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 10.1 B
 Intangible Assets 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Total Current Assets 7.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.2 B
 Cash 1.1 B
 Net Receivables 41.2 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 33.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 5.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 4.4 B
 Net Debt 739.1 M
 Total Debt 1.9 B
 Total Liabilities 6.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.8 B
 Retained Earnings -1.73 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 38.08
 Shares Outstanding 99.967 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.15
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.9 B
 Enterprise Value 4.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 119.143
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -29.414 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 11.05 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 416.607
BILL: 119.143
mean: 72.063
median: 61.115
low: -363.609
 EV/R 11.032
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.66
 Asset To Liability 1.602
 Debt To Capital 0.331
 Debt To Assets 0.186
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.564 %
Debt To Assets YoY 5301.449 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.87
BILL: 0.186
mean: 0.169
median: 0.087
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 0.496
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.156 %
Debt To Equity YoY 5558.79 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.989
BILL: 0.496
mean: 0.249
median: 0.147
low: -1.778
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.295
Price To Book QoQ 0.087 %
Price To Book YoY -42.932 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 31.335
mean: 11.312
median: 9.178
BILL: 1.295
low: -16.001
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 77.04
Price To Earnings QoQ -104.685 %
Price To Earnings YoY -49.113 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 522.411
mean: 127.584
median: 102.121
BILL: 77.04
low: -262.004
 PE/G Ratio 15.665
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.886
Price To Sales QoQ -6.35 %
Price To Sales YoY -50.139 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 116.554
mean: 45.167
median: 44.141
BILL: 11.886
low: 3.714
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 77.109
Forward PE/G 15.679
Forward P/S -1.837
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 6.325
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.041
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.47 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 5.576 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.373
mean: 0.13
median: 0.125
BILL: 0.041
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 11.318
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.832 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -5.028 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA BILL: 11.318
high: 4.512
mean: 1.565
median: 1.485
low: 0.601
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 8.062
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 0.927
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -113.22 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 214.534
BILL: 0.927
mean: -46.267
median: -67.075
low: -67.09
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.143
 CapEx To Revenue -0.034
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.863
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.2 B
 Net Working Capital 2.9 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.506
 Current Ratio 1.654
Current Ratio QoQ -1.233 %
Current Ratio YoY -0.348 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.11
mean: 1.814
BILL: 1.654
median: 1.386
low: 0.466
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 49.149
 Cost Of Debt 0.21 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.593
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 1.816 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -92.846 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 148.909
median: 66.552
mean: 45.902
BILL: 0.593
low: -110.193
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.005
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 7.136
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.244 %
 Revenue Growth 4.783 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 47.943 %
Revenue Growth YoY 317.729 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 19.11 %
mean: 6.016 %
BILL: 4.783 %
median: 4.635 %
low: -7.075 %
 Earnings Growth 4.918 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -104.655 %
Earnings Growth YoY -144.262 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 153.333 %
mean: 13.731 %
median: 6.667 %
BILL: 4.918 %
low: -163.158 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 79.842 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.869 %
Gross Margin YoY -2.188 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.096 %
BILL: 79.842 %
mean: 71.893 %
median: 68.036 %
low: 40.427 %
 EBIT Margin 0.725 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -26.768 %
EBIT Margin YoY -93.12 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 78.69 %
median: 60.268 %
mean: 46.627 %
BILL: 0.725 %
low: -44.038 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -4.26 %
Return On Sales QoQ 42.285 %
Return On Sales YoY -140.425 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.917 %
median: 47.094 %
mean: 36.792 %
BILL: -4.26 %
low: -31.502 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 91.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.849 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 12.882 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 131.125 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.274 %
BILL: 1.849 %
mean: 0.21 %
median: 0.164 %
low: -1.998 %
 Free Cash Growth 10.784 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -46.42 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -170.831 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 265.627 %
BILL: 10.784 %
mean: -23.625 %
median: -77.08 %
low: -132.549 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -35.214
 Cash Flow Margin 5.256 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -8.422
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.026 %
Return On Assets QoQ -10.345 %
Return On Assets YoY -107.263 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 16.838 %
median: 5.909 %
mean: 4.905 %
BILL: -0.026 %
low: -10.846 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.053 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.001
Return On Equity QoQ -10.526 %
Return On Equity YoY -107.719 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.344
median: 0.098
mean: 0.086
BILL: -0.001
low: -0.282
 DuPont ROE -0.067 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.042 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -22.222 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.397 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 20.316 %
median: 9.056 %
mean: 7.307 %
BILL: 0.042 %
low: -11.474 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should hinge on continued confirmation of buyout dialogue and any incremental institutional filings or corporate actions. Technical signals favor a short-term rebound: MACD crossover, RSI dip-and-reversal, and price above short EMAs support upward momentum; countervailing MRO and the proximity to longer-term moving averages raise the probability of mean reversion if deal momentum fades. Liquidity and reported repurchases provide underlying support; however, stretched valuation multiples and negative operating margins increase sensitivity to any negative headlines. For swing horizons, expect event-driven volatility and prioritize observing follow-on confirmations of transaction interest and material changes to operating profitability before extending duration beyond the tactical rebound window.

About Bill Holdings, Inc.

BILL Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BILL) designs comprehensive financial technology solutions tailored for small and midsize businesses worldwide. Based in San Jose, California, the company develops a robust platform that streamlines accounts payable and receivable processes, enhancing business transactions and connectivity with suppliers and customers. BILL Holdings leverages automation to eliminate traditional expense reports and optimize cash flow management, thereby increasing operational efficiency. Their cloud-based payments and spend management tools deliver a seamless user experience, supported by extensive onboarding, implementation, and ongoing support services. By integrating advanced artificial intelligence, BILL Holdings’ platform strengthens relationships between suppliers and clients, making it an essential tool for accounting firms, financial institutions, and software companies. Since its founding in 2006, the company has consistently advanced its offerings, rebranding from Bill.com Holdings, Inc. to BILL Holdings, Inc. in February 2023, to better reflect its innovative approach and growth in the dynamic fintech industry.



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