Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) Shows Short-Term Bearish Momentum Despite Strong Liquidity

Analyst activity and a one-time shareholder payout sit alongside mixed fundamentals and technicals that favor near-term weakness while longer-term averages provide support.

Recent News

On December 4, 2025 the company declared a one-time special cash dividend of $2.00 per share, payable January 21, 2026 to shareholders of record as of January 6, 2026. On January 6, 2026 Wells Fargo upgraded its outlook for the company to Overweight. On January 12, 2026 JP Morgan raised its price target, and multiple firms adjusted targets and maintained neutral/hold assessments during early January 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a strong trend (ADX 32.67) with DI+ at 22.94 having peaked and reversed and DI– at 26.22 showing a dip-and-reversal; both readings align with a bearish directional bias that increases near-term downside risk relative to the stock’s current over-valued status.

MACD reads 0.13 versus a signal line at 2.06 and has peaked and reversed; the MACD below its signal line signals weakening momentum and reinforces the short-term bearish case rather than signaling any immediate bullish crossover.

MRO stands at –15.29 and has peaked and reversed; the negative MRO indicates the price sits below the model target and therefore retains technical potential to move higher, creating a tactical tension with the prevailing bearish momentum indicators.

RSI equals 57.03 and shows a peak-and-reversal pattern, indicating loss of prior upside momentum and an elevated probability of range contraction or pullback in the near term rather than a sustained breakout.

Price sits at $147.33, below the 20‑day average of $154.24 and below short EMAs (12‑day EMA $151.46, 26‑day EMA $151.96) while remaining above the 200‑day average ($135.46). That configuration implies short-term resistance around the 20‑day and EMA cluster with structural support near the 200‑day average.

Ichimoku lines (Tenkan/Kijun at $147.51) lie essentially level with price, offering limited immediate trend confirmation; Bollinger band mid and lower bounds place current price nearer the lower band, and the super-trend upper line sits at $154.69 as a short-term cap. Short-term volatility (42‑day beta 1.87) exceeds the 52‑week beta, suggesting heightened sensitivity to market moves in recent weeks.

Volume today (731,116) sits below the 10‑day average (811,772) but above the 50‑day average (542,760), signaling recent participation that trails the most recent short-term sessions and that any directional move may require a pickup in volume to sustain.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings: Reported EPS for the period ending 2025‑12‑31 equaled $0.70 versus an estimate of $0.99, a shortfall of $0.29 and an EPS surprise of –29.29% on the report filed 2026‑01‑28. Quarterly earnings growth registered –24.11% QoQ while year‑over‑year earnings growth printed 4.43%.

Profitability and cash: Reported cash‑flow margins and cash‑flow to earnings read as 0.00 in the supplied metrics. Cost of debt remains low at 0.65% (0.00646). The company maintained material cash and short‑term investments while repurchasing shares during the year and declaring a special dividend in December 2025, reflecting active capital return execution.

Valuation: Trailing P/E stands at 189.68, above the industry peer mean of 82.26 and the industry peer median of 53.30 while remaining inside the industry peer range low of –54.55 to high of 219.55; the forward P/E equals 81.15, nearer the industry peer mean (industry peer mean forward P/E 63.17) but still elevated. PEG measures show a negative PEG of –4.92 versus an industry peer mean near –2.35 and a median of –0.23, reflecting a stretched multiple relative to near‑term earnings expectations.

Growth and revenue: Reported revenue growth reads 0.00% with QoQ and YoY revenue growth both shown as –1.00% in the supplied metrics, indicating flat to slightly down top‑line trends versus the prior period. Forward EPS sits at $1.6775 supporting a forward P/E materially lower than the trailing multiple, but forward P/E still sits above many peers’ means and medians.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as over‑valued. The stretched trailing multiple, negative EPS surprise, and muted top‑line traction underpin that view despite ample liquidity and aggressive capital returns that support shareholder distributions.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
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INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
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COSTS
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PROFITABILITY
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EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 0.99
 EPS Actual $ 0.70
 EPS Difference $ -0.29
 EPS Surprise -29.293 %
 Forward EPS $ 1.68
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
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EQUITY
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VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
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VALUATION
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE
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PRICE-BASED VALUATION
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Price To Book IPRWA —
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 189.675
Price To Earnings QoQ 78.14 %
Price To Earnings YoY 40.825 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 219.55
LSTR: 189.675
mean: 82.263
median: 53.302
low: -54.552
 PE/G Ratio -4.923
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FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 81.146
Forward PE/G -2.106
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EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
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ASSET & SALES
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CASH CYCLE
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CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
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CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital —
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 Invested Capital $ -309.30 M
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LIQUIDITY
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COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
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 Cost Of Debt 0.646 %
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TIMING / LIQUIDITY
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DIVIDENDS
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PERFORMANCE GROWTH
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 Revenue Growth 0.0 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.0 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 10.882 %
median: 5.507 %
mean: 1.541 %
LSTR: 0.0 %
low: -5.42 %
 Earnings Growth -38.525 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -2411.038 %
Earnings Growth YoY 443.218 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 88.889 %
mean: 10.265 %
median: -12.143 %
LSTR: -38.525 %
low: -75.342 %
MARGINS
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CASH FLOW
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 Cash Flow Margin 0.0 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
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Six-Week Outlook

Near term favors cautious positioning. Technicals create a bearish bias: directional indicators and MACD point to weakening momentum, the 20‑day average and EMA cluster act as immediate resistance, and elevated short‑term beta suggests outsized price swings. Offsetting forces include negative MRO signaling model‑based upside potential and the 200‑day average near $135 providing structural support. Expect volatility above recent averages and a high probability of range trading or corrective action before any sustained directional resolution; monitor momentum indicators and volume for confirmation of a trend continuation or a reversal attempt.

About Landstar System, Inc.

Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers integrated transportation management solutions across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through two main segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment provides an extensive range of services, including truckload and less-than-truckload transportation, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited delivery, and specialized heavy-haul services. It also facilitates cross-border transportation between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and handles project cargo and customs brokerage. Landstar serves diverse industries such as automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment. In the Insurance segment, Landstar offers risk and claims management services, along with reinsurance for its independent contractors. The company markets its services through a network of independent commission sales agents and third-party capacity providers. Established in 1991, Landstar System, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Jacksonville, Florida, and continues to support a wide array of industries with its comprehensive transportation and logistics solutions.



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