Frontdoor, Inc (NASDAQ:FTDR) Shows Momentum, Valuation Signals Near-Term Upside

Positive momentum across trend indicators pairs with above-peer operating margins, supporting a constructive near-term price bias; leverage and stretched valuation multiples limit the headline case for rapid re-rating.

Recent News

On February 17, 2026, Breach Inlet Capital Management disclosed a new roughly $10 million stake in Frontdoor, signaling an institutional accumulation event. On February 3, 2026, an analyst house maintained an Outperform rating on Frontdoor following the company’s recent operational updates and guidance commentary.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: DI+ at 30.92 and increasing while DI- sits at 16.50 and decreasing; ADX at 27.2 indicates a strong trend. Together these readings produce a bullish directional bias that supports the near-term upside implied by momentum indicators.

MACD: MACD at 2.30 and increasing with the MACD line above its signal (1.22) — this cross-above and rising MACD signals bullish momentum and reinforces the likelihood of further upside continuation over the coming weeks.

MRO: MRO reads 21.28 and is increasing; because MRO is positive, price sits above the model target and carries a technical tendency toward consolidation or pullback, tempering the momentum-led push higher.

RSI: RSI at 55.18 and increasing reflects mild bullish momentum without overbought extremes, supporting scope for another leg up before an overextension risk appears.

Price vs. moving averages and cloud: Close at $66.59 trades above the 12-day EMA ($64.17, increasing), 20-day average ($61.93), 50-day ($59.49) and 200-day average ($59.36); price also sits above the Ichimoku cloud (Senkou A $58.99, Senkou B $57.23), which together reinforce a bullish price positioning and reduce near-term downside risk to the superTrend lower support at $62.88.

Volatility & breadth: 42-day and 52-week volatilities near 3% with subdued short-term beta (42-day beta 0.02, 52-week beta 0.70) suggest price moves may track company-specific momentum rather than broad market swings, supporting a controlled trend continuation scenario.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT margin 26.26% and operating margin 25.45% sit above the industry peer mean and median (industry peer mean EBIT margin -11.76%, industry peer median 15.05%; industry peer mean operating margin -12.57%, industry peer median 15.05%), indicating materially stronger operating profitability versus typical peers. Gross margin stands at 57.21%, consistent with a high-margin business model for warranty and service revenue.

Earnings and surprise: Reported EPS of $0.23 versus an estimate of $0.13 produced an EPS surprise of 76.92%, reflecting recent upside to per‑share results; forward EPS sits at $1.239, and forward PE near 78.11x.

Revenue and growth cadence: Total revenue $617,000,000 with reported revenue growth at 0.0% (YoY readouts in the provided data show -100% for QoQ and YoY entries); interpret revenue as stable in the period under review while near-term quarter comparisons show larger swings in the reported series. QoQ and YoY percentage fields should guide caution when reading short-term comp metrics.

Cash, leverage, and coverage: Cash and short-term investments $563,000,000 and net debt $617,000,000 produce a net leverage footprint; debt-to-equity 3.79x (379%) and debt-to-EBITDA 6.51x indicate elevated leverage after recent strategic actions. Interest coverage at 8.1x provides a material buffer versus interest expense, but the capital structure remains a constraining factor for valuation upside until leverage meaningfully contracts.

Cash flow and returns: Free cash flow $58,000,000 with free cash flow yield 1.24% and cash conversion ratio 2.10; return on equity 33.54% and return on invested capital 8.04% reflect efficient capital returns on the equity base while invested capital returns trail equity returns due to leverage. Asset turnover 0.28x sits above the industry peer mean (0.098) and median (0.069), indicating relatively efficient revenue generation from assets.

