Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) Readies Cash Returns While Momentum Softens

Landstar shows a renewed cash-return focus after a large special payout, while technical indicators point to fading near-term momentum against an over-valued baseline.

Recent News

On December 3, 2025 the board declared a one-time cash dividend of $2.00 per share, payable January 21, 2026 to shareholders of record January 6, 2026.

On January 28, 2026 the company confirmed fourth-quarter results and reported quarterly revenue of $1,174 million and basic and diluted EPS of $0.70 for the 2025 fourth quarter.

Technical Analysis

Trend Strength (ADX): ADX at 27.56 signals a strong market trend; coupling that strength with declining DI+ and a DI- dip-and-reversal signals the current strength favors sellers rather than buyers, which pressures near-term price bias.

Directional Indicators (DI+/DI-): DI+ at 24.92 has decreased, a bearish development, while DI- at 16.23 shows a dip-and-reversal that also registers as bearish; together they indicate directional pressure toward lower short-term prices unless buyers regain DI+ momentum.

MACD: MACD sits at 2.92 below its signal line at 3.70, with a peak-and-reversal pattern that signals waning bullish momentum and aligns with a short-term bearish momentum profile.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -0.37 places price marginally below the model target, indicating modest upside potential to close that gap, but the magnitude remains small and does not offset the broader loss of momentum signaled elsewhere.

RSI: RSI at 59.75 with a peak-and-reversal indicates momentum has pulled back from recent highs without reaching overbought levels, leaving room for mean reversion but showing waning upside impetus.

Price vs Averages and Bands: Last close $150.00 sits below the 20-day average $154.06 and the 12-day EMA $152.66 (the 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal), while remaining above the 200-day average $134.09; short-term bias therefore shows weakness within a longer-term uptrend. Bollinger band edges near $151.59–$156.54 imply current price trades near the lower-to-middle band range, supporting the view of contained short-term downside potential.

Volume & Volatility: Today’s volume 800,756 exceeds the 10-day average 520,236 and 200-day average 418,549, suggesting elevated trading interest during the momentum shift; 42- and 52-week volatility at 2% indicate relatively low realized volatility for the stock.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and Estimates: Reported EPS $0.75 missed the estimate $1.09 by -$0.34, an EPS surprise of -31.19%, reflecting a material shortfall versus consensus expectations for the quarter.

Earnings Growth: Quarter-over-quarter earnings declined by -24.11%, while year-over-year earnings increased by 4.43%, showing recent quarterly softness against modest annual improvement.

Revenue and Cash Cycle: Reported revenue growth registers at 0.0% with both QoQ and YoY entries at -1.0 (reported values); the cash conversion cycle stands at 0 days with a QoQ change of -1 day, indicating tight working-capital handling.

Capital Structure & Cost: Cost of debt 0.646% shows a low after-tax borrowing cost; invested capital appears as -$309,295,000 in the reported line item and should be reviewed in company filings for context.

Valuation Multiples: Trailing PE sits at 189.68, above the industry peer mean of 165.17 and well above the industry peer median of 34.44; forward PE equals 81.15, above the industry peer mean of 46.40 but below the industry peer high of 101.61. Forward EPS equals $1.677. The company’s PEG ratio stands negative at -4.92 while forward PEG sits at -2.11, reflecting earnings and growth dynamics embedded in current multiples.

Profitability & Returns: Reported earnings growth metric shows an overall negative reading of -38.53% in the provided summary line while the explicit QoQ and YoY percentages above capture recent quarter and annual movement; reconcile these figures with filings for detailed segment breakdowns.

Valuation Assessment: The current valuation as determined by WMDST places the stock as over-valued, a conclusion driven by elevated trailing and forward multiples relative to peer averages combined with the recent earnings miss and mixed growth signals.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
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INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
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COSTS
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PROFITABILITY
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EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate $ 1.09
 EPS Actual $ 0.75
 EPS Difference $ -0.34
 EPS Surprise -31.193 %
 Forward EPS $ 1.68
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
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EQUITY
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VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
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VALUATION
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE
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PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) —
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Price To Book IPRWA —
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 189.675
Price To Earnings QoQ 78.14 %
Price To Earnings YoY 40.825 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 260.531
LSTR: 189.675
mean: 165.172
median: 34.44
low: -9.844
 PE/G Ratio -4.923
 Price To Sales (P/S) —
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FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 81.146
Forward PE/G -2.106
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EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
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ASSET & SALES
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CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 0.0
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -100.0 %
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CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
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CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital —
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 Invested Capital $ -309.30 M
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LIQUIDITY
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COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
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 Cost Of Debt 0.646 %
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TIMING / LIQUIDITY
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DIVIDENDS
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PERFORMANCE GROWTH
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 Revenue Growth 0.0 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.0 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA —
 Earnings Growth -38.525 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -2411.038 %
Earnings Growth YoY 443.218 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 66.667 %
mean: 25.849 %
low: -12.143 %
median: -12.143 %
LSTR: -38.525 %
MARGINS
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CASH FLOW
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VALUE & RETURNS
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Six-Week Outlook

Expect a cautious near-term profile. Technicals skew toward short-term weakness: momentum indicators show a peak-and-reversal pattern, DI+/DI- favor sellers, and price trades below near-term averages despite being above the 200-day trend. Elevated volume around the momentum shift suggests participation in the move rather than quiet consolidation. Fundamental catalysts include the confirmed Q4 results and the recent $2.00 special dividend, which reinforce cash-return orientation but coexist with an EPS miss and elevated multiples under WMDST’s over-valued assessment. Over the next six weeks, price action will likely hinge on whether buyers can restore DI+ and push MACD back above its signal; absent that shift, expect limited upside and a bias toward consolidation or retracement into the mid-$140s support area while the longer-term trend remains intact above the 200-day average.

About Landstar System, Inc.

Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers integrated transportation management solutions across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through two main segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment provides an extensive range of services, including truckload and less-than-truckload transportation, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited delivery, and specialized heavy-haul services. It also facilitates cross-border transportation between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and handles project cargo and customs brokerage. Landstar serves diverse industries such as automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment. In the Insurance segment, Landstar offers risk and claims management services, along with reinsurance for its independent contractors. The company markets its services through a network of independent commission sales agents and third-party capacity providers. Established in 1991, Landstar System, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Jacksonville, Florida, and continues to support a wide array of industries with its comprehensive transportation and logistics solutions.



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