Valuation context: P/B at 14.76x and P/S at 7.56x appear elevated relative to many peers (industry peer median P/B 4.30, P/S median 10.71 for some peers), while enterprise multiple reads 28.79x. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a view driven by above-peer operating margins and recent EPS upside but tempered by high leverage and stretched market multiples that justify a cautious re-rating timeline.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 562.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 64.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -6.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -90.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 1.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 563.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 617.0 M
 Forward Revenue 130.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 264.0 M
 Depreciation 9.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 22.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 460.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 353.0 M
 EBITDA 184.0 M
 EBIT 162.0 M
 Operating Income 157.0 M
 Interest Income 6.0 M
 Interest Expense 20.0 M
 Net Interest Income -14.00 M
 Income Before Tax 142.0 M
 Tax Provision 37.0 M
 Tax Rate 25.8 %
 Net Income 106.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 105.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.13
 EPS Actual 0.23
 EPS Difference 0.10
 EPS Surprise 76.923 %
 Forward EPS 1.24
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.2 B
 Intangible Assets 1.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.05 B
 Total Current Assets 695.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 563.0 M
 Cash 563.0 M
 Net Receivables 10.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 15.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 104.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 29.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 401.0 M
 Net Debt 617.0 M
 Total Debt 1.2 B
 Total Liabilities 1.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 316.0 M
 Retained Earnings 784.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 4.36
 Shares Outstanding 72.433 M
 Revenue Per-Share 8.52
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.7 B
 Enterprise Value 5.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 28.794
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 11.218 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 37.538 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 53.904
median: 51.776
FTDR: 28.794
mean: 25.625
low: -49.3
 EV/R 8.587
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 7.047
 Asset To Liability 1.165
 Debt To Capital 0.791
 Debt To Assets 0.538
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.037 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3750.68 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.857
FTDR: 0.538
mean: 0.476
median: 0.45
low: 0.274
 Debt To Equity 3.791
Debt To Equity QoQ -20.402 %
Debt To Equity YoY 5720.881 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA FTDR: 3.791
high: 3.21
median: 1.225
mean: 0.768
low: -4.077
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 14.757
Price To Book QoQ -11.074 %
Price To Book YoY 7.522 %
Price To Book IPRWA FTDR: 14.757
high: 7.23
median: 4.3
mean: 1.351
low: -11.82
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 40.745
Price To Earnings QoQ 18.946 %
Price To Earnings YoY 18.959 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 92.833
median: 68.822
mean: 50.09
FTDR: 40.745
low: -42.923
 PE/G Ratio -13.285
 Price To Sales (P/S) 7.558
Price To Sales QoQ 11.069 %
Price To Sales YoY 14.145 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 31.99
mean: 15.45
median: 10.705
FTDR: 7.558
low: 6.832
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 78.11
Forward PE/G -25.468
Forward P/S 56.357
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.281
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.407 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -37.336 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 0.281
high: 0.206
mean: 0.098
median: 0.069
low: 0.058
 Receivables Turnover 61.7
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.0 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -25.869 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 61.7
high: 15.129
median: 15.129
mean: 10.767
low: 2.935
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 1.479
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -35.231
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -34.478 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 25.264
median: -24.795
mean: -30.526
FTDR: -35.231
low: -67.066
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.099
 CapEx To Revenue -0.01
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.667
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.5 B
 Invested Capital 1.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.05 B
 Net Working Capital 294.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.404
 Current Ratio 1.733
Current Ratio QoQ 16.29 %
Current Ratio YoY 22.11 %
Current Ratio IPRWA FTDR: 1.733
high: 0.883
mean: 0.617
median: 0.558
low: 0.541
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.511
 Cost Of Debt 1.235 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.1
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -2.41 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -43.75 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 9.896
FTDR: 8.1
median: 3.449
mean: 1.096
low: -11.431
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.314
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 36.71
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.532 %
 Revenue Growth 0.0 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.0 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 9.738 %
FTDR: 0.0 %
median: -0.69 %
mean: -19.431 %
low: -81.679 %
 Earnings Growth -3.067 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -101.983 %
Earnings Growth YoY -135.412 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 46.729 %
median: -1.136 %
FTDR: -3.067 %
mean: -29.197 %
low: -152.863 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 57.212 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.844 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.149 %
Gross Margin IPRWA FTDR: 57.212 %
high: 35.276 %
median: 25.096 %
mean: 10.112 %
low: -34.618 %
 EBIT Margin 26.256 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -2.409 %
EBIT Margin YoY -1.356 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA FTDR: 26.256 %
high: 21.411 %
median: 15.053 %
mean: -11.755 %
low: -97.729 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.446 %
Return On Sales QoQ -3.085 %
Return On Sales YoY -4.399 %
Return On Sales IPRWA FTDR: 25.446 %
high: 23.424 %
median: 15.053 %
mean: -12.571 %
low: -101.71 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 58.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.244 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -56.473 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 178.3 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA FTDR: 1.244 %
high: 1.17 %
median: -0.692 %
mean: -1.29 %
low: -5.682 %
 Free Cash Growth -51.667 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -2115.094 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -37.311 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 102.031 %
FTDR: -51.667 %
mean: -77.791 %
median: -136.787 %
low: -835.14 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.547
 Cash Flow Margin 20.421 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.189
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 4.819 %
Return On Assets QoQ -6.807 %
Return On Assets YoY -41.764 %
Return On Assets IPRWA FTDR: 4.819 %
high: 2.013 %
median: 0.646 %
mean: -0.675 %
low: -5.635 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.872 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.335
Return On Equity QoQ -23.545 %
Return On Equity YoY -12.45 %
Return On Equity IPRWA FTDR: 0.335
high: 0.301
mean: 0.128
median: 0.075
low: 0.027
 DuPont ROE 37.259 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.035 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -7.548 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -126.67 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA FTDR: 8.035 %
high: 3.727 %
median: 2.511 %
mean: -1.267 %
low: -12.836 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum alignment across MACD, DI+, and moving averages supports a near-term bias toward upside continuation, with technical support clustered near the superTrend lower at $62.88 and the 12-day EMA at $64.17; upside nominally targets the price target mean of $72.47 if momentum holds. The positive MRO warns of potential mean-reversion pressure if price moves above model targets, and elevated leverage raises sensitivity to any negative surprise. For swing horizons, watch whether MACD stays above its signal and DI+ remains increasing — those conditions favor further controlled gains; a break back below the 20-day average ($61.93) would reduce the immediate upside case.

About Frontdoor, Inc.

Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) delivers comprehensive home service plans across the United States, safeguarding homeowners from unexpected repair costs. Established in 1971, Frontdoor crafts customizable home warranties that encompass a broad spectrum of essential home systems and appliances, such as electrical, plumbing, HVAC, and major kitchen devices. These service plans provide repair and replacement solutions for over 20 critical home components, ensuring peace of mind for homeowners. In addition to traditional warranties, Frontdoor enhances the homeowner experience with innovative services, including an intuitive app that simplifies home repair and maintenance tasks. Their advanced Streem technology enables homeowners to engage with experts via video chat, facilitating real-time problem-solving and diagnostics. Frontdoor operates under well-known brands like American Home Shield, HSA, OneGuard, Landmark Home Warranty, and Streem. The company remains committed to delivering exceptional service and support, empowering homeowners to maintain and protect their most valuable asset—their home. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, Frontdoor continually evolves its offerings, adapting to the needs of homeowners nationwide.



